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Gregg Zaun
Toronto Blue Jays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 37
5' 10"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

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Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Blue Jays Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 9 Gregg Zaun 55 339 .252 37 8 39 0 .343 .402 8.3
1   2008 Total 55 339 .252 37 8 39 0 .343 .402 8.3

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 NHP 2A 8 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0.1 .333 .500 .500 .474 .167 .375 .333 .263 0.0 0.0
2005 TOR MJ 512 61 18 1 11 61 73 70 2 3 -0.8 .251 .355 .373 -.041 .251 .366 .378 .267 14.0 122-C -3 4.0
2006 DUN 1C 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.0 .000 .000 .000 -1.081 .250 .250 .250 .158 -0.4 0.0
2006 TOR MJ 339 39 19 0 12 40 41 42 0 2 -0.6 .272 .363 .462 .070 .266 .366 .465 .285 15.3 61-C -2 3.0
2007 SYR 3A 12 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0.0 .091 .167 .091 -.757 .182 .250 .182 .135 -1.5 0.0
2007 TOR MJ 391 43 24 1 10 52 51 55 0 0 -2.3 .242 .341 .411 -.038 .242 .349 .428 .273 12.5 94-C -7 2.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:22 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 316 43 19 1 10 40 40 46 1 1 -1.0 .276 .370 .458 .097 .274 .371 .462 .293 18.5 77-C -7 3.0
75o 305 39 17 0 9 38 38 45 1 1 -1.0 .267 .360 .437 .048 .266 .361 .442 .284 14.4 74-C -6 2.6
60o 291 34 15 0 8 34 35 43 1 1 -0.9 .255 .347 .410 -.016 .254 .348 .415 .272 9.2 71-C -6 2.1
50o 288 32 15 0 7 34 34 43 1 1 -0.9 .253 .344 .405 -.030 .252 .346 .409 .269 8.2 70-C -6 2.0
40o 277 29 13 0 7 32 32 42 1 1 -0.8 .245 .335 .386 -.075 .244 .336 .390 .261 5.0 68-C -6 1.7
25o 266 26 12 0 6 29 30 41 1 1 -0.8 .236 .325 .366 -.123 .235 .326 .370 .251 1.7 65-C -5 1.4
10o 238 19 9 0 4 24 26 37 0 0 -0.6 .217 .303 .321 -.231 .216 .304 .324 .228 -4.5 59-C -5 0.8
Weighted Mean 281 31 14 0 7 33 33 42 1 1 -0.8 .252 .343 .402 -.036 .250 .344 .406 .266 6.9 69-C -5 2.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

13%

42%

22%

31%

0.82

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 37) 281 31 14 0 7 33 33 42 1 1 -0.8 .252 .343 .402 -.036 .250 .344 .406 .266 6.9 69-C -5 2.4
2009 (age 38) 185 15 9 0 4 21 20 29 1 1 -0.4 .232 .318 .367 -.136 .234 .325 .378 .246 0.5 47-C -4 0.8
2010 (age 39) 143 11 7 0 4 17 15 23 0 0 -0.3 .248 .329 .397 -.068 .250 .336 .409 .259 1.8 38-C -4 0.6
2011 (age 40)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 41)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 42)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 43)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .260 .346 .402
vs RHP .249 .341 .402
Split +.011 +.006 +.000
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.0 1.4 2.4 $3,500,000 4.3 6.1
2009 0.3 0.5 0.8 $925,000 -1.5 1.1
2010 0.3 0.3 0.6 $800,000 0.2 1.8
2011 0.1 0.2 0.3 $550,000 0.0 0.5
2012 0.1 0.1 0.2 $525,000 0.2 0.5
2013 0.0 0.1 0.1 $475,000 -0.2 0.0
2014 0.0 0.0 0.0 $450,000 -0.5 0.0
Peak 4.4 $4,175,000 2.9 10.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .284 .269 .251 .266
2009 .264 .246 .214 .246
2010 .275 .239 .196 .259
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 31% 0% 13%
2009 75% 29% 3%
2010 85% 53% 9%
2011 92% 81% 2%
2012 97% 88% 0%
2013 97% 91% 0%
2014 99% 93% 0%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

36

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Alan Ashby 1992 40 11 Don Slaught 2003 33
2 Ernie Whitt 1979 36 12 Andy Seminick 1971 33
3 Rick Dempsey 1981 36 13 Birdie Tebbetts 1982 33
4 Chad Kreuter 1970 36 14 Todd Zeile 1960 33
5 Sherm Lollar 1973 35 15 Eddie Murray 2007 32
6 Mike Piazza 1992 35 16 Ray Boone 1975 32
7 Johnny Roseboro 1975 34 17 Ron Fairly 1969 32
8 Jeff Reed 1975 34 18 Dave Bergman 2000 31
9 Ron Hassey 1957 34 19 Robin Ventura 1979 30
10 Terry Steinbach 1998 33 20 Scott Hatteberg 2005 30

