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Humberto Quintero
Houston Astros [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 28
5' 9"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Other References
Baseball Prospectus DT Player Card
baseball-reference Player Card

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CCH 2A 12 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0.0 .182 .250 .273 -.368 .182 .250 .364 .207 -0.7 0.0
2005 ROU 3A 205 23 13 0 8 31 10 30 2 1 1.1 .288 .327 .482 .077 .254 .284 .420 .240 1.6 46-C 6 1.8
2005 HOU MJ 57 6 1 0 1 8 1 10 0 0 0.2 .185 .200 .259 -.484 .182 .196 .255 .134 -4.6 14-C -1 0.0
2006 ROU 3A 322 39 21 2 4 37 19 48 4 0 -0.1 .298 .352 .425 .109 .267 .315 .395 .248 5.2 78-C 7 3.5
2006 HOU MJ 22 2 2 0 0 2 1 3 0 0 0.2 .333 .364 .429 .106 .333 .364 .429 .275 1.1 0.1
2007 ROU 3A 188 22 12 1 5 22 4 21 0 2 -0.6 .333 .355 .497 .216 .296 .319 .453 .258 8.9 45-C 9 2.5
2007 HOU MJ 57 2 2 0 0 1 2 13 0 0 -1.4 .226 .281 .264 -.343 .226 .281 .264 .188 -2.4 17-C 1 0.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 3:42 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 254 31 16 1 7 31 14 39 2 1 -0.4 .296 .342 .463 .054 .298 .345 .471 .275 14.6 63-C 4 3.0
75o 246 27 14 1 6 29 13 39 2 1 -0.4 .280 .326 .429 -.035 .282 .328 .437 .260 9.0 61-C 3 2.5
60o 240 24 13 1 5 27 12 38 2 1 -0.4 .271 .316 .409 -.085 .273 .318 .417 .250 5.9 60-C 3 2.3
50o 237 23 12 1 5 26 12 38 2 1 -0.4 .264 .309 .395 -.122 .267 .311 .402 .243 3.7 59-C 3 2.1
40o 231 20 11 1 4 25 11 38 2 1 -0.3 .254 .298 .374 -.176 .257 .301 .381 .232 0.7 58-C 3 1.8
25o 223 17 10 1 3 23 11 37 1 1 -0.3 .241 .284 .345 -.249 .243 .286 .352 .217 -3.2 56-C 3 1.4
10o 209 13 8 0 2 20 10 36 1 1 -0.3 .222 .263 .303 -.356 .224 .265 .309 .192 -8.3 53-C 3 0.9
Weighted Mean 247 24 13 1 5 28 13 40 2 1 -0.3 .263 .308 .392 -.128 .265 .310 .400 .241 4.8 61-C 4 2.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

28%

54%

28%

19%

0.79

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 28) 247 24 13 1 5 28 13 40 2 1 -0.3 .263 .308 .392 -.128 .265 .310 .400 .241 4.8 61-C 4 2.3
2009 (age 29) 230 21 11 1 5 27 11 37 2 1 -0.3 .261 .301 .393 -.140 .259 .299 .393 .238 2.1 57-C 4 1.5
2010 (age 30) 228 20 11 1 5 24 11 38 1 1 -0.2 .255 .299 .378 -.169 .253 .296 .378 .233 0.6 57-C 3 1.0
2011 (age 31) 204 18 10 1 4 22 11 34 1 1 -0.2 .260 .306 .382 -.147 .258 .304 .382 .237 1.2 51-C 3 1.0
2012 (age 32) 206 18 9 1 4 23 10 32 1 1 -0.1 .260 .302 .381 -.155 .259 .300 .381 .234 0.6 52-C 4 0.7
2013 (age 33) 244 21 10 1 4 28 11 40 1 1 -0.1 .246 .292 .357 -.216 .245 .290 .357 .223 -0.5 60-C 3 0.6
2014 (age 34) 239 23 11 0 5 30 13 42 1 1 -0.1 .255 .310 .381 -.144 .254 .308 .381 .237 0.6 59-C 0 0.6

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .278 .326 .416
vs RHP .258 .300 .378
Split +.020 +.027 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 2.0 2.3 $3,875,000 7.7 7.1
2009 0.2 1.3 1.5 $2,425,000 4.4 6.5
2010 0.1 1.0 1.0 $1,600,000 2.1 3.3
2011 0.1 0.8 1.0 $1,600,000 2.2 3.4
2012 0.1 0.7 0.7 $1,350,000 1.9 2.7
2013 0.0 0.6 0.6 $1,050,000 0.7 1.6
2014 0.1 0.5 0.6 $1,075,000 0.8 1.5
Peak 7.2 $8,425,000 18.9 24.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .260 .243 .217 .241
2009 .263 .240 .216 .238
2010 .257 .234 .212 .233
2011 .257 .240 .209 .237
2012 .259 .228 .206 .234
2013 .254 .233 .188 .223
2014 .263 .244 .196 .237


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 19% 0% 28%
2009 47% 17% 22%
2010 58% 33% 19%
2011 59% 40% 15%
2012 72% 53% 12%
2013 77% 60% 7%
2014 84% 75% 6%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Quintero is the quintessential backup catcher. He doesn`t mind carrying his own bag, he`s quiet, doesn`t eat the last of the good salami from the postgame spread, and he showers regularly. What he can`t do is play every day or hit enough to push even Brad Ausmus aside. Guys like Quintero don`t dream of being Ivan Rodriguez someday; they dream of being Henry Blanco. One wonders if that fan club has a newsletter.

2006

Quintero has a tremendous throwing arm and had some moderate success with the bat in the minors, though not enough to knock anyone`s socks off. If he`s going to have a major league career, he needs to either find the right golfing buddy, a la Raul Chavez, or get about 10% better with the bat. He`s already got the defensive skills to fall into the eight-year backup catcher role somewhere if he`s lucky.

2005

In spring training last year Quintero picked off two unsuspecting baserunners and threw out another would-be basestealer with David Wells on the mound. Asked after the game what he thought of his battery mate, Wells played the role of campaign manager: "It's stupid; he's showing me up. He's throwing 110 (mph) down to first and I'm only pitching 88 to home plate. I'm retiring if they don't take him with us." Wells reneged on his vow after Quintero started the year in Triple-A, but at least the young backstop finally hit better in addition to terrorizing baserunners. He profiles as a low-strikeout, low-walk hitter with modest pop, but the Pads are wishcasting for some .290 seasons with doubles power. With Ramon Hernandez's contract up at year's end, they may give Quintero his shot sooner than expected.


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