Biographical

Portrait of Ian Kennedy

Ian Kennedy PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 31)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
150.0 4.13 1.34 135 8 9 0 0.8
Birth Date12-19-1984
Height6' 0"
Weight200 lbs
Age31 years, 4 months, 15 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.62012
0.42013
1.32014
0.12015
0.82016
proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP
2007 NYA MLB 3 3 19.0 13 9 15 1 .263 99 6.2 4.3 0.5 7.1 26% .231 .201 1.16 3.84 1.89 104 3.11 0.5
2008 NYA MLB 10 9 39.7 50 26 27 5 .261 105 11.3 5.9 1.1 6.1 43% .333 .317 1.92 5.48 8.17 120 8.08 -1.1
2009 NYA MLB 1 0 1.0 0 2 1 0 .269 103 0.0 18.0 0.0 9.0 0% .000 .295 2.00 10.14 0.00 105 7.84 -0.0
2010 ARI MLB 32 32 194.0 163 70 168 26 .267 97 7.6 3.2 1.2 7.8 39% .256 .254 1.20 4.35 3.80 102 3.68 3.5
2011 ARI MLB 33 33 222.0 186 55 198 19 .257 99 7.5 2.2 0.8 8.0 40% .270 .235 1.09 3.19 2.88 86 3.02 5.3
2012 ARI MLB 33 33 208.3 216 55 187 28 .258 102 9.3 2.4 1.2 8.1 40% .306 .274 1.30 4.08 4.02 97 4.47 1.6
2013 ARI 0 21 21 124.0 128 48 108 18 .256 103 9.3 3.5 1.3 7.8 38% .301 .288 1.42 4.57 5.23 0 0.00 0.0
2013 SDN 0 10 10 57.3 52 25 55 9 .258 96 8.2 3.9 1.4 8.6 44% .279 .274 1.34 4.56 4.24 0 0.00 0.0
2014 SDN MLB 33 33 201.0 189 70 207 16 .260 92 8.5 3.1 0.7 9.3 42% .315 .269 1.29 3.18 3.63 94 4.27 1.3
2015 SDN MLB 30 30 168.3 166 52 174 31 .263 97 8.9 2.8 1.7 9.3 41% .301 .293 1.30 4.54 4.28 107 5.00 0.1
2016 KCA MLB 5 5 31.0 24 11 29 3 .261 97 7.0 3.2 0.9 8.4 36% .269 .236 1.13 3.72 2.61 98 0.00 0.0
2013 TOT MLB 31 31 181.3 180 73 163 27 .257 101 8.9 3.6 1.3 8.1 40% .295 .284 1.40 4.56 4.91 116 4.73 0.4
CareerMLB2112091265.711874231169156.260988.43.01.18.340%.290.2671.273.993.951014.2011.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2006 STA A- 1 1 2.0 2 2 2 0 .248 35 9.0 9.0 0.0 9.0 29% .312 .250 2.00 4.31 0.00
2007 NYA MLB 3 3 19.0 13 9 15 1 .263 99 6.2 4.3 0.5 7.1 26% .231 .201 1.16 3.84 1.89
2007 TAM A+ 11 10 63.0 39 22 72 2 .252 100 5.6 3.1 0.3 10.3 36% .262 .186 0.97 2.54 1.29
2007 TRN AA 9 9 48.7 27 17 57 2 .260 96 5.0 3.1 0.4 10.5 42% .231 .175 0.90 2.63 2.59
2007 SWB AAA 6 6 34.7 25 11 34 2 .266 97 6.5 2.9 0.5 8.8 44% .264 .188 1.04 3.18 2.07
2008 NYA MLB 10 9 39.7 50 26 27 5 .261 105 11.3 5.9 1.1 6.1 43% .333 .317 1.92 5.48 8.17
2008 TAM A+ 1 1 5.0 2 1 4 0 .264 89 3.6 1.8 0.0 7.2 38% .154 .115 0.60 2.22 0.00
2008 SWB AAA 13 12 69.0 52 17 72 4 .267 86 6.8 2.2 0.5 9.4 39% .294 .217 1.00 2.95 2.35
2008 YAN Rk 1 0 3.0 3 0 7 0 .200 109 9.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 40% .600 .170 1.00 -0.12 3.00
2009 NYA MLB 1 0 1.0 0 2 1 0 .269 103 0.0 18.0 0.0 9.0 0% .000 .295 2.00 10.14 0.00
2009 SWB AAA 4 4 22.7 18 7 25 0 .240 105 7.1 2.8 0.0 9.9 40% .290 .175 1.10 1.87 1.59
2009 gcr Wnt 7 7 29.7 30 5 28 1 .000 9.1 1.5 0.3 8.5 0% .309 .000 1.18 3.30 4.24
2010 ARI MLB 32 32 194.0 163 70 168 26 .267 97 7.6 3.2 1.2 7.8 39% .256 .254 1.20 4.35 3.80
2011 ARI MLB 33 33 222.0 186 55 198 19 .257 99 7.5 2.2 0.8 8.0 40% .270 .235 1.09 3.19 2.88
2012 ARI MLB 33 33 208.3 216 55 187 28 .258 102 9.3 2.4 1.2 8.1 40% .306 .274 1.30 4.08 4.02
2013 ARI MLB 21 21 124.0 128 48 108 18 .256 103 9.3 3.5 1.3 7.8 38% .301 .288 1.42 4.57 5.23
2013 SDN MLB 10 10 57.3 52 25 55 9 .258 96 8.2 3.9 1.4 8.6 44% .279 .274 1.34 4.56 4.24
2014 SDN MLB 33 33 201.0 189 70 207 16 .260 92 8.5 3.1 0.7 9.3 42% .315 .269 1.29 3.18 3.63
2015 SDN MLB 30 30 168.3 166 52 174 31 .263 97 8.9 2.8 1.7 9.3 41% .301 .293 1.30 4.54 4.28
2016 KCA MLB 5 5 31.0 24 11 29 3 .261 97 7.0 3.2 0.9 8.4 36% .269 .236 1.13 3.72 2.61

