Guillermo Rodriguez

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2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:53 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	200	19	9	0	5	20	16	38	1	0	-0.6	.249	.315	.388	-.120	.247	.316	.394	.249	2.5	51-C 3	1.4
75^o	197	16	8	0	4	18	15	38	0	0	-0.6	.226	.292	.346	-.233	.225	.292	.351	.226	-2.8	50-C 2	0.8
60^o	196	15	7	0	4	18	15	38	0	0	-0.5	.215	.279	.324	-.291	.213	.280	.329	.213	-5.4	50-C 2	0.5
50^o	195	14	7	0	4	17	14	38	0	0	-0.5	.208	.271	.310	-.328	.206	.272	.315	.204	-7.0	49-C 2	0.4
40^o	193	13	6	0	3	16	14	38	0	0	-0.5	.197	.260	.291	-.379	.196	.261	.295	.192	-9.3	49-C 2	0.1
25^o	190	10	5	0	2	14	13	39	0	0	-0.5	.176	.236	.250	-.489	.174	.237	.254	.160	-14.0	48-C 1	-0.4
10^o	175	6	3	0	1	7	10	40	0	0	-0.4	.136	.190	.175	-.691	.135	.191	.177	.025	-21.0	45-C 0	-1.5
Weighted Mean	201	13	6	0	3	17	14	40	0	0	-0.5	.191	.254	.280	-.384	.190	.254	.284	.183	-10.7	51-C 2	0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
28%	45%	38%	39%	1.21

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 31)	201	13	6	0	3	17	14	40	0	0	-0.5	.191	.254	.280	-.384	.190	.254	.284	.183	-10.7	51-C 2	0.2
2010 (age 32)	182	12	6	0	4	17	13	36	0	0	-0.3	.195	.257	.300	-.364	.196	.261	.308	.192	-6.5	46-C 1	0.1
2011 (age 33)	225	17	8	0	5	22	16	45	0	0	-0.3	.203	.266	.312	-.325	.204	.270	.321	.202	-4.2	56-C 1	0.1
2012 (age 34)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 35)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 36)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 37)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.208	.272	.308
vs RHP	.188	.248	.269
Split	+.020	+.024	+.038
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-9.2	2.0	0.2	$400,000	-8.4	0.5
2010	-6.9	1.0	0.1	$400,000	-5.2	0.3
2011	-6.8	1.0	0.1	$400,000	-3.8	0.6
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.7	$600,000	0.0	2.5

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.226	.204	.160	.183
2010	.222	.188	.138	.192
2011	.228	.203	.166	.202
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	39%	0%	28%
2010	60%	30%	17%
2011	69%	45%	16%
2012	83%	72%	15%
2013	90%	78%	13%
2014	95%	88%	11%
2015	97%	90%	7%

54

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Mike Knapp	1995	57		11	Don Werner	1984	39
2	Juan Espino	1987	56		12	Miguel Ojeda	2006	39
3	Orlando Mercado	1992	49		13	Don Wakamatsu	1994	39
4	Wiki Gonzalez	2005	45		14	Alberto Castillo	2001	38
5	Yamid Haad	2008	43		15	Doug Camilli	1967	38
6	Fausto Tejero	1999	43		16	Josh Paul	2006	38
7	Jorge Brito	1997	42		17	Mike Hubbard	2002	36
8	Duffy Dyer	1976	41		18	Bob Natal	1996	36
9	Brandon Harper	2007	40		19	A.J. Hinch	2005	36
10	Dave Sax	1989	40		20	Hector Villanueva	1995	35

Player Comments

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2008

Veteran catch-and-throw guy Guillermo Rodriguez was just standing there when Alfonzo hurt his knee, and became a part of the pension plan for his trouble. He seems to have established himself ahead of Alfonzo and could stick in the majors for a while

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	SJO	A+	91	20	6	1	5	21	10	12	2	0	0.5	.364	.451	.662	-.299	.205	.264	.349	.215	-4.6	8-C 1	-0.2
2006	FRE	AAA	145	20	8	1	8	16	12	25	0	1	-0.7	.220	.303	.488	-.276	.176	.247	.405	.220	-6.3	35-C -3	-0.3
2007	FRE	AAA	119	15	6	0	1	16	11	8	1	0	0.6	.243	.319	.330	-.430	.189	.263	.255	.186	-9.9	29-C 6	0.3
2007	SFN	MLB	98	10	6	0	1	14	10	17	0	1	-1.6	.253	.327	.356	-.134	.256	.337	.349	.243	0.7	25-C 2	0.4
2008	FRE	AAA	106	9	2	0	2	7	12	14	0	1	-0.4	.266	.349	.351	-.350	.208	.283	.281	.195	-7.0	26-C 0	-0.3

Historical Stats