July 19, 2013
The Trade Market Heats Up
Question: I wanted to get your thoughts on Ian Kennedy. I'm in a 10-team dynasty league and it would be so therapeutic to drop him (there doesn't seem to be much of a trade market at all for him). I could use his spot to stream guys like A.J. Griffin, Felix Doubront, etc., or take a shot on a youngster for the future like Jarred Cosart (I didn't get to see his start but the stat line looked pretty good; I'm sure Jason watched it, so maybe you could tell me if he looked impressive or if the Rays just had an off night). Basically, is Kennedy better than he is pitching, or is this who he is now?
Answer: I love the guy, but it's time to move on in a 10-teamer. There are just sure to be better options.
Question: I'm in a 14-team, 5x5 dynasty league with OBP instead of AVG, QS instead of W and holds-plus-saves instead of saves. We have 33-man rosters and a $300 auction budget. I've been in the bottom third all year so I made some trades and waiver moves to build for the future and I've freed up a bunch of money for the auction. I traded away Cliff Lee and Lance Lynn for some cheap bats, thereby picking up Noah Syndergaard and Robert Stephenson (both $1).
I need to drop some guys to clear up roster spots. Please rank who you would drop first: Ackley $8, Rutledge $14, Chisenhall $3, Cozart $4. I am leaning Cozart and Rutledge. Current IF and SP options: C. Carter, Sandoval, Gyorko, Tulo, Seager, X. Bogaets. SPs (all $4 or less): H. Bailey, Iwakuma, J. Parker, D. Holland, Lester, Wacha, C. Archer, A.J. Griffin. Or I could drop one of these RPs, but I'm pretty weak here already: H. Street $7, Benoit $1, A. Bailey $1, Axford $6 and B League $1.
Answer: You have to drop Rutledge and Ackley here. They’re the most expensive ones as well as the least productive of the group.
Question: I am trying to acquire Darvish in a league that began this season where you purchase the contract length of a player. He is contracted until 2017 and will cost me $38 of a $400 cap, and his salary will increase by $2 in 2014, $4 in 2015, $6 in 2016, and $8 in 2017 ($58 at the end of his contract).
I currently have Kershaw at $50. I just traded Fister at $17 until 2015 for Zach Lee and Travis d’Arnaud to free up some salary.
My other SP are:
My minor leaguers (all at $1) who will see their salaries increase as above, as they are now up:
My minor leaguers who are not expected up too soon and will increase by $1 per year until they are called up:
They Darvish owner wants young pitching (specifically Cole and Cody Allen) of which I feel I have enough to give up. I have about $40 of salary cap room.Is it crazy to give up Cole and, say, Cobb plus Cody Allen for Darvish? I am taking on all salary and all increases over the contract length.
At the initial auction, bidding was crazy and I probably overpaid for Kershaw. When the Dodgers extend him, I can choose to take that extension on or let him go back to the pool. Obviously I could trade him, but there is not a lot of cash out there for competing teams this year.
If I let Kershaw go after next year, I feel my pitching is sufficient, especially if I get Darvish.
This is my first keeper league, and I suppose I want to get an idea that I am on the right track.
Answer: Cole/Cobb/Allen isn't crazy now in a flags-fly-forever mode. It may hurt two years from now, but I have no problem making that trade with 2013/2014 in mind.
Question: I've got a trade offered to me that's big and enticing. My main reason for saying "yes" would be my worries that Pujols is in his decline phase.
Relevant info: it's not a keeper league. We count walks and holds, so Cook is very helpful. Lawrie will soon be my MI to replace Escobar, or I can play Yunel (or, if things break right, Profar).
What do you think? As McCutchen and Goldschmidt are about even, it's really a question of whether Pence's output is close to Pujols’, which is really what I'm wondering about.
Answer: I have to stay put on this one, as I'm not even slightly swayed either way. Seems more like a name swap than a productive-stat swap.
Answer: Nolasco, Cingrani, Hefner, Turner, Johnson (who has looked all sorts of bad lately)
Question: We are in a league where the keeper system is as follows: First year after a player is drafted, you get to keep the player at the Draft Price. After the first year you have to choose whether to offer 1, 2, or 3 year contracts at $5 per year, but you have to pay that full contract amount each year. For example:
So with that in mind—my season is done this year, and I am trying to unload any player I can for future assets. I am currently weighing three offers:
Basically, I am leaning toward Rizzo over Medlen and Mauer, but wondering what combo of the Fowler, Cueto, LoMo, and E. Cabrera group it would take to trump Rizzo? Alternatively, I could take Mauer and Medlen.
Also, separately: What kind of keeper value do you think Profar has for next year? I am getting offered him separately, but I would have to make a contract decision on him and am having so much trouble previewing what to expect from him in the next 2 years
Answer: I prefer delving into offer three out of all of them, but offer two comes in second, as I don't want to contract Medlen, and Mauer still has the issues of durability plus lingering concerns of how long he'll be a catcher (though he has reached the threshold to be a catcher next year).
I prefer ECab, Fowler, LoMo, and Cueto in that order of the trade three. I love Cueto, but I'm nervous about contracting any pitcher, let alone one with some durability concerns of his own. Profar is probably very cheap based on these other prices, so he seems like someone worth giving at least two years to, if not the full three.