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Kyle Snyder
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 30
6' 8"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Red Sox Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
Pos Name IP GS ERA WHIP H BB HR SO W L SV VORP
Long Kyle Snyder 45 0 4.93 1.51 49 18 4 33 2 2 0 4.2

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 WIC 2A 1 0 0 1 1 5.0 5 1 1 1 37% .235 -34 1.20 5.40 6.35 5.79 9.6 1.9 0.0 1.9 -0.1 0.1
2005 OMA 3A 2 3 0 15 12 66.0 61 22 48 3 57% .291 -1 1.26 3.55 3.94 4.74 8.3 3.3 4.6 0.6 6.0 1.4
2005 KCA MJ 1 3 0 13 3 36.0 55 10 19 3 46% .388 -10 1.81 6.75 6.28 6.44 12.4 2.5 4.5 0.7 -6.1 -0.5 0.3
2006 OMA 3A 0 4 1 10 9 60.1 63 9 43 4 56% .307 5 1.20 3.89 4.08 5.70 9.3 1.6 4.3 0.8 -0.7 0.8
2006 PAW 3A 1 1 0 3 3 20.1 24 2 7 1 60% .324 -11 1.29 3.58 5.66 5.00 12.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 1.2 0.4
2006 BOS MJ 4 5 0 16 10 58.3 77 19 55 11 42% .369 9 1.65 5.87 6.40 5.80 10.8 2.7 7.8 1.5 -1.6 0.3 1.0
2006 KCA MJ 0 0 0 1 1 2.0 10 1 2 1 38% .600 -85 5.50 22.50 31.36 33.00 30.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 -7.5 -0.3 -0.3
2007 BOS MJ 2 3 0 46 0 54.3 45 32 41 7 39% .247 -7 1.42 3.81 4.39 4.31 7.5 4.6 6.3 1.2 7.5 0.4 1.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 1:05 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 4 2 2 37 3 59.0 55 22 43 4 43% .284 4 1.30 3.38 3.46 3.34 7.9 3.0 6.0 0.6 15.9 1.5 2.1
75o 3 3 1 36 2 55.7 55 22 41 5 43% .295 1 1.38 3.93 3.89 3.87 8.4 3.2 6.1 0.7 11.4 1.1 1.6
60o 3 3 1 34 2 51.7 56 21 38 5 44% .310 -2 1.48 4.69 4.48 4.60 9.1 3.4 6.1 0.9 5.9 0.6 1.0
50o 3 3 1 33 2 49.7 56 21 37 5 44% .319 -4 1.55 5.13 4.82 5.02 9.4 3.5 6.1 1.0 3.1 0.3 0.8
40o 2 3 1 32 2 47.0 55 21 35 6 44% .328 -5 1.61 5.62 5.20 5.49 9.9 3.7 6.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.5
25o 2 3 0 29 1 41.3 54 20 31 6 45% .351 -10 1.79 6.88 6.18 6.67 11.0 4.0 6.1 1.3 -5.9 -0.5 -0.1
10o 1 2 0 26 1 35.0 51 19 26 6 46% .375 -16 1.98 8.33 7.30 8.04 12.3 4.4 6.2 1.5 -10.9 -0.9 -0.7
Weighted Mean 2 2 1 28 2 42.3 46 18 31 4 44% .315 -3 1.51 4.93 4.64 4.83 9.3 3.5 6.1 0.9 4.0 0.3 0.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

38%

61%

20%

35%

0.99

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 30) 2 2 1 28 2 42.3 46 18 31 4 44% .315 -3 1.51 4.93 4.64 4.83 9.3 3.5 6.1 0.9 4.0 0.3 0.9
2009 (age 31) 3 2 1 32 2 48.0 51 20 35 5 44% .307 -3 1.47 4.68 4.44 4.60 9.0 3.4 6.1 0.9 4.2 0.5 0.8
2010 (age 32) 2 2 1 34 1 47.3 54 20 34 5 42% .319 -6 1.56 5.10 4.84 4.98 9.7 3.5 5.9 1.0 2.0 0.3 0.5
2011 (age 33) 3 3 1 42 1 58.0 64 24 42 6 45% .318 -5 1.53 5.08 4.70 4.99 9.4 3.4 6.0 0.9 1.4 0.3 0.4
2012 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 36)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .257 .357 .404
vs RHB .260 .337 .401
Split -.003 +.020 +.003
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.9 $1,550,000 4.2 3.9
2009 0.8 $1,575,000 4.3 3.4
2010 0.5 $1,050,000 2.1 2.3
2011 0.4 $850,000 1.5 1.1
2012 0.4 $950,000 1.8 1.4
2013 0.2 $675,000 0.9 1.1
2014 0.3 $875,000 1.5 0.9
Peak 3.1 $3,750,000 13.9 13.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 3.87 5.02 6.67 4.83
2009 3.79 4.87 6.54 4.60
2010 4.40 5.53 6.82 4.98
2011 4.45 5.21 6.33 4.99
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 35% 0% 38%
2009 54% 31% 40%
2010 66% 49% 27%
2011 73% 62% 17%
2012 76% 67% 17%
2013 81% 77% 12%
2014 86% 82% 15%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

55

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Doug Brocail 1998 58 11 Ted Power 1985 45
2 Roger Mason 1989 55 12 Gary Glover 2007 43
3 Jerry Spradlin 1998 54 13 Paul Reuschel 1977 42
4 Tim Worrell 1998 50 14 Matt Karchner 1998 42
5 Lerrin LaGrow 1979 50 15 Jason Grilli 2007 40
6 Jim Coates 1963 47 16 John Farrell 1993 39
7 Doug Henry 1994 47 17 Rob Bell 2007 38
8 Rich Gale 1984 46 18 Randy Veres 1996 38
9 Tim Pugh 1997 45 19 Marvin Freeman 1994 37
10 Cecil Upshaw 1973 45 20 Gary Waslewski 1972 37

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

It`s tempting to upbraid the Sox for installing a guy who couldn`t crack the Royals rotation as a stopgap at a time when the outcome of Boston`s season wasn`t a foregone conclusion. But despite the grisly ERA and home run rate, Snyder`s strikeout rate and K/BB ratio suggest more going on than a simple case of the Sucks. Though 2004 labrum surgery cost him velocity, his sinking fastball can still top 90, and he has a decent changeup and a slow curveball (68 to 71 MPH) to boot. Fatigue and exposure appear to be issues (pitches 1 to 30: .245/.304/.443; pitches 31 to 100: .389/.435/.611), suggesting he`s worth a shot in the bullpen.

2006

Snyder had pretty much the best-case scenario for labrum surgery in the spring of 2004: a pristine operation by shoulder specialist Dr. Craig Morgan, a 12-month rehab that proceeded without a hitch, and no recurrence of shoulder problems after his return. Even then, he lost five miles per hour on his fastball, and without the separation in velocity between his fastball and a curveball he can throw for strikes, there`s not much left here but to hope he might one day be a decent swingman. Snyder is another one of the Royals` pitch-to-contact guys that suffers from the defense behind him.


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