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Tom Martin
Los Angeles Dodgers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws L
Age 38
6' 1"
205 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 ROU 3A 0 0 5 20 0 27.3 33 13 13 4 61% .322 -36 1.68 3.63 7.64 4.62 11.7 4.6 2.8 1.4 2.8 0.5
2005 ATL MJ 0 0 0 4 0 2.3 6 2 0 1 0% .455 -149 3.43 19.57 34.50 27.00 27.0 9.0 0.0 4.5 -3.7 0.0 -0.2
2006 COL MJ 2 0 0 68 0 60.3 62 25 46 4 50% .314 -3 1.44 5.07 3.88 4.87 8.7 3.2 6.2 0.4 5.0 0.6 0.9
2007 CSP 3A 0 0 0 5 0 5.0 6 1 4 2 24% .267 -29 1.40 7.20 9.23 7.20 10.8 1.8 5.4 3.6 -0.9 0.0
2007 COL MJ 0 0 0 26 0 25.7 32 9 10 4 46% .304 -25 1.60 4.90 5.93 4.85 10.7 2.8 3.5 1.4 3.4 -0.2 0.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/17/08 11:54 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 2 1 1 38 0 37.3 36 13 20 3 48% .268 -11 1.30 2.94 3.73 3.13 8.4 2.8 4.3 0.8 11.2 0.9 1.4
75o 2 1 1 34 0 34.3 36 13 19 4 48% .288 -15 1.42 3.93 4.52 4.18 9.3 2.9 4.3 0.9 6.1 0.5 0.9
60o 2 1 1 32 0 32.3 36 12 17 4 47% .300 -17 1.50 4.53 5.00 4.81 9.9 3.1 4.3 1.0 3.4 0.3 0.6
50o 1 1 0 29 0 29.7 36 12 16 4 47% .316 -20 1.61 5.41 5.70 5.73 10.7 3.2 4.3 1.1 -0.1 0.0 0.3
40o 1 1 0 28 0 28.3 36 12 15 4 47% .324 -22 1.67 5.90 6.07 6.24 11.1 3.3 4.3 1.2 -1.7 -0.2 0.1
25o 1 1 0 24 0 25.3 35 11 14 4 47% .340 -26 1.79 6.95 6.83 7.35 12.0 3.5 4.3 1.3 -4.8 -0.4 -0.2
10o 0 1 0 14 0 18.0 19 7 10 2 46% .287 -24 1.41 9.99 4.45 11.92 9.2 2.9 4.3 0.9 -12.9 -1.0 -1.0
Weighted Mean 1 1 1 26 0 27.0 31 10 15 3 47% .302 -17 1.52 4.70 5.08 4.99 9.9 3.1 4.3 1.0 2.3 0.2 0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

31%

47%

32%

48%

1.11

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 38) 1 1 1 26 0 27.0 31 10 15 3 47% .302 -17 1.52 4.70 5.08 4.99 9.9 3.1 4.3 1.0 2.3 0.2 0.5
2009 (age 39) 1 1 1 28 0 28.7 33 12 17 4 48% .306 -18 1.57 4.97 5.32 5.27 10.1 3.4 4.7 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.2
2010 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 43)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 44)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .258 .338 .392
vs RHB .270 .356 .435
Split -.013 -.018 -.043
LgAvg -.020 -.021 -.054

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.5 $850,000 1.8 1.7
2009 0.2 $525,000 0.4 0.1
2010 0.1 $425,000 0.1 0.2
2011 0.0 $400,000 -0.6 0.0
2012 0.0 $400,000 0.0 0.0
2013 0.0 $400,000 0.1 0.0
2014 0.0 $400,000 0.0 0.0
Peak 0.8 $600,000 2.3 2.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 4.18 5.73 7.35 4.99
2009 4.77 5.06 5.87 5.27
2010
-- out of baseball --
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 48% 0% 31%
2009 72% 50% 16%
2010 88% 71% 19%
2011 91% 80% 16%
2012 98% 98% 14%
2013 99% 98% 8%
2014 100% 100% 8%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

24

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Darold Knowles 1980 61 11 Jack Sanford 1967 36
2 Rich Rodriguez 2001 55 12 Al Benton 1949 34
3 Mike Myers 2007 45 13 Ron Kline 1970 33
4 Sparky Lyle 1982 44 14 Al Brazle 1951 32
5 Mike Maddux 1999 44 15 Giovanni Carrara 2006 31
6 Jim Konstanty 1955 41 16 Tippy Martinez 1988 30
7 Grant Jackson 1980 39 17 Rick White 2007 29
8 Steve Howe 1996 38 18 Bobby Tiefenauer 1967 29
9 Dixie Howell 1958 37 19 Ed Vosberg 1999 28
10 Jim Hearn 1959 37 20 Bob Keegan 1958 26

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

A testament to just how long a southpaw`s career can last, Martin signed a minor league deal with the Rockies last January, made the team, and eventually took over the LOOGY role more by default than through his own performance, which included better success against right-handers and a dismal 6.23 ERA after the break. With the departure of King and Affeldt`s possible return to a starting role, the Rockies will bring back Martin for his age-37 season.

2005

Martin's never worked more than 56 innings in a season, and he has a career ERA that's comfortably worse than the league average over that same span. In other words, despite narrow and carefully crafted deployment, he's still been mostly lousy. Why not Ray Aguilar again?

2001

Situational left-handers are like beers: too many of them are bad for you, but you can’t have just one. Last year was the closest Tom Martin has come since 1997 to having a full season in the majors, but he still missed almost two months with shoulder tendinitis. He’s your basic second lefty.

2000

A torn labrum kept him out until the All-Star break, which means it isn’t his fault that the team casually discarded Ron Villone. He still has better stuff than your average left-handed specialist, so the Indians’ pen will be better if he and Rincon are healthy in 2000, with Paul Assenmacher sticking to modeling a new beard color in “Just For Men” commercials.

1998

Martin made his case to make the team in the Arizona Fall League, where he flashed his 90+ fastball. He’s working on a curveball. It isn’t often that a useful pitcher gets away from the Braves, but it had to happen eventually. Like many of the Astros’ relievers, he got stronger as the season went on. Taken by the Diamondbacks in the Expansion Draft and shipped to Cleveland in the Matt Williams deal.


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