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Gustavo Molina
Baltimore Orioles [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 26
6'
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 WNS 1C 392 38 20 1 11 41 30 47 1 2 -2.2 .261 .328 .420 -.023 .218 .269 .338 .209 -14.4 99-C 11 2.9
2006 BIR 2A 382 26 14 0 7 34 25 65 5 6 -2.8 .227 .286 .328 -.090 .219 .272 .332 .209 -15.2 89-C 2 2.2
2006 CHR 3A 31 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 -0.9 .167 .194 .167 -.554 .167 .194 .167 .000 -5.3 -0.2
2007 BOW 2A 80 5 4 0 0 6 3 10 0 0 -0.2 .364 .388 .416 .219 .312 .338 .364 .242 2.2 20-C -5 0.6
2007 CHR 3A 156 13 4 0 2 9 9 27 0 2 -0.6 .209 .265 .281 -.302 .204 .255 .289 .185 -10.0 28-C 1 0.6
2007 CHA MJ 21 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 0 0.0 .056 .100 .056 -1.049 .111 .150 .111 .000 -4.4 0.0
2007 BAL MJ 9 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0.0 .222 .222 .333 -.369 .222 .222 .333 .180 -0.4 0.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 2:13 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 248 25 12 0 7 29 15 43 2 1 -0.7 .259 .308 .405 -.085 .257 .309 .417 .254 4.1 61-C 1 2.0
75o 231 19 9 0 5 25 13 41 1 1 -0.6 .237 .284 .356 -.208 .235 .284 .366 .229 -3.0 57-C 0 1.3
60o 220 16 8 0 4 23 11 40 1 1 -0.5 .225 .271 .330 -.272 .223 .271 .340 .215 -6.3 55-C 0 0.9
50o 214 14 7 0 4 21 11 39 1 1 -0.5 .218 .263 .315 -.309 .217 .264 .324 .206 -8.0 54-C 0 0.7
40o 209 13 7 0 3 20 10 39 1 1 -0.5 .213 .257 .304 -.337 .211 .258 .313 .199 -9.2 53-C 0 0.6
25o 196 10 6 0 3 18 9 37 1 1 -0.4 .201 .243 .276 -.405 .199 .244 .284 .180 -11.9 50-C 0 0.2
10o 133 3 2 0 0 7 5 28 1 0 -0.2 .162 .197 .190 -.619 .160 .198 .195 .090 -14.9 35-C -1 -0.5
Weighted Mean 202 13 7 0 4 21 10 37 1 1 -0.5 .220 .265 .319 -.300 .218 .266 .328 .208 -7.0 51-C 0 1.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

44%

66%

24%

29%

1.13

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 26) 202 13 7 0 4 21 10 37 1 1 -0.5 .220 .265 .319 -.300 .218 .266 .328 .208 -7.0 51-C 0 1.2
2009 (age 27) 202 14 7 0 4 21 11 34 1 1 -0.4 .224 .271 .321 -.283 .225 .276 .337 .212 -5.1 51-C -1 0.7
2010 (age 28) 220 17 9 0 4 24 13 37 1 1 -0.4 .233 .283 .342 -.229 .235 .288 .360 .224 -2.7 55-C 1 1.0
2011 (age 29) 198 14 7 0 4 21 11 33 1 1 -0.4 .232 .280 .330 -.251 .234 .285 .347 .219 -3.0 50-C 0 0.7
2012 (age 30) 167 11 6 0 3 18 10 29 1 1 -0.3 .228 .280 .329 -.254 .230 .285 .346 .218 -2.4 43-C 0 0.6
2013 (age 31) 156 9 5 0 2 16 8 26 1 1 -0.2 .221 .270 .309 -.302 .223 .275 .324 .207 -2.6 41-C 0 0.3
2014 (age 32) 170 10 5 0 3 16 10 28 1 0 -0.2 .225 .276 .312 -.285 .227 .281 .328 .212 -2.3 44-C 0 0.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .236 .287 .349
vs RHP .216 .257 .305
Split +.021 +.029 +.044
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.3 1.5 1.2 $1,275,000 -5.3 1.2
2009 -0.2 0.9 0.7 $850,000 -4.4 1.0
2010 0.0 1.0 1.0 $1,125,000 -0.8 2.9
2011 0.0 0.8 0.7 $950,000 -1.8 1.2
2012 0.0 0.6 0.6 $800,000 -1.8 0.9
2013 0.0 0.4 0.3 $575,000 -2.6 0.4
2014 0.0 0.4 0.3 $600,000 -1.9 0.5
Peak 4.5 $2,700,000 0.0 7.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .229 .206 .180 .208
2009 .226 .204 .185 .212
2010 .241 .212 .187 .224
2011 .245 .218 .181 .219
2012 .248 .216 .166 .218
2013 .228 .211 .168 .207
2014 .224 .197 .172 .212


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 29% 0% 44%
2009 42% 19% 45%
2010 49% 28% 48%
2011 57% 33% 45%
2012 61% 42% 44%
2013 74% 52% 39%
2014 67% 54% 36%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

55

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Raul Chavez 1992 40 11 Henry Blanco 2003 33
2 Iker Franco 1979 36 12 Robin Harriss 1971 33
3 Yamid Haad 1981 36 13 Robinson Cancel 1982 33
4 Chairon Isenia 1970 36 14 Juan Brito 1960 33
5 Gary Bennett 1973 35 15 Jim Campanis 2007 32
6 James Davis 1992 35 16 Pedro Grifol 1975 32
7 Luis Pujols 1975 34 17 Alex Delgado 1969 32
8 Alberto Castillo 1975 34 18 Jim Horner 2000 31
9 Eleutero Encarnacion 1957 34 19 Tom Gregorio 1979 30
10 Guillermo Garcia 1998 33 20 Armando Camacaro 2005 30

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