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David Ross
Atlanta Braves [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 32
6' 2"
240 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Braves Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 4 David Ross 15 37 .225 4 1 4 0 .329 .409 0.8
1   2009 Total 15 37 .225 4 1 4 0 .329 .409 0.8

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 CIN MLB 296 37 15 1 21 52 37 75 0 0 -1.2 .255 .353 .579 .137 .243 .344 .559 .298 21.8 70-C 3 3.0
2007 LOU AAA 11 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -0.1 .222 .364 .333 -.233 .200 .333 .300 .232 -0.3 0.0
2007 CIN MLB 348 32 10 0 17 39 30 92 0 0 -1.4 .203 .271 .399 -.234 .196 .270 .395 .228 -2.7 94-C 11 1.5
2008 SAR A+ 15 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 0 0 0.0 .182 .333 .182 -.797 .083 .200 .083 .080 -2.9 -0.2
2008 LOU AAA 34 4 1 1 1 2 3 12 0 0 0.9 .167 .235 .367 -.466 .133 .206 .333 .186 -3.3 6-C 1 0.0
2008 PAW AAA 29 4 1 0 1 3 1 7 0 0 0.0 .250 .276 .393 -.326 .214 .241 .357 .200 -1.7 -0.2
2008 CIN MLB 173 17 9 0 3 13 32 36 0 1 -1.6 .231 .381 .366 -.065 .222 .376 .363 .268 4.9 42-C 0 0.8


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:45 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 224 35 12 0 10 31 30 52 1 1 -1.3 .273 .373 .501 .155 .273 .371 .517 .299 17.0 56-C -1 2.3
75o 208 27 10 0 8 27 27 51 1 1 -1.2 .243 .343 .440 .000 .243 .342 .454 .273 8.3 52-C -1 1.6
60o 200 23 9 0 7 25 25 50 1 1 -1.1 .228 .328 .410 -.077 .228 .326 .423 .259 4.4 51-C -1 1.2
50o 195 21 8 0 7 24 24 49 1 1 -1.0 .219 .319 .391 -.124 .219 .317 .404 .251 2.2 49-C -1 1.0
40o 190 19 8 0 6 23 23 48 1 1 -1.0 .211 .311 .375 -.163 .211 .309 .387 .243 0.4 48-C -1 0.8
25o 177 15 6 0 5 20 21 46 1 0 -0.9 .190 .289 .333 -.271 .190 .288 .343 .221 -4.1 45-C -1 0.4
10o 146 8 4 0 3 15 16 41 1 0 -0.6 .150 .247 .251 -.475 .150 .246 .259 .171 -10.3 39-C 0 -0.4
Weighted Mean 168 17 7 0 6 21 21 42 1 0 -1.0 .220 .320 .393 -.118 .220 .318 .406 .249 3.9 43-C 0 1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

30%

57%

28%

48%

1.32

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 32) 168 17 7 0 6 21 21 42 1 0 -1.0 .220 .320 .393 -.118 .220 .318 .406 .249 3.9 43-C 0 1.1
2010 (age 33) 186 20 8 0 6 24 23 46 1 0 -0.7 .230 .329 .402 -.102 .226 .323 .409 .257 2.9 47-C 0 0.9
2011 (age 34) 147 15 6 0 6 19 18 37 0 0 -0.4 .221 .320 .407 -.116 .218 .314 .414 .254 1.6 39-C 0 0.6
2012 (age 35) 158 15 6 0 6 22 17 42 0 0 -0.3 .217 .306 .388 -.169 .214 .300 .395 .242 0.3 41-C -1 0.3
2013 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 37)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 38)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .235 .337 .418
vs RHP .215 .312 .378
Split +.019 +.025 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 2.4 0.0 1.1 $1,375,000 2.3 4.6
2010 4.1 0.0 0.9 $1,325,000 1.8 4.2
2011 2.8 0.0 0.6 $1,050,000 0.9 2.3
2012 1.1 -1.0 0.3 $775,000 -0.4 1.1
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 3.1 $2,700,000 4.0 13.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .273 .251 .221 .249
2010 .277 .255 .213 .257
2011 .278 .247 .225 .254
2012 .264 .241 .203 .242
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 48% 0% 30%
2010 54% 20% 26%
2011 74% 39% 23%
2012 83% 59% 13%
2013 90% 72% 10%
2014 94% 83% 10%
2015 98% 92% 9%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

42

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Doug Mirabelli 2003 50 11 Ramon Castro 2008 32
2 Ron Karkovice 1995 48 12 Charles Johnson 2003 32
3 Steve Bilko 1961 45 13 Mike Macfarlane 1996 29
4 Mark Parent 1993 43 14 Don Pavletich 1970 29
5 Gene Oliver 1967 42 15 Cal Neeman 1961 28
6 Jody Davis 1989 42 16 Phil Roof 1973 28
7 Danny Ardoin 2006 38 17 Bob Robertson 1979 27
8 Rick Wilkins 1999 36 18 Bill Haselman 1998 27
9 Chris Hoiles 1997 36 19 Duffy Dyer 1977 27
10 Ozzie Virgil 1989 32 20 Adam Hyzdu 2004 26

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

Ross's 2007 was as bad as his 2006 was good. A late-season concussion kept him out for the better part of August, and he looked shaky even after returning. Ross's defensive problems keep him from being more than a timeshare backstop with the potential to have an occasional hot month at the plate.

2007

Although Ross` season might seem ridiculously out of character, he did hit .258/.336/.556 backing up Paul Lo Duca for the Dodgers in 2003. Ross also played more in 2006 than in any season since he was in Triple-A Las Vegas in 2002, and he hasn`t been an everyday player since 1999, in High-A Vero Beach. Which is all to say that Ross has had a pretty unusual career path already, and it isn`t inconceivable that, after being constantly overlooked, he could be the new Tim Laudner. He`s a good backstop and deters the running game, he`ll take a walk if played regularly, and he can bust a cookie to crumbs when a pitcher makes a mistake. Sharing the job with Valentin, he`ll give the Reds a cheap and effective catching set-up at a time when teams are throwing millions of dollars at Rod Barajas.

2005

Ouchie. There's no way to polish that season. Ross was awful; there was no part of his game that was a positive for the Dodgers. Even in Chavez Ravine, you have to hit more than .170, and striking out in over a third of your at bats isn't good, either. Ross will have to step it up to guarantee himself a roster spot that comes with major league meal money. He's got enough pop to do it, and can be useful if he can ever top .240.

2003

Lo Duca, the next generation? Ross has progressed nicely through the minors, getting better at each level. He’s driving the ball more consistently since learning to keep his weight back longer and after bulking up. His pitch selection is far from perfect, but it’s improving. He won’t embarrass himself defensively either. After declining the option on Chad Kreuter, the Dodgers could have penciled Ross in for the backup catcher’s job had they not picked up two years of Todd Hundley. Tough break for Ross, who’s a sleeper waiting for an opportunity.

2002

Ross has some skills. His defense is considered solid, he can hit for some power, and he will draw some walks. Catcher isn't exactly where this organization needs help. Ross has a shot at a pretty good major-league career, be it in L.A. or somewhere else. If he can bump up his production 10% or so, he has a shot to be Robert Fick off the bench for some team for a long time.


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