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Jason Phillips
Seattle Mariners [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 32
6' 1"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 SYR AAA 281 31 11 0 7 40 22 43 1 1 -2.3 .273 .341 .402 -.294 .216 .280 .325 .212 -13.9 54-C -7 11-1B -5 -1.8
2006 TOR MLB 51 4 6 0 0 6 1 5 0 1 -1.3 .250 .275 .375 -.323 .229 .255 .333 .197 -2.0 5-C -1 -0.4
2007 ABQ AAA 28 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0.0 .185 .179 .185 -.822 .148 .143 .148 .000 -5.6 8-C 0 -0.3
2007 TOR MLB 158 11 7 0 1 12 10 21 0 1 -1.5 .208 .269 .278 -.377 .201 .268 .285 .190 -8.0 41-C -5 -1.1
2008 RIC AAA 130 14 7 0 4 15 7 14 0 1 -1.5 .275 .318 .433 -.290 .221 .262 .352 .209 -6.5 26-C -6 4-1B 1 -0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:16 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 230 18 9 0 5 21 15 40 0 1 -1.5 .234 .290 .344 -.208 .236 .293 .364 .228 -2.8 57-C -8 -0.2
75o 223 16 8 0 4 20 14 39 0 1 -1.4 .222 .277 .323 -.270 .225 .280 .341 .215 -5.9 56-C -8 -0.4
60o 212 12 7 0 3 18 12 37 0 0 -1.2 .204 .256 .290 -.364 .207 .259 .306 .193 -10.3 53-C -7 -0.8
50o 209 12 6 0 3 18 12 37 0 0 -1.2 .199 .251 .281 -.388 .202 .254 .297 .187 -11.3 53-C -7 -0.9
40o 198 9 5 0 2 16 10 35 0 0 -1.1 .184 .233 .253 -.470 .186 .235 .267 .164 -14.5 50-C -6 -1.2
25o 167 5 4 0 1 12 7 31 0 0 -0.8 .155 .198 .198 -.625 .156 .200 .209 .102 -18.3 43-C -5 -1.6
10o 128 3 2 0 0 7 5 25 0 0 -0.6 .142 .182 .175 -.694 .144 .184 .184 .024 -16.0 34-C -3 -1.4
Weighted Mean 217 11 6 0 3 18 12 39 0 0 -1.1 .191 .241 .265 -.427 .193 .243 .280 .174 -12.3 54-C -6 -0.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

28%

36%

44%

44%

1.07

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 32) 217 11 6 0 3 18 12 39 0 0 -1.1 .191 .241 .265 -.427 .193 .243 .280 .174 -12.3 54-C -6 -0.9
2010 (age 33) 196 9 6 0 2 16 10 35 0 0 -0.7 .190 .239 .260 -.433 .195 .245 .278 .170 -7.6 50-C -6 -0.6
2011 (age 34) 186 11 6 0 3 18 10 34 0 0 -0.4 .212 .261 .302 -.319 .217 .268 .323 .199 -2.8 47-C -6 -0.2
2012 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .207 .262 .295
vs RHP .187 .234 .255
Split +.020 +.028 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -13.4 -6.0 -0.9 $400,000 -16.5 0.1
2010 -12.5 -6.0 -0.6 $400,000 -10.1 0.0
2011 -7.5 -6.0 -0.2 $400,000 -4.4 0.0
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .215 .187 .102 .174
2010 .219 .180 .114 .170
2011 .225 .194 .154 .199
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 44% 0% 28%
2010 60% 40% 17%
2011 79% 64% 17%
2012 91% 77% 20%
2013 99% 94% 17%
2014 100% 94% 14%
2015 100% 95% 12%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

52

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Chad Moeller 2007 52 11 Mike Difelice 2002 42
2 Don Wakamatsu 1995 51 12 Chris Ashby 2007 42
3 Russ Gibson 1972 49 13 Mike Roarke 1963 41
4 Barry Lyons 1993 48 14 Pat Borders 1996 41
5 Mike Stefanski 2002 48 15 Darron Cox 2000 40
6 Juan Espino 1988 47 16 Toby Hall 2008 40
7 Chris Coste 2005 46 17 Dusty Wathan 2006 39
8 Mike Hubbard 2003 46 18 Mark Dalesandro 2001 39
9 Mike Mahoney 2005 45 19 Dick Billings 1975 36
10 Terry McGriff 1996 42 20 Nelson Santovenia 1994 36

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Baseball`s most famous aging hipster, Jason Phillips`s big season with the Mets in 2003 now looks like a one-year fluke; there hasn`t been much evidence before or since that he can hit better than your usual backup catcher. He`s been re-signed for next year as the primary backup to Gregg Zaun.

2005

His 2003 line was batting average-driven, and that it pushed the Mets into the Piazza-to-first mess was a big contribution to 2004's lost season. When Phillips' average collapsed, it took the rest of his offense with him. He's qualified to be a Mike Redmond-level backup catcher, with a little more pop than that. He's not Brian Harper, and even if he were, nothing would have justified messing around with the Mets' best player.

2003

Phillips’s misfortune is that while the Mets would love to have a catcher who could let them move Piazza to first base, it won’t be him. Because of nimble footwork and a snappy release, he controls the running game well, and he has decent power. He’ll make a great backup or part-timer, but that isn’t enough to get him 300 at-bats on a team that needs all the offense it can get. Right around now would be a great time to find another Ed Hearn buyer.

2002

Like Vance Wilson, Phillips is viewed primarily as a defensive catcher, thanks in part to an extraordinarily quick release. The Mets were encouraged by Phillips’s offensive growth in 2001 and see him as part of the team’s future. Keep in mind that by blocking off both infield corners this winter, the Mets effectively locked Piazza in at catcher for the next few years, blocking their catcher prospects.

2000

Phillips reached Binghamton on the strength of his arm and has reasonable power. If he can't or won't hit for a higher average, neither of those things will matter.

1998


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