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 764 0.4712 0.3992 0.8623 0.6306 0.1931 0.9075 0.7308 0.1377
2009 28 0.4286 0.3571 0.7000 0.5833 0.1875 0.7143 0.6667 0.3000
2010 3155 0.4948 0.4292 0.7792 0.5855 0.2760 0.8676 0.5955 0.2208
2011 3422 0.5397 0.4775 0.7987 0.6513 0.2737 0.8495 0.6566 0.2013
2012 3366 0.5149 0.4819 0.7700 0.6469 0.3068 0.8198 0.6587 0.2300
2013 3087 0.4853 0.4613 0.7704 0.6515 0.2819 0.8350 0.6295 0.2296
2014 3366 0.5077 0.4531 0.7462 0.6226 0.2782 0.8055 0.6095 0.2538
2015 2876 0.4812 0.4631 0.7455 0.6344 0.3043 0.8303 0.5815 0.2545
2016 514 0.4650 0.4553 0.7393 0.6485 0.2873 0.7935 0.6329 0.2607
Career205780.50260.45880.77150.63250.28290.83590.62750.2285

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-24 2014-08-02 DTD 9 8 - Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2013-05-22 2013-06-01 DTD 10 8 Right Fingers Laceration Index Finger From Doing Dishes - -
2013-03-17 2013-03-21 Camp 4 0 Left Knee Contusion Batted Ball - -
2011-04-20 2011-04-20 DTD 0 0 Right Ankle Contusion Batted Ball -
2009-04-28 2009-09-12 Minors 137 0 Right Shoulder Surgery Axillary Aneurism and Clot 2009-05-12
2008-05-28 2008-06-30 15-DL 33 30 Right Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi -
2008-04-14 2008-04-14 DTD 0 0 Right Hip Contusion Batted Ball -
2007-09-14 2007-10-09 DTD 25 16 Low Back Strain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2020 KCA $16,500,000
2019 KCA $16,500,000
2018 KCA $16,000,000
2017 KCA $13,500,000
2016 KCA $7,500,000
2015 SDN $9,850,000
2014 SDN $6,100,000
2013 ARI $4,265,000
2012 ARI $519,500
2011 ARI $423,000
2010 ARI $403,000
2009 NYA $408,925
2008 NYA $394,275
YearsDescriptionSalary
8 yrPrevious$22,363,700
2011Current$7,500,000
9 yrPvs + Cur$29,863,700
4 yrFuture$62,500,000
13 yrTotal$92,363,700

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 124 dBoras Corp.5 years/$70M (2016-20)

Details
  • 5 years/$70M (2016-20). Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 1/16. 16:$7.5M, 17:$13.5M, 18:$16M, 19:$16.5M, 20:$16.5M. Kennedy may opt out of contract after 2017 season (receives $6M buyout if he elects to opt out).
  • 1 year/$9.85M (2015). Re-signed by San Diego 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration). San Diego made qualifying offer to Kennedy 11/6/15.
  • 1 year/$6.1M (2014). Re-signed by San Diego 1/16/14 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$4.265M (2013). Re-signed by Arizona 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by San Diego in trade from Arizona 7/31/13.
  • 1 year/$0.5195M (2012). Renewed by Arizona 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.423M (2011). Renewed by Arizona 3/10/11.
  • 1 year/$0.403M (2010). Renewed by Arizona 3/11/10.
  • 1 year/$408,925 (2009). Re-signed by NY Yankees 3/3/09 (split contract, $123,435 in minors). Acquired by Arizona in 3-way trade from NY Yankees 12/9/09.
  • 1 year/$394,275 (2008). Re-signed by NY Yankees 3/4/08.
  • 1 year (2007). Contract purchased by NY Yankees 9/1/07.
  • Drafted by NY Yankees 2006 (1-21) (USC). $2.25M signing bonus.

