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Chad Moeller
Los Angeles Dodgers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 33
6' 3"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Yankees Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 6 Chad Moeller 5 34 .214 2 0 3 0 .284 .323 -0.8
1   2008 Total 5 34 .214 2 0 3 0 .284 .323 -0.8

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 MIL MJ 216 23 9 1 7 23 13 48 0 0 -0.9 .206 .257 .367 -.230 .201 .256 .372 .214 -4.2 59-C 0 1.0
2006 NAS 3A 154 10 6 0 2 18 15 28 0 2 -1.1 .220 .307 .311 -.208 .200 .279 .274 .196 -8.8 37-C 4 0.6
2006 MIL MJ 104 9 3 0 2 5 4 26 0 0 0.4 .184 .231 .276 -.450 .184 .231 .276 .165 -8.4 26-C -1 0.1
2007 LOU 3A 52 5 5 0 3 10 4 12 0 0 -0.1 .250 .308 .542 .160 .229 .288 .479 .256 1.4 11-C -1 0.4
2007 LVG 3A 47 3 1 0 1 6 9 8 0 0 -0.2 .324 .468 .432 .194 .289 .438 .395 .305 3.7 11-C 0 0.6
2007 CIN MJ 49 6 1 0 1 2 0 17 0 0 -0.5 .167 .167 .250 -.614 .167 .167 .250 .105 -5.1 -0.4
2007 LAN MJ 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -0.1 .125 .222 .125 -.669 .125 .222 .125 .059 -1.1 0.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 2:11 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 123 16 6 0 4 19 12 26 0 0 -0.4 .267 .347 .427 -.009 .265 .345 .431 .266 4.4 33-C -3 1.0
75o 113 12 5 0 3 16 10 25 0 0 -0.3 .240 .318 .377 -.146 .238 .316 .381 .240 0.5 31-C -2 0.6
60o 109 10 4 0 3 14 10 25 0 0 -0.3 .230 .307 .358 -.197 .229 .305 .362 .229 -0.8 30-C -2 0.5
50o 106 9 4 0 2 13 9 24 0 0 -0.3 .223 .298 .343 -.237 .221 .296 .347 .221 -1.8 29-C -2 0.4
40o 102 8 4 0 2 12 8 23 0 0 -0.2 .213 .287 .325 -.286 .211 .285 .328 .210 -2.9 28-C -2 0.3
25o 90 5 3 0 1 9 7 21 0 0 -0.2 .189 .260 .280 -.409 .188 .258 .283 .180 -5.1 26-C -2 0.1
10o 27 1 0 0 0 0 2 8 0 0 0.0 .129 .184 .166 -.726 .128 .182 .168 .020 -3.5 12-C -1 0.0
Weighted Mean 94 8 4 0 2 10 8 21 0 0 -0.3 .226 .302 .350 -.219 .224 .300 .354 .224 -0.2 27-C -2 0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

60%

71%

25%

49%

0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 33) 94 8 4 0 2 10 8 21 0 0 -0.3 .226 .302 .350 -.219 .224 .300 .354 .224 -0.2 27-C -2 0.7
2009 (age 34) 102 10 4 0 3 12 9 24 0 0 -0.2 .230 .305 .377 -.177 .225 .298 .374 .232 -0.2 29-C -2 0.4
2010 (age 35) 82 6 3 0 2 9 7 20 0 0 -0.1 .223 .294 .342 -.247 .218 .287 .339 .217 -0.8 24-C -3 0.1
2011 (age 36) 81 6 3 0 2 8 7 19 0 0 -0.1 .214 .288 .327 -.282 .209 .281 .325 .210 -0.7 24-C -2 0.1
2012 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 39)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .240 .319 .373
vs RHP .222 .295 .338
Split +.018 +.024 +.035
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 0.7 0.7 $750,000 -1.4 0.6
2009 0.1 0.3 0.4 $575,000 -0.8 0.8
2010 0.0 0.2 0.1 $425,000 -1.9 0.1
2011 0.0 0.1 0.1 $425,000 -1.1 0.0
2012 0.0 0.1 0.0 $425,000 -1.0 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 -0.4 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 -0.2 0.0
Peak 1.4 $575,000 0.0 1.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .240 .221 .180 .224
2009 .266 .235 .197 .232
2010 .252 .215 .184 .217
2011 .245 .196 .143 .210
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 49% 0% 60%
2009 62% 34% 59%
2010 77% 50% 45%
2011 88% 66% 37%
2012 92% 77% 30%
2013 97% 85% 27%
2014 100% 93% 22%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Chad Moeller posted a park-inflated age-27 season line of .286/.385/.467 with Arizona in 2002; it`s been all downhill from there. He signed a one-year deal with the Reds to be their third catcher.

2006

Speaking of nothing, the nicest thing you can say about Moeller is that he`s a touch of Teutonic flavor in the most fair-haired, ruddy-cheeked, blue-eyed audience in Major League Baseball. That, and he can tell his friends he was one of the six guys sent to the Brewers in the Sexson trade, if very probably the least valuable.

2005

Moeller was statistically the worst regular catcher in the National League in 2004, with an ugly –10.7 VORP. He hit significantly better as a backup in Arizona, but was overexposed as an everyday player. The signing of Damian Miller to a three year contract insures that the Brewers won't be challenging him with 349 at-bats again anytime soon.

2003

Backup catcher with a bat. Moeller hasn’t really ever had a chance to play full-time, and he may just bust out and put up some solid offensive numbers. He isn’t heralded for his defense, but he doesn’t have a reputation of a Scott Hatteberg or Mike Piazza, so what harm can it do? Considering this organization once rewarded Jorge Fabregas with a bigger contract than he asked for, this has to be seen as a quantum leap forward.

2002

If Barajas is wrong for this team, then Moeller shouldn’t even be on its 40-man roster. Pitchers like throwing to him, and he’s a decent plate-blocker. On the other hand, he doesn’t hit at all and doesn’t do much against the running game. If things break right for him, he’ll be the new Joe Girardi, trying to make a team that already has a turbocharged Girardi in Damian Miller.

2001

Chad Moeller did what he had to do by impressing Tom Kelly quickly. Kelly said he liked the way Moeller called a game, though his Catcher ERA wasn’t any better than the other catchers'. You can tell Moeller knows how slender his opportunity is, because after tearing up his knee in August, he rushed back rather than get lost in the shuffle behind Matt LeCroy and A.J. Pierzynski. Moeller’s future depends on things going badly for everybody else while he keeps up the apple-on-teacher’s-desk routine.

1999

Moeller continued to develop, but at the end of the year, it was LeCroy who got a week in Salt Lake City. His time is now, because LeCroy is a much better hitter, and has a bit of an organizational halo. If he doesn't establish himself in 1999, he's just marking time


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