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Not since Danny Noonan has someone done more to prove that sometimes the caddy is better than the guy whose clubs he`s carrying. The Blue Jays caught a break when Rod Barajas` reneged on their contract offer, which allowed them to keep the more valuable player in Zaun. Expect some decline in the home run output, but Zaun can handle a pitching staff, and he treats his at-bats like he`s getting residuals from the Brotherhood of Backup Catchers for every pitch he sees.

2006

Zaun`s starting job became secure when Quiroz came down with every injury you`d expect from someone who fell out of an airplane. Finally getting his first shot at everyday play, he responded with a season almost identical to his 2004, just more of it. Despite poor power numbers, he again posted a respectable OBP, and did the little things--like getting knocked out cold breaking up a double play--that get players labeled as gamers. In what`s become a career somewhat like Alan Ashby`s, Zaun is the kind of catcher that good teams use to hold a position down until something better comes along. Assuming Quiroz is ready, Zaun will return to being the practically perfect backup catcher.

2005

It was a nice year for the Practically Perfect Backup Catcher, as he shook off an early-year release to post the most valuable season of his career. He did wear down under the heaviest workload he'd carried in a while, ending the season in a 9-for-49 tailspin. Nevertheless, he's back in Toronto in '05; his skills make him a good backup for Quiroz.

2003

The Practically Perfect Backup Catcher was anything but in 2002. Zaun hit poorly, threw out only 11% of would-be base thieves and had a lousy CERA, thanks to being Dave Mlicki’s personal catcher. It wasn’t until after the season that he revealed he had been playing with a torn flexor tendon in his right elbow. The Astros’ player rep, Zaun drew McLane’s ire when he made disparaging remarks about the questionable accounting practices of MLB owners. Hunsicker wants to unload the last year of his contract, which is too bad since Zaun would outproduce Ausmus at 20% the cost.

2002

It would be nice if a year from now we couldn't call him The Practically Perfect Backup Catcher, because he'd taken the Astros' starting job from Brad Ausmus. They could use another left-handed bat in the lineup anyway, and flipping the two players' roles would be worth 15, maybe 20 runs. That's a lot in a division likely to be decided very late in the season.

2001

It was a good year for the Practically Perfect Backup Catcher. Gregg Zaun was actually the closest thing to a first-stringer on the Royals, and you would think a .390 OBP would garner him more consideration as a possible starter for 2001. Instead, the Royals are looking to trade for Ben Davis or some other defensive whiz who’s a non-factor at the plate. Zaun threw out just 19% of base stealers, though in his defense he missed six weeks early in the season with a torn elbow ligament. A team as right-handed as the Royals are can’t afford to throw away a switch-hitter who can give them 300 quality at-bats while playing a key defensive position.

2000

Some of the world's least demanding jobs: Bruce Willis's hair stylist, O.J. Simpson Fan Club chairman, Scott Baio's casting agent, ESPN movie critic, backup catcher to Pudge Rodriguez. Gregg Zaun has exactly the right skill set for one of those. He’ll back up Brad Ausmus in Detroit, having traded jobs with Bill Haselman.

1999

Blew his opportunity and traded to Texas after the acquisition of Jorge Fabregas. He’ll never have a year like ‘97 again, but he’s someone Melvin and Oates know. Good enough to watch Charles Johnson, and good enough to watch Pudge. That, and wuss out on reviewing horror flicks.

1998

The Practically Perfect Backup Catcher: Part 2, and the sequel may be better than the original. Can you name a better second-stringer? He was never a great prospect in the minor leagues, which shows how knowing the strike zone can make up for a lot of limitations. He has no outstanding qualities but does everything well, including movie reviews for ESPNet Sportszone, and it’s almost a shame that he’s stuck behind a guy like Charles Johnson.

1997

The Practically Perfect Backup Catcher. Hits well from both sides of the plate, controls the running game pretty well and in the tradition of his uncle, Rick Dempsey, he’s a pretty funny guy. His talents are much more valuable to an NL team, where pinch-hitters are more important and a switch-hitter off the bench is gold. With Johnson and Zaun, the Marlins shouldn’t even think of carrying three catchers this season. Probably talented enough to make the transition to starter someday, much like Mike Stanley did.


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