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The outfield position regularly boasts some of the premier fantasy players in the game. That’s no different this year, as many as five outfielders could be drafted in the first round of deeper mixed leagues—some familiar faces with a notable newcomer who was actually the top-grossing fantasy producer at the position in 2015.

Five-star players are the studs at their position. In general, they are the players who will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and they will fetch mixed-league auction bids in excess of $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be early-round selections, and they are projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late-round sleepers and roster placeholders. The positional tiers aren't simply a regurgitation of last year’s values but rather try to offer some insights into what we expect will happen in 2016.

We retained last year's roster requirements for the positional tier series. Dollar values come from last year’s PFM using a 12-team, standard 5×5 scoring format, with 23-man rosters and the following positions: C (2) 1B (1) 2B (1) 3B (1) SS (1) CI (1) MI (1) OF (5) UT (1) P (9). The minimum bid for players is $1, and, as we did last year, we'll allocate $180 of a $260 budget to hitters. Players needed to play in 20 games at a position to qualify there. The PFM is customizable, so if your league uses a different format you can adjust it to match your league settings and see how it impacts players’ dollar values.

FIVE STAR

Player

Team

Mixed $

AL/NL $

PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG

Mike Trout

LAA

$33.78

$36.26

682

104

41

90

11

.299

Bryce Harper

WAS

$38.11

$37.72

654

118

42

99

6

.330

Giancarlo Stanton

MIA

$3.28

$14.88

318

47

27

67

4

.265

Andrew McCutchen

PIT

$24.23

$29.10

685

91

23

96

11

.292

A.J. Pollock

AZ

$44.37

$45.58

673

111

20

76

39

.315

It seems that Mike Trout isn’t a unanimous no. 1 choice in fantasy leagues this year, which is almost as ridiculous as Ryan Roberts’s “Tatman” nickname. Harper took the league by storm in 2015, outperforming Trout at the final tally, but Trout was only one home run shy of Harper’s total—which I legitimately wouldn’t have guessed before writing this article—and I still can’t help but think Trout still has 20-plus stolen bases in him for the foreseeable future.

Pollock possesses a tantalizing combination of skills, especially for fantasy owners, but I’m not sold on the 20-home-run power. The ballparks certainly matter; however, McCutchen clubbed 23 homers and had a much higher average batted-ball velocity (91.39 mph) than Pollock (89.45 mph). Just for reference, Pollock’s totals were just below Martin Prado, Joe Mauer, and Jason Castro, so he’s hardly surrounded by traditional sluggers. Though, to be fair, he’s 10 spots higher than Buster Posey (89.35 mph) and Kris Bryant (89.33 mph), which means average batted-ball velocity isn’t unimpeachable. It does call into question Pollock’s long-term power potential, given the fact that he had never hit double-digit homers in a season before 2015. Of course, the 39 stolen bases keeps him firmly in the five-star tier nonetheless.

Five-Star Value Pick: Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels
It’d be nice if Trout ran as much as he did in 2012-2013, but the 24-year-old is still the top-overall fantasy player this spring for two reasons: (1) he’s possibly the safest top-tier option in the league; and (2) his power totals have increased in each of the last two seasons and could conceivably continue to climb this upcoming year. Speaking of average batted-ball velocity, Trout had the 11th-highest mark in the league. That should result in a high batting average and a few dozen homers.

FOUR STAR

Player

Team

Mixed $

AL/NL $

PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG

Starling Marte

PIT

$29.43

$35.27

633

84

19

81

30

.287

Mookie Betts

BOS

$25.75

$33.10

654

92

18

77

21

.292

Chris Davis

BAL

$30.27

$31.19

670

100

47

117

2

.262

Jose Bautista

TOR

$31.08

$32.39

666

108

40

114

8

.251

George Springer

HOU

$5.93

$18.54

451

59

16

41

16

.276

J.D. Martinez

DET

$25.91

$29.02

657

93

38

102

3

.282

Charlie Blackmon

COL

$35.06

$40.35

682

93

17

58

43

.287

Ryan Braun

MIL

$28.10

$33.52

568

87

25

84

24

.285

Justin Upton

DET

$21.80

$28.51

620

85

26

81

19

.251

Nelson Cruz

SEA

$28.03

$31.18

655

90

44

93

3

.302

Lorenzo Cain

KC

$31.17

$38.18

604

101

16

72

28

.307

Carlos Gomez

HOU

$6.73

$18.96

477

61

12

56

17

.255

Adam Jones

BAL

$12.89

$20.34

581

74

27

83

3

.269

Yoenis Cespedes

NYM

$30.95

$33.53

676

101

35

105

7

.291

Carlos Gonzalez

COL

$22.26

$27.59

608

87

40

97

2

.271

Billy Hamilton

CIN

$17.83

$30.41

454

56

4

28

57

.226

Jason Heyward

CHC

$18.87

$26.97

610

79

13

60

23

.293

Because the outfield will ultimately contain 75 guys, the middle tiers get crowded. The four-star tier contains a lot of different kinds of fantasy players. Speed still matters more than other categories, given the decline in stolen bases across the league, which is why someone like Billy Hamilton still ekes his way onto this list, despite playing-time concerns and an abysmal batting average. He’s one of the players who can carry your squad in the category. He’s a luxury good, though, which means you’ll pay for overspending in other areas of your budget.

Some other members of the Fantasy Team argued for Lorenzo Cain to be pushed up a bit higher—even higher than I have him here—but long-standing injury issues combined with the fact that he’ll be 30 years old this spring make me nervous. I’ve championed Cain since he was with the Milwaukee Brewers. He’s a player I adore. The power is legitimate, and he’s shown a better hit tool than I expected. His style leads to nagging injuries, though, and I’m not sure his power/speed combination ages well. With that said, I want to love Lorenzo Cain in 2016. I’m just not sure I’m willing to spend what it will take to acquire him on draft day.

This feels like a monster year for Justin Upton, who moves to Detroit and will benefit from a stacked lineup that includes Ian Kinsler, Miguel Cabrera, and J.D. Martinez. His run and RBI totals should jump to D-Backs levels, and he still showed that he can swipe double-digit bags with ease. While the batting average won’t be elite, Upton could be tremendous everywhere else.

I’ll say this: Yoenis Cespedes won many admirers in New York, but I see little reason why we should think he’s anything more than what he was in 2013 and 2014. The approach has gotten worse in many ways. The BABIP is probably coming down, too.

Four-Star Value Pick: Carlos Gomez, Houston Astros
Much like Lorenzo Cain, injury concerns push Gomez down the fantasy rankings. The upside, though, is higher than anything Cain can offer. Gomez is a potential 20/30 guy with a .280-plus batting average. Because he won’t be caught batting leadoff in Houston, either, his RBI totals should be much better than in previous years. It ain’t a risk-free option, but GoGo is a potential top-10-overall player going outside the top-50 in average drafts.

THREE STAR

Player

Team

Mixed $

AL/NL $

PA

R

HR

RBI

SB

AVG

Gregory Polanco

PIT

$16.17

$24.92

652

83

9

52

27

.256

Jacoby Ellsbury

NYY

$5.09

$18.57

501

66

7

33

21

.257

Yasiel Puig

LAD

$-8.39

$5.49

311

30

11

38

3

.255

Corey Dickerson

TB

$-9.91

$4.23

234

30

10

31

0

.304

Hanley Ramirez

BOS

$2.22

$13.18

430

59

19

53

6

.249

Adam Eaton

CHW

$20.21

$28.30

689

98

14

56

18

.287

Matt Kemp

SD

$20.61

$27.15

648

80

23

100

12

.265

Christian Yelich

MIA

$7.03

$18.03

525

63

7

44

16

.300

If Puig and Dickerson can prove healthy, the 2016 season should prove an interesting litmus test for their long-term value. Puig needs to prove that he can hit for average now that the league has figured him out. His swinging-strike rate jumped to 13.9 percent a year ago, yet he’s made more contact on poor pitches to hit. That’s not a good combination. Puig’s divisive personality is also a problem, even in fantasy, as it could affect his playing time.

Dickerson must now prove that he’s not a product of Coors Field. For his career, he’s only hit .249/.286/.410 away from Colorado, with his walk rate plummeting and his strikeout rate rocketing upward. Moreover, he’s only a career .246/.299/.377 hitter against lefties, and the Rays won’t be shy about platooning him unless that’s fixed. The upside is there, sure, but Dickerson is no longer in the same conversation as his former teammate, Charlie Blackmon.

I was the high man on Adam Eaton a year ago. After a dreadful start to the season, he hit .311/.390/.471 with 12 homers and 17 stolen bases from June onward. I still believe and will be investing heavily in the White Sox’s leadoff man in 2016.

Three-Star Value Pick: Jacoby Ellsbury, New York Yankees
Ellsbury was hitting .324/.412/.372 with 14 stolen bases on May 19, when he went down with a knee injury. He was poor after returning to the everyday lineup. From June 8 until the end of the season, he hit .224/.269/.332 with only seven stolen bases. His BABIP dropped to .261, far below his career .319 BABIP, and fantasy owners suffered. He’s reportedly 100 percent healthy, which bodes extremely well for his projected production in 2016.

Thank you for reading

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sbnbaseball
2/16
Hamilton seems to stand out as misplaced in the four star tier.....offers speed and nothing more for fantasy owners. I prefer a 20 steal guy who can hit for a higher BA and has some pop.
jimmyb1799
2/16
I specifically addressed this in the article.
davinhbrown
2/17
Of all the things I have read on the Internet.... I feel your response to the original comment should have been made in ALL CAPS!
batts40
2/16
WHERE'S CHRIS DAVIS?!?

Oh, yeah, nevermind.
KevinJackson
2/16
If Kyle Schwarber was drafted to fill an OF position, approximately where would he fall in these tiers?
Graz96
2/16
Which 4 star OF has the best chance to reach 5 star status by years end?
jfranco77
2/17
My vote is Betts, Cain, Springer in some order.
sbnbaseball
2/17
Springer and Betts for sure.
boatman44
2/16
Please tell a poor Cleveland fan that Brantley would have been in the 4 star tier ( near the top) if he hadn't had Uncle Vanya's back.
Truganini
2/20
I'm surprised to see Billy Hamilton in the top 20. Highest I've seen him anywhere. What's the thought there?

The other one I question is Polanco. Lots of talent, but inconsistent and can't hit lefties.
Lenzkid10
2/25
Did you read the article? He answers your first question...
Truganini
3/02
Ha, I skimmed right past that. Thanks for the heads up.
youppi
3/07
Just FYI, the OF projections are not being listed on your fantasy splash page, and instead the Starting Pitchers link brings you here.