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 5/4/2016 07:55 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 9 7.4 0 25 25 167.1 142 51 151 19 .268 1.16 3.21 3.59 23.9 2.6
80o 8.7 7.9 0 25 25 161.1 145 52 145 19 .278 1.22 3.52 3.94 18.2 2.0
70o 8.5 8.2 0 25 25 156.9 146 53 141 19 .285 1.27 3.75 4.19 14.1 1.5
60o 8.3 8.6 0 25 25 153.3 147 53 138 19 .291 1.31 3.95 4.41 10.5 1.1
50o 8.1 8.9 0 25 25 150.0 148 53 135 19 .297 1.34 4.13 4.62 7.0 0.8
40o 8 9.2 0 25 25 146.7 149 54 132 20 .303 1.38 4.32 4.82 3.7 0.4
30o 7.8 9.5 0 25 25 143.3 150 54 129 20 .309 1.42 4.52 5.05 -0.0 -0.0
20o 7.5 9.9 0 25 25 139.3 151 54 125 20 .317 1.47 4.76 5.31 -4.3 -0.5
10o 7.2 10.5 0 25 25 133.8 152 55 120 20 .327 1.54 5.10 5.69 -10.6 -1.1
Weighted Mean8.28.802525150.01475313519.2961.344.124.67.30.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
21% 57% 11% 13% 92%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201732101002727165160561442241.2901.313.954.548.73.17.91.21.1
2018339902525150147531291941.2921.344.024.628.83.27.81.10.9
2019348802323134130531201641.2951.373.974.578.83.68.11.10.9
202035660171710210437861341.3001.394.094.709.23.37.61.20.5
2021365501515889033751241.3021.404.154.779.23.47.71.20.4
2022375501313777928681041.3041.394.054.669.23.37.91.20.4
2023384501313767827651041.3031.394.054.669.33.27.71.20.4
2024393309954552045741.3011.404.154.779.23.47.51.20.2
2025403308847491838641.3021.444.224.859.43.57.31.20.1

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
33.134.743.144.129.618.7184.5

