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May 21, 2014

Transaction Analysis

Stephen Drew and the Red Sox End the Suspense

by Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Quinton



BOSTON RED SOX
Team Audit | Player Cards | Depth Chart

Signed SS-L Stephen Drew to a one-year deal for the pro-rated $14.1 million qualifying offer amount (roughly $10.2 million remaining). [5/20]

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13 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

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jdeich

Did the Tigers try to make an offer? They're a high-payroll playoff-likely team whose shortstops have hit a cumulative .193/.252/.222 through 41 games.

May 21, 2014 06:21 AM
rating: 0
 
jdeich

(I understand the draft pick consequence.... but .222 SLG? You think they'd at least tell Stephen what their number would be in two weeks.)

May 21, 2014 06:23 AM
rating: 2
 
stuckinLF

My understanding of the draft pick penalty is that the signing team forfeits their pick...but the player's previous team does not receive a compensatory pick (this was a change in the last CBA; they used to get a sandwich pick between the first and second rounds).

The Red Sox, along with a few teams who had already forfeited their pick due to previous signings, were among the few teams who did not have to pay an additional penalty to sign Drew. Had they been forced to give up a pick, I'm guessing they would have shied away...

It's a steep penalty, and one that the Players Association is going to push hard to remove.

May 21, 2014 06:40 AM
rating: -1
 
Johnston

I think QO's are great and working as designed. They put a damper on agents like Boras that was long overdue.

May 21, 2014 11:10 AM
rating: -2
 
Behemoth

Yeah, the one thing baseball really needs is for the owners to get even more money. It's not like they're going to cut ticket prices just because they don't spend as much on free agents.

May 22, 2014 02:20 AM
rating: 2
 
Dodger300

Yes, it upsets me so much when someone like Boros earns a small percentage of the contracts that he negotiates that I prefer to see the best available talent remain on the sidelines, like Drew did. Or perhaps choose to play other sports entirely.

As a baseball fan, the most thrilling aspect of the game for me is to watch billionaire owners' bank accounts grow larger. That is so much more fun than watching double plays or home runs.

In light of all of the above, qualifying offers that suppress or completely eliminate the market for the best players become win-win propositions, don't they? They are the truly best thing that has happened to the game since the introduction of the live ball era.

Let's all hope that baseball never allows for a free market economy that would actually reward players whatever amount of compensation they can command, so that the world's best athletes will choose to play baseball first instead of other sports.

Take that, Scott Boras!

May 23, 2014 03:24 AM
rating: 2
 
Behemoth

Your understanding is incorrect. All teams except for the Red Sox would have lost a pick for signing Drew. If a team has already forfeited their highest eligible pick, they lose their second highest eligible pick and so on. If a team except for the Red Sox had signed Drew before this year's draft, the Red Sox would have received an additional pick between the first and second rounds.

May 22, 2014 02:22 AM
rating: 1
 
swarmee

Red Sox for one year at $10 mil is a better option than the 3 year, $39 million mystery-team contract that Boras was touting as a solid offer during Spring Training? Boras couldn't have been lying, could he? Well, this upsets me. The two reserve guys I drafted in an NL-only league as fliers now are playing for the AL-East (also had Juan Francisco, 8HRs).
Maybe I'll do better with my college fliers: Carlos Rodon and Trea Turner in the Rule 4 Draft.

May 21, 2014 06:43 AM
rating: -3
 
wma1963

Is there any reason free swinging Will Middlebrooks ever plays for the Bosox again? He obviously does not understand nor believes in the Bosox approach at the plate by seeing pitches etc etc. Thought he would have learned his lesson last year. Good riddance to him.

May 21, 2014 07:23 AM
rating: 0
 
Johnston

He sure looks like trade bait to me.

May 21, 2014 11:11 AM
rating: 1
 
NightmareRec0n

I believe the potential long term consequences outweigh a slight marginal improvement. Every time a young guy struggles, we can’t sound the alarm and ship them back to AAA. I actually don’t like Middlebrooks. He reminds me of Pedro Alvarez with less power, but I think he can be worth 2 WAR or so over a full season. But the Red Sox are going to head into 2015 wondering whether WMB can hit, whether Xander can play SS, and whether Cechhini is a major leaguer. Xander isn't going to get better at playing SS by playing 3rd either.

My crux is that Drew might be worth 1 or so WAR over the current situation, but that probably isn't the difference between making the the playoffs and not. I'd rather have an idea what my young players can do and a proper evaluation of the situation going forward than an extra 1 WAR.

May 21, 2014 11:42 AM
rating: 2
 
Behemoth

They know what Xander is at short already. They'd likely still be wondering how Cecchini does in the bigs anyway, because they don't think he's ready and won't be till towards the end of the season. They have a pretty good idea of what Middlebrooks is too. He's a guy with power who doesn't have a great approach and will suffer from prolonged cold spells. Given that he isn't an elite defender, he's pretty much no more than a second-division starter.

May 22, 2014 02:28 AM
rating: 0
 
NightmareRec0n

And Stephan Drew isn't a second division starter? I'm not suggesting Middlebrooks is good, I'm just suggesting the upgrade is so small that it won't matter.

They don't know what Xander is at short. It has been a quarter of a season. Yunel Escobar and Ian Desmond have been garbage this season so far too.

May 23, 2014 01:17 AM
rating: 0
 
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Eyewitness Accounts: M... (05/21)
<< Previous Column
Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (05/19)
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Premium Article Transaction Analysis: ... (05/29)
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Behind the Curtain: Hu... (05/21)

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