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Kelly Stinnett
St. Louis Cardinals [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 38
5' 11"
235 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 LNC 1C 13 4 1 0 1 5 2 1 0 0 0.0 .273 .385 .636 .228 .273 .385 .727 .343 2.0 0.2
2005 TUC 3A 40 4 2 0 1 2 3 12 0 0 0.2 .229 .325 .371 -.219 .194 .275 .361 .211 -1.6 0.0
2005 ARI MJ 143 15 4 0 6 12 12 32 0 0 -1.6 .248 .317 .419 -.033 .240 .315 .403 .248 3.8 37-C -2 1.1
2006 NOR 3A 18 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 -0.9 .375 .444 .625 .688 .375 .444 .625 .354 3.6 0.3
2006 NYA MJ 87 6 3 0 1 9 5 29 0 0 -0.4 .228 .282 .304 -.316 .231 .294 .295 .209 -3.3 25-C -1 0.6
2006 NYN MJ 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0.0 .083 .083 .083 -1.028 .167 .167 .167 .000 -2.5 0.0
2007 LVG 3A 113 10 2 0 3 10 9 22 0 0 -1.0 .196 .268 .304 -.429 .194 .265 .291 .193 -6.6 28-C 0 0.5
2007 SLN MJ 87 7 3 0 1 5 5 22 0 0 -0.1 .159 .207 .232 -.555 .159 .216 .232 .136 -8.0 23-C -1 -0.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:38 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 57 7 3 0 3 7 5 13 0 0 -0.2 .261 .324 .497 .040 .260 .324 .517 .277 3.2 18-C 0 0.7
75o 56 5 3 0 2 6 5 13 0 0 -0.2 .227 .293 .387 -.187 .226 .293 .402 .236 0.1 18-C -1 0.4
60o 56 4 2 0 1 6 5 13 0 0 -0.2 .217 .284 .353 -.255 .215 .284 .366 .222 -0.8 18-C -1 0.3
50o 55 4 2 0 1 6 5 13 0 0 -0.2 .206 .274 .318 -.324 .205 .274 .330 .206 -1.7 18-C -1 0.2
40o 55 4 2 0 1 6 5 13 0 0 -0.2 .203 .272 .310 -.340 .202 .272 .322 .202 -1.9 18-C -1 0.2
25o 55 3 2 0 1 5 4 14 0 0 -0.2 .190 .260 .266 -.428 .189 .260 .276 .180 -3.0 18-C -1 0.1
10o 52 1 1 0 -1 2 4 15 0 0 -0.2 .138 .215 .096 -.748 .137 .215 .100 .020 -6.8 17-C -3 -0.3
Weighted Mean 54 4 2 0 1 6 4 13 0 0 -0.2 .206 .274 .318 -.325 .205 .274 .330 .204 -1.2 18-C -1 0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

45%

63%

26%

43%

0.96

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 38) 54 4 2 0 1 6 4 13 0 0 -0.2 .206 .274 .318 -.325 .205 .274 .330 .204 -1.2 18-C -1 0.4
2009 (age 39) 34 1 1 0 0 3 2 9 0 0 0.0 .176 .237 .228 -.527 .173 .233 .233 .151 -1.3 13-C 0 0.1
2010 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2011 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 43)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 44)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .221 .293 .344
vs RHP .202 .267 .306
Split +.019 +.026 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 0.5 0.4 $550,000 -2.4 0.2
2009 0.0 0.2 0.1 $425,000 -1.2 0.1
2010 0.0 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -0.5 0.1
2011 0.0 0.1 0.1 $450,000 0.1 0.1
2012 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 -0.5 0.0
2013 0.0 0.0 0.0 $425,000 0.0 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 0.0 0.0
Peak 0.6 $225,000 0.0 0.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .236 .206 .180 .204
2009 .226 .132 .096 .151
2010
-- out of baseball --
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 43% 0% 45%
2009 87% 60% 26%
2010 94% 77% 14%
2011 90% 88% 10%
2012 95% 89% 7%
2013 100% 100% 7%
2014 100% 100% 5%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

As a Yankee, Kelly Stinnett struck out in more than a third of his at-bats, and the results of his short-lived stint as Randy Johnson`s personal catcher weren`t anything to brag about. Released in July, the Mets signed him to replace Castro temporarily. He stayed just long enough to earn his second release of the season at the end of September.

2006

Was their most productive catcher by most meaningful counting and rate stats, which isn`t bad for a journeyman afterthought. The D-Backs could have done worse for a veteran placeholder until at least one young catcher is ready, but instead they tried to send him to Tucson. He refused the outright assignment, then hit the jackpot by signing with the Yankees as a free agent.

2005

On June 18, Benito Santiago broke a bone in his hand. On June 19, Stinnett, who was signed precisely because he wouldn't embarrass himself if forced to start for an extended period of time, injured his right elbow so severely that he had to have Tommy John surgery. An underrated backup catcher throughout his career, don' be surprised if he shows up in Diamondbacks camp with his suitcase filled with horseshoes and rabbit's feet.

2003

Stinnett’s saga makes you wonder if sometimes anybody is driving the Big Red bus. The career backup was given a two-year, $2.55 million contract extension a month into his first season with the Reds in 2001. Not even a year later, he was placed on waivers to try to dump that contract. When nobody bit, the Reds put him on the DL with simple elbow tendonitis and didn’t reinstate him for three (!) months. Then, instead of being showcased for a possible trade, he saw limited action the rest of the season. Stinnett will be a reliable, if overpaid, reserve wherever he ends up.

2002

Stinnett was traded by the Snakes to keep him away from the Giants, which was great for Benito Santiago and for the Reds, but it didn’t do much for the Giants or Stinnett. His season ended early due to elbow and knee problems, but the Reds came away sufficiently impressed. If they decide to hold on to LaRue, they can just as easily convert Stinnett into a prospect by trading him to whatever team loses its starting catcher to a spring-training injury.

2001

Kelly Stinnett’s career as a regular is dead, but considering that Jeff Reed is still around, Stinnett should be able to play as long as he wants. He had his best chance at stardom and big money taken from him when the Brewers wasted two years of his career so that they could play Mike Matheny. The Snakes were smart enough to take him on and use what was left of the best years of his career.

2000

Stinnett has always been a favorite of ours, and we were pulling for him to take the catching job in Arizona and run with it. He had a disappointing season, largely sabotaged by injuries, and it doesn’t look like he’ll be able to shake Miller anytime soon. He’s still got time for a couple of All-Star games if he hits the way he’s capable of hitting.

1999

Nice to see him get a chance after taking apart the American Association for two years. Stinnett is the best catcher the D'backs have at the upper levels, and should settle in as an above-average catcher for the next few years. He'll have one big year in the next few, bouncing up around a .900 OPS.

1998

He’s outplayed Mike Matheny every year of their careers. There is no question about Stinnett’s glovework: he basically derailed the career of a bad prospect named Bobby Hughes because he was the catcher the Zephyrs pitchers wanted to work with. Whether he makes a habit of spitting in Chris Bando’s coffee or something, I just don’t know, because there is no good explanation for why Stinnett isn’t playing ahead of Matheny. Taken in the Expansion Draft by Arizona.

1997

Another catcher snagged by Sal Bando. Might be good enough to start for a few years; if not, certainly a capable backup. If Pat Borders has a job, there’s no reason Kelly shouldn’t have one.

1996

A decent acquisition as a Rule V pickup two years ago, Stinnett may find himself challenged by Mayne for the role of backup catcher. The Mets may find themselves forced to carry three catchers, which, if Hundley is healthy, is really unnecessary. A trade may be the best thing for both Stinnett and the Mets. Sent to Milwaukee, in the mix there with Matheny and Nokes.


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