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
201533.134.743.144.129.618.7184.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 90 Randy Wolf 2008 4.73
2 90 Bruce Hurst 1989 3.09
3 87 Ervin Santana 2014 4.13
4 85 Tim Lincecum 2015 4.36
5 85 Ken Johnson 1964 4.13
6 85 Dave Giusti 1971 3.24
7 85 Marty Pattin 1974 4.30
8 85 Edwin Jackson 2015 4.04
9 85 Orlando Pena 1965 4.66
10 84 Aaron Harang 2009 4.49
11 84 Carlos Villanueva 2015 3.10
12 84 Chuck Cary 1991 5.91
13 84 Pedro Astacio 2000 5.46
14 84 Joe Hesketh 1990 5.28
15 84 Pedro Ramos 1966 4.32
16 84 Floyd Bannister 1986 4.41
17 83 Marco Estrada 2015 3.33
18 83 Ray Sadecki 1972 3.81
19 83 Howie Pollet 1952 4.37
20 83 Craig Swan 1982 3.79
21 83 Jeff Weaver 2008 0.00 DNP
22 83 Hideo Nomo 2000 4.83
23 83 Denny Lemaster 1970 4.89
24 82 Dick Hughes 1969 0.00 DNP
25 82 Turk Farrell 1965 4.06
26 82 Dick Littlefield 1957 6.09
27 82 Glendon Rusch 2006 7.73
28 82 Joe Price 1988 4.82
29 82 Harvey Haddix 1957 4.43
30 82 Steve Carlton 1976 3.35
31 82 Dennis Leonard 1982 5.65
32 81 John Candelaria 1985 4.02
33 81 Bob Johnson 1974 5.25
34 81 Scott Kazmir 2015 3.79
35 81 Mark Langston 1992 4.05
36 81 Claudio Vargas 2009 1.74
37 81 Chuck Porter 1986 0.00 DNP
38 81 Ricky Nolasco 2014 5.43
39 81 Luis Arroyo 1958 0.00 DNP
40 81 Jose Deleon 1992 4.83
41 80 Larry McWilliams 1985 4.99
42 80 Mike Williams 2000 4.25
43 80 Jorge De La Rosa 2012 11.81
44 80 Hideki Irabu 2000 7.41
45 80 Eric Milton 2007 5.74
46 80 Jose Guzman 1994 9.15
47 80 Bert Blyleven 1982 6.20
48 80 Ted Lilly 2007 3.96
49 80 John Montefusco 1981 3.72
50 80 Pete Richert 1971 3.72
51 80 J.A. Happ 2014 4.50
52 80 Nate Robertson 2009 6.16
53 79 Ubaldo Jimenez 2015 4.35
54 79 Rodrigo Lopez 2007 4.88
55 79 Ernie Johnson 1955 3.67
56 79 Bobby Shantz 1957 3.02
57 79 Chad Gaudin 2014 0.00 DNP
58 79 Tim Leary 1990 4.54
59 79 Moe Drabowsky 1967 2.08
60 79 Andy Benes 1999 5.31
61 79 Milt Wilcox 1981 3.30
62 79 Cole Hamels 2015 3.73
63 79 Odalis Perez 2009 0.00 DNP
64 79 Johnny Podres 1964 16.88
65 79 Tom Sturdivant 1961 3.86
66 79 Vicente Padilla 2009 4.64
67 78 Brandon Duckworth 2007 5.79
68 78 Ryan Rupe 2006 0.00 DNP
69 78 Max Surkont 1953 4.10
70 78 Manny Parra 2014 5.15
71 78 Scott Baker 2013 3.60
72 78 Edinson Volquez 2015 4.00
73 78 Ross Ohlendorf 2014 0.00 DNP
74 78 Stan Spencer 2001 0.00 DNP
75 78 Odell Jones 1984 4.25
76 78 Grant Jackson 1974 2.43
77 78 Joe Blanton 2012 4.99
78 78 Jay Witasick 2004 4.09
79 78 Rick Rhoden 1984 3.06
80 78 Sonny Siebert 1968 3.33
81 78 Pascual Perez 1988 2.82
82 78 Scott Sanderson 1988 5.28
83 78 Frank Hiller 1952 5.64
84 78 Don Drysdale 1968 2.38
85 78 Marshall Bridges 1962 3.77 DNP
86 78 Dick Hall 1962 2.36 DNP
87 78 Mike Trombley 1998 3.91
88 78 Scott Sanders 2000 0.00 DNP
89 77 Saul Rogovin 1955 4.40
90 77 Kris Benson 2006 5.16
91 77 Bruce Chen 2008 0.00 DNP
92 77 Jamie Moyer 1994 4.89
93 77 Mike Witt 1992 0.00 DNP
94 77 Jonathan Sanchez 2014 0.00 DNP
95 77 Russ Springer 2000 5.23
96 77 Mickey Lolich 1972 2.75
97 77 Zack Greinke 2015 1.74
98 77 Kerry Wood 2008 3.26
99 77 Rich Delucia 1996 6.42
100 77 James Shields 2013 3.23

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .252 .316 .471 .289
11 vs R (Multi) .257 .321 .428 .274
18 Split (Multi) -.005 -.005 .043 .016
19 LgAvg (Multi) .009 .023 .019 .016
30 vs L (2015) .256 .322 .522 .305
31 vs R (2015) .259 .316 .472 .281
38 Split (2015) -.003 .006 .050 .024
39 LgAvg (2015) .009 .024 .022 .017

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Kennedy, along with teammate James Shields, set a new record last year by allowing 19 home runs at Petco Park. His walks decreased, but then, there was no incentive for patience at the plate when he toed the slab: Among ERA qualifiers, only Aaron Harang had a higher OPS against batters that swung at the first pitch. Part of the problem is that anything he threw around the belt—long a target of his—was crushed. Kennedy's pedestrian velocity means he must throw strikes, but there's a difference between throwing strikes and throwing good strikes—there were too many of the former and not enough of the latter in 2015. We've seen what he can do when he's more precise with his pitches, and last season we saw what happens when he isn't.
2015 Sometimes the narrative is right. Kennedy's mechanics got out of whack in Arizona. The Padres spotted this and thought they could fix it. Then-GM Josh Byrnes picked him up for Rosencrantz and Guildenstern and pitching coach Darren Balsley made a few tweaks that resulted in greater torque, fastball velocity and downward plane, a nice combination. Kennedy also relied less on his curve and more on his changeup. The improvement against left-handed batters was dramatic: from 19 homers and a .235 ISO in 2013, to eight and .146 last year. He established career bests in strikeouts and FIP, and his splits (including, crucially for every Padres pitcher, home/road) were nonexistent. Oscar Wilde said that consistency is the hallmark of the unimaginative, but even he never expected Kennedy to be this effective.
2014 With a fastball that barely pushes into the 90s, Kennedy must be precise. His strikeout-to-walk ratio has slipped from 3.6 to 3.4 to 2.2 since 2011, reducing an already small margin for error. The fly-ball pitcher continued to see more of his offerings leave the yard (a career-high 9.6 percent of his flies went for homers). He struggled with runners on and was useless after 75 pitches, which hadn't been problems in the past. Kennedy owns a career 2.41 ERA in 71 innings at Petco Park, where even with the shorter fences he won't be punished as severely as elsewhere. If the command returns, he'll eat innings at the back of a rotation a la Jon Garland or Jason Marquis.
2013 After two consecutive seasons spent riding the coattails of an ultra-low BABIP, Kennedy was knocked around the ballpark for the first half of the 2012 season. His true-outcome rates were nearly identical between 2011 and 2012, but his results suffered when the gloves came into play. Kennedy's fly-ball tendencies are a risk at Chase Field, so his ability to repeat his delivery is necessary to minimize his mistakes by keeping the free passes off the bases. Kennedy did everything in his power to contribute on offense. He lacks the stick-handling skills to make solid contact, but he exhibited the patience to run up opposing pitch counts to the tune of 11 walks, easily the highest total among NL hurlers, and his 10 sacrifice bunts led the team.
2012 With so many valuable pieces changing hands, its tough to say who got the best of the three-team swap that brought Kennedy to the D-Backs in late 2009, but its hard to be upset when your haul includes a Cy Young contender. Despite his league-leading win total and winning percentage, Kennedy wasnt the NLs best pitcherhe ranked 11th in WARPbut his record wasnt just a product of the 11th-highest run support among qualifying NL starters, either. Although he sports the sixth-lowest BABIP among pitchers with at least 400 innings over the last two seasons, a big correction might not be coming: like other perennial low-BABIP arms like Matt Cain and Jered Weaver, hes adept at inducing pop-ups, which dont often fall in for hits.
2011 Kennedy's modus operandi has long been pinpoint control, which is what made his utter lack of it with the Yankees so puzzling. The key part of the Diamondbacks' return in the deal sending Max Scherzer to the Tigers, Kennedy found his form in the senior circuit, and put together a very solid season. Despite just middling stuff, he has always excelled at spotting his pitches just so, and gets an above-average number of called strikes. Just 26 years old, Kennedy has plenty of room to improve, particularly given that he has the ability to lower his walk rate. Probably ineligible for arbitration until 2012, and under team control until 2015, Kennedy doesn't possess ace upside like Scherzer, but he should be a very cost-effective mid-rotation starter for years to come.
2010 The 2006 first-rounder pitched himself out of the organization's good graces by eschewing his pinpoint control for nibbling in his 2008 trial, getting hurt, and sometimes acting confused about the goal of his startsKennedy didn't seem to care if the team won or lost, so long as he got in a good workout. He redeemed himself by coming back rapidly and effectively from May surgery to remove an aneurysm from his pitching arm, continuing to pitch effectively in the Arizona Fall League, striking out 28 against five walks in 29 2/3 innings. Dealt to the Diamondbacks in the three-way Granderson deal, Kennedy will have to fight his park to succeed (though no more so than had he remained a Yankee), but his low-velocity, pitch-to-spots approach should play better in the senior circuit than it ever would have in the DH league.
2009 The award for most disappointing performance by a Yankee in 2008 has to go to Kennedy, a pitcher with average stuff but pinpoint control who had no control in the majors and seemed not to be too troubled by it. Kennedy's ability to locate had made him a 2006 first-rounder and a top prospecthis minor league ERA currently stands at 1.99 in 226 1/3 IP. In the majors he nibbled, got hammered, and alienated folks by saying things like, "I felt like I made some good pitches and competed, which is all that really matters... What was it? A bunch of singles and three doubles, or so. Im just not real upset about it." Girardi did little to hide his frustration with Kennedy throughout the season, which resulted in three demotions (one for an injured lat that the Yankees simply didn't bother to recall him from once his rehab concluded), the last of which came on August 10, two days after Kennedy made the comments above; he would not return, even when rosters expanded. He pitched well in the minors and in Puerto Rican action this winter, but Kennedy is going to have to fight numbers and organizational disenchantment to earn a spot.
2008 Like Chamberlain, Kennedy shot through the minors after being drafted in 2006's first round. Though derided for not having stuff that breaks the sound barrier, Kennedy knows how to use what he has. His strikeout rates are those of a man with a much better fastball, his control is strong (but could still get better), and he keeps the ball in the ballpark, with just seven home runs allowed in 168 career innings. With a drinking bird windup reminiscent of Mike Mussina working from the stretch, he may be on the verge of a similar career.
2007 The Yankees took Ian Kennedy with their first-round draft pick in 2006. He throws only 88 to 92, but is said to have a good feel for pitching. The Yankees liked him because the USC product is already close to his (low) ceiling.

BP Articles

Ian Kennedy is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week FourGreg Wellemeyer2016-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Picking Up Where They Left OffDaniel Rathman2016-04-05
Winter Is Leaving: San Diego PadresDustin Palmateer2016-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPlaying Time Battles: American League CentralJ.J. Jansons2016-03-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300Mike Gianella2016-03-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Draft Rankings: The Top 300Bret Sayre2016-03-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFive to Watch: National League ProspectsJ.J. Jansons2016-03-15
Tools of Ignorance: The Dodgers' Breakable RotationJeff Quinton2016-03-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2016-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 51-125J.J. Jansons2016-03-01
Baseball Therapy: Let's Talk About Tax PolicyRussell A. Carleton2016-03-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe -Only League Landscape: American League Starting PitchersMike Gianella2016-03-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessEarly ADP Analysis: Starting PitchersGeorge Bissell2016-02-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part TwoMike Gianella2016-02-26
Transaction Analysis: Fowler Comes in Under BudgetMatthew Trueblood2016-02-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Players to Target: Starting PitchersBP Fantasy Staff2016-02-24
Rubbing Mud: Between Now and the Free Agent SuperclassMatthew Trueblood2016-02-18
Fifth Column: How To Make Money Betting on PECOTAMichael Baumann2016-02-16
Outta Left Field: The Case for Ripping Up Sal Perez's ContractDustin Palmateer2016-02-04
BP Unfiltered: Rooting Against Chaos, Rooting Against Ian KennedyPatrick Dubuque2016-02-01
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 62: Enya's KitchenBret Sayre2016-01-22
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 62: Enya's KitchenBen Carsley2016-01-22
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 62: Enya's KitchenCraig Goldstein2016-01-22
TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 62: Enya's KitchenGeorge Bissell2016-01-22
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 801: The Big-Contract Catch-UpSam Miller2016-01-20
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 801: The Big-Contract Catch-UpBen Lindbergh2016-01-20
Outta Left Field: This Is the Padre WayDustin Palmateer2016-01-20
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Free Agent Roulette: Ian KennedyDoug Thorburn2016-01-20
2016 Prospects: San Diego Padres Top 10 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2016-01-19
2016 Prospects: San Diego Padres Top 10 ProspectsChristopher Crawford2016-01-19
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Innings, Innings, InningsWilson Karaman2016-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Innings, Innings, InningsJ.P. Breen2016-01-18
This article requires BP Premium accessRubbing Mud: Deferred PreferredMatthew Trueblood2016-01-18
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 796: Podcasting Under PressureSam Miller2016-01-13
BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 796: Podcasting Under PressureBen Lindbergh2016-01-13
Rubbing Mud: The Significance of Three Unsigned StarsMatthew Trueblood2016-01-11
Best of BP 2015: The Season's Craziest Second-Half SplitDustin Palmateer2015-12-31
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMy Model Portfolio: Well Played, MauerBret Sayre2014-03-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: The Prospect Proximity RankingsR.J. Anderson2014-03-03
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Three-Year Projections: Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2014-02-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Rising Cost of PitchingMike Gianella2014-02-27
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: A 2014 PreviewBret Sayre2013-09-24
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This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: The Top 10 Homers Hit by Pitchers in 2013Doug Thorburn2013-09-20
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BP Unfiltered: The 2013 Trade Deadline Transaction Analysis ThreadBaseball Prospectus2013-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 31, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-31
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: The Trade Market Heats UpBP Fantasy Staff2013-07-19
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Tigers Back on TopDaniel Rathman2013-07-09
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part One: 1-40Paul Sporer2013-03-05
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In A Pickle: The Disunited States of AmericaJason Wojciechowski2013-01-17
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Ten NL Prospects Who Could Start the Season in the MajorsJason Martinez2013-01-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Assessing Recent Pitching MovesDerek Carty2012-12-17
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Playoff Prospectus: How the ALCS Squads Were BuiltR.J. Anderson2012-10-16
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This article requires BP Premium access108 Stitches: The Importance of the Area Code GamesDan Evans2012-08-31
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Divide and Conquer, NL West: What are the Padres Getting in Josh Byrnes?Geoff Young2011-10-25
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Could you see either Cashner or Ross being dealt? Ian Kennedy is likely gone I imagine. Does Casey Kelly finally get a shot?
(Eric from LA)
It's possible, though with both under control beyond this year it isn't imperative. Kelly gets a shot assuming health and if one of those guys is dealt. (Mike Gianella)
2015-04-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)My pitching staff is Kluber, Wood, deGrom, Pineda, Ian Kennedy, Cashner, McHugh, Paxton and Hahn. Tons of injury risky involved. Should I be worried?
(Brian from Tampa)
Somewhat, but it seems like you have enough depth that you can ride it out...and Corey Kluber seems like an anchor guy. (Mike Gianella)
2015-03-12 15:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Ian Kennedy? Can he be a top 30 pitcher or have we seen who he is? It seems he is solid, durable, effective and could still maybe take one more small step forward.
(Jim from Florida)
The first three things you said listed -- solid, durable, effective -- are good precursors to a small step forward. Not every top-30 pitcher has that, so he might sneak in there through attrition of others. (Andrew Koo)
2015-01-08 12:00:00 (link to chat)In a dynasty league, what side would you rather have? Ian Kennedy or Max Fried & Jameson Taillon?
(Jordan Miller from Michigan)
I like Kennedy a lot, but there's the question of whether or not he gets traded to a less friendly home park.

Taillon and Fried represent a lot of upside but a lot of risk too. I'd probably keep Kennedy who has always been a favorite of mine. (Jeff Long)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)20 Team Dynasty - Ian Kennedy for Avisail Garcia. Who wins?
(The Pope Of Chili Town from Chili Town)
Kennedy ROS, Avisail Garcia forever more. Garcia really needed some ABs this year but I still believe. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who are few guys you'd be buying/selling right now?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
I guess I don't necessarily keep a list like this lying around, but off the top of my head...

I'm selling: Jesse Chavez, Chase Whitley, Lonnie Chisenhall, Gordon Beckham

I'm buying: Kole Calhoun, Ian Kennedy, Joey Votto, Michael Brantley, Will Smith (J.P. Breen)
2014-05-07 17:00:00 (link to chat)12 team H2H 7 by 7 (QS and IP added), which side wins? Alex Wood or Garza and Ian Kennedy.
(Tim from Boston, MA)
I like the duo. David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal Constitution speculates that Wood is going to have his innings limited this year. (Mike Gianella)
2014-05-07 17:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mike. Thoughts on moving my Alex Wood (worried about innings cap, potential pen move later in season) for Garza and Ian Kennedy? Super deep 12 team 7 by 7 (with IP and QS as added pitching cats).
(Tim from Boston, MA)
I thought I answered this one (Garza/Kennedy) (Mike Gianella)
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty: my Ian Kennedy + Javier Baez for his Jordan Zimmermann + Dylan Bundy. He has pitching excess, I need SP, he could use a 3B next season with Miggy moving to 1B. Fair?
(AJ from Phoenix)
I'd do that so hard. I prefer hitting prospects to pitching ones, but this is just too good to pass (Paul Sporer)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Are there any pitchers that come to mind who may not have great stuff but have excellent mechanics? Any you think could be in for a breakout season?
(nubber from tx)
Phil Hughes, James Shields, and Ian Kennedy come to mind. They all have legit stuff, but mechanics allow their stuff to play up a notch. I might focus on mechanics in my analysis, but at the end of the day raw stuff triumphs over mechanics. Mechanics determine how well that stuff plays. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does Ian Kennedy have a chance to resurrect his career and become a viable SP again in San Diego? Thanks
(Tony from The Tundra)
Absolutely. is baseline mechanics are awesome, and though his stuff may not be elite, he has proven successful when his delivery is honed timing-wise.

Bonus points for his new location, not just for the friendly home park, but now he is a 15-minute drive from his old pitching coach, Mr. Tom House. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-02-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can J.Johnson give us anything to get excited about in his return? Last years' numbers were so, so brutal
(Aaron from SD)
More for the previous question: I like Ian Kennedy for deep guys. Phil Hughes if it's deep enough. Maybe Josh Johnson, but mostly because at that point it's so easy to let him free. I don't actually expect anything from Johnson. Like Ben wrote last year, at a certain point the Good-Or-Injured guys tend to lose the Good. (Sam Miller)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Ian Kennedy bouncing back this year ?
(Bruno from Flagstaff)
Pitching in Petco should help. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)16 team dynasty league. My current OF (3) is a combo of Leonys Martin, Wil Myers, BJ Upton, Nick Swisher, Mike Morse. Ive got an offer of George Springer for my Michael Wacha. Im up in the air on it as I think my rotation (Verlander, Teheran, Ian Kennedy, Chris Tillman, Jose Quintana and Ubaldo) can handle the loss but Im wondering how you see a deal like that shaking out long term? Springers hit tool worries me long term as I could see him being a .240 hitter which impacts his counting stats production as well. What do you see he and Wacha turning into?
(dzemens from Adrian, MI)
I think I would make that deal in a dynasty. Springer's average might never be great, but his power/speed combo in fantasy is enticing and a Raul Mondesi type wouldn't surprise me. I like Wacha a lot, but I see him as more of a 2/3 type than an ace. Springer might not be a top real life hitter but he could be in fantasy because of the speed. I'd make the deal. (Mike Gianella)
2014-01-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can see Ian Kennedy getting his HR/9 until 1.10 for the year?
(allangustafson from San Diego )
He's got the right ballpark for it. Hell, he went 0.8 one year in AZ, so yeah he definitely can. I'm relatively high on him this year particularly bc of the park fit. (Paul Sporer)
2014-01-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can see Ian Kennedy getting his HR/9 until 1.10 for the year?
(allangustafson from San Diego )
He's got the right ballpark for it. Hell, he went 0.8 one year in AZ, so yeah he definitely can. I'm relatively high on him this year particularly bc of the park fit. (Paul Sporer)
2013-10-07 18:00:00 (link to chat)Do you have any good under the radar/ bounceback SPs to target in keeper leagues?
(Brandon from Missouri )
R.A. Dickey had a stronger second half and seemed to adjust to the American League Post All Star. He won't do what he did with the Mets, but is a decent option next year. Ian Kennedy struggled all year, but a full year at Petco will definitely help. Ryan Dempster was terrible for the Red Sox, but a change of scenery could help. His high whiff rate makes him valuable in fantasy even if the other stats don't coalesce. (Mike Gianella)
2013-07-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Anything specific as to why Ian Kennedy has been so inconsistent this year? Think he's done as a top of the rotation arm?
(Shawn from Office)
I don't know why he's been so yukky this year. I would think he's got more left in the tank but not like his best year (that was a flash in the pan type of thing, I don't think his true talent level was ever top of the rotation, but things happen) (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-07-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Despite looking good his start (albeit against the Mets), Ian Kennedy has been wildly inconsistent this year. Is that who he is at this point, or should I continue to hope he can be better?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
He can be better. He has excellent mechanical baselines, but like Cain, he is a right-hander without elite velocity who relies on pinpoint command to be successful. Kennedy's timing has been off at times this season, a pattern that he has shown in the past - his game-to-game fluctuations can be pretty stark, though he is great on those days where he is lining up the delivery. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Ian Kennedy anyhitng more than just an 4-5 average starter in a 10 tm dynasty?
(The Dude from Office)
Nope, not right. Needs to regain his command in the zone. Too many HRs. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you rank the following sp.Ian Kennedy,Josh Johnson,M.Garza,Z.MacCalister. Going forward .W,K,Whip,K/9,Era.Thank you
(Chesty from New Bern,NC)
Kennedy (not special, but just solid & healthy hence edge over JJ), JJ, McAllister, and Garza. Garza is just too much of unknown. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)10-team mixed points league. (IP, W, BB, K, QS). Starting to panic about Ian Kennedy. Have the option to pick-up Corbin, Helix, Minor, D. Holland, Cobb, Miller, Haren. Should I make a move or hold tight on Kennedy? If so, how do you rank these? Thanks!
(Dave from Canada)
I like Kennedy, but 2011 is the outlier. I think 2012 is what you should be looking for and he'll back to that level. Overall if you wanna go elsehwere and stream with that spot, it makes sense as his 2012 isn't a HUGE asset in 10-team. Better real life pitcher than he is 10-team mixer pitcher. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Ian Kennedy was the opening day starter for the Diamondbacks but at one time he was a prospect for the Yankees behind Phil Hughes and Joba Chamberlain. Both those guys haven't stayed healthy but do you think the Yankees are at fault for picking the wrong guys? Thanks for the chat.
(Ray from DC)
It's easy to assign fault or blame with revisionists views. Sure, they could have handled the situation better, but that's easy for me to say as I sit in my apartment and type out my answers. Player development and personnel decisions are complicated and I don't have access to all the information the team was working with at the time of the decisions. Personally, I thought Hughes/Joba were jerked around a bit. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)I offered Starlin Castro, Ian Kennedy, Glen Perkins and Gary Brown for Adam Jones, Billy Hamilton, and Michael Pineda in 20-team dynasty. The leagues uses LF/CF/RF over OF, and has deep pitching requirements. