Carlos Maldonado

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2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:02 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	241	24	14	0	6	29	20	49	0	0	-1.7	.266	.332	.415	-.060	.258	.327	.419	.261	6.2	60-C 0	1.5
75^o	238	20	12	0	5	26	19	50	0	0	-1.6	.242	.308	.370	-.177	.235	.303	.373	.238	-0.3	59-C -1	0.9
60^o	235	18	11	0	4	24	19	51	0	0	-1.5	.223	.289	.333	-.272	.217	.284	.336	.218	-5.4	59-C -2	0.3
50^o	233	15	9	0	3	22	18	52	0	0	-1.4	.207	.273	.304	-.348	.201	.268	.306	.200	-9.5	58-C -2	-0.2
40^o	232	14	9	0	3	21	18	52	0	0	-1.4	.200	.265	.289	-.386	.194	.261	.291	.191	-11.5	58-C -3	-0.4
25^o	230	13	8	0	3	19	17	53	0	0	-1.3	.186	.251	.263	-.453	.181	.247	.265	.172	-14.9	57-C -3	-0.8
10^o	217	7	4	0	1	9	15	57	0	0	-1.1	.137	.199	.170	-.688	.133	.196	.172	.074	-25.9	54-C -6	-2.3
Weighted Mean	236	15	9	0	3	21	18	53	0	0	-1.4	.203	.268	.295	-.332	.197	.264	.298	.193	-11.0	59-C -3	-0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
40%	50%	36%	37%	1.35

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 30)	236	15	9	0	3	21	18	53	0	0	-1.4	.203	.268	.295	-.332	.197	.264	.298	.193	-11.0	59-C -3	-0.2
2010 (age 31)	220	14	9	0	4	21	17	51	0	0	-1.0	.206	.270	.306	-.338	.203	.269	.313	.199	-6.7	55-C -4	-0.2
2011 (age 32)	205	12	8	0	3	19	15	45	0	0	-0.7	.203	.269	.292	-.361	.200	.268	.298	.194	-5.2	52-C -2	0.0
2012 (age 33)	224	15	9	0	4	21	18	48	0	0	-0.4	.205	.274	.307	-.330	.201	.273	.314	.201	-3.0	56-C -3	0.0
2013 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.220	.290	.330
vs RHP	.199	.261	.282
Split	+.021	+.029	+.048
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-9.0	-3.0	-0.2	$400,000	-13.9	0.5
2010	-7.4	-4.0	-0.2	$400,000	-9.1	0.0
2011	-7.7	-2.0	0.0	$400,000	-6.8	0.1
2012	-7.0	-3.0	0.0	$400,000	-4.3	0.3
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	1.4

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.238	.200	.172	.193
2010	.221	.204	.172	.199
2011	.227	.205	.162	.194
2012	.231	.204	.169	.201
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	37%	0%	40%
2010	50%	24%	27%
2011	65%	43%	23%
2012	77%	61%	16%
2013	88%	78%	13%
2014	93%	82%	10%
2015	99%	90%	7%

46

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Yamid Haad	2008	46		11	Andy Allanson	1992	32
2	Keith McDonald	2003	42		12	Dave Vangorder	1987	32
3	Mike Knapp	1995	41		13	Mike Stefanski	2000	31
4	Fausto Tejero	1999	39		14	Henry Mercedes	2000	30
5	Juan Espino	1986	38		15	Jason Phillips	2007	30
6	Randy Knorr	1999	37		16	Bobby Ramos	1986	30
7	Wiki Gonzalez	2004	36		17	Bob Geren	1992	29
8	Corky Miller	2006	34		18	Dwight Lowry	1988	29
9	Mike Hubbard	2001	33		19	Marc Hill	1982	29
10	Guillermo Rodriguez	2008	32		20	Matt Treanor	2006	28

Player Comments

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2007

With Chris Coste having made it to the major leagues and found a certain amount of success, players such as Carlos Maldonado have renewed hope. Like Coste, Maldonado didn`t start playing professionally until he was 23. While he hasn`t raked in the minors the way Coste did, he had a pretty decent year at Indianapolis in 2006. In the midst of his prime years now, he`d be as good a backup catcher as any for about half the teams in the majors.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	ALT	AA	18	1	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	-0.2	.278	.278	.389	-.670	.167	.167	.222	.065	-3.0	5-C 1	0.0
2006	IND	AAA	384	37	18	0	6	47	36	67	2	0	-2.8	.283	.354	.390	-.208	.240	.307	.342	.231	-10.0	95-C -5	0.0
2006	PIT	MLB	20	0	0	0	0	0	1	10	1	0	0.0	.105	.150	.105	-.872	.105	.150	.105	.000	-3.2	5-C -2	-0.5
2007	IND	AAA	164	14	4	0	1	19	20	27	0	0	-1.8	.219	.325	.270	-.474	.176	.267	.218	.172	-16.5	40-C -6	-1.5
2007	PIT	MLB	30	2	1	0	2	4	5	8	0	0	-0.3	.208	.333	.500	.016	.208	.333	.500	.284	1.7	9-C 0	0.2
2008	IND	AAA	142	9	9	0	3	16	12	23	0	1	-1.1	.248	.312	.392	-.310	.211	.271	.328	.208	-7.8	36-C -6	-0.9

Historical Stats