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February 9, 2013

BP Fantasy Podcast

Latest NFBC Mock Draft Data

by Jason Collette

This data is courtesy of our friends at STATS LLC who run the National Fantasy Baseball Championships. They tell us that since Ryan Braun was named in the Biogenesis report, he's going no higher than 4th in any of the mock drafts that have been run after going first overall in four of the previous six drafts. The data below is from the 37 most recent mock drafts that the NFBC members have run in February. If the embedded google worksheet does not work for you, click here for a direct link to the worksheet.

 

Jason Collette is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Jason's other articles. You can contact Jason by clicking here

Related Content:  Fantasy,  ADP

9 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

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eskimoQball

Any guesses as to the logic of not taking Ryan Braun higher than 4th anymore? Surely, the belief was that he was under so much strutiny last year that his stats were of 'clean' ability...what changes with his name on the list? He doesn't appear to be at serious risk of suspension...

Feb 09, 2013 09:17 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Jason Collette
BP staff

It doesn't make sense to me. If he was going to miss any time (say 25 games), he is rather unlikely to earn top 5 value.

Feb 09, 2013 18:11 PM
 
eliyahu

My guess is that people can now assume that he was, in fact, cheating last year, and that he is marginally less likely to cheat this year.

Feb 09, 2013 21:27 PM
rating: -1
 
warpigs

What are the scoring categories?

Feb 09, 2013 11:21 AM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Jason Collette
BP staff

Standard 5x5

Feb 09, 2013 11:33 AM
 
LynchMob

Tell me what "scoring categories" means in the context of "mock draft"? Seriously, if it's "mock", then there's no scoring ... you just have to trust that everyone "mock drafting" cares about the same things ... and in theory that means "5x5" ... but what'd be really cool is a "league of drafts", ie. have a draft each week between now and opening day, with same set of expert owners, and then actually track how each of the owners teams do in the season ... or is that what this NFBC does? If so, then that is some data worth studying ...

Feb 10, 2013 14:43 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Jason Collette
BP staff

They're mocking strategies to prepare for their drafts. The NFBC participants aren't mocking just to mock - they're testing out strategies and theories. They do have a "league of drafts" format where participants play the team they draft and cannot make any changes and it is their most rapidly growing format.

Feb 10, 2013 17:38 PM
 
warpigs

Do they do this for AL and NL only?

Feb 10, 2013 16:48 PM
rating: 0
 
BP staff member Jason Collette
BP staff

They only do the mixed league formats

Feb 10, 2013 17:37 PM
 
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<< Previous Article
Premium Article Prospects Will Break Y... (02/08)
<< Previous Column
BP Fantasy Podcast: Ep... (02/04)
Next Column >>
BP Fantasy Podcast: Up... (02/15)
Next Article >>
Fantasy Article The Keeper Reaper: Cat... (02/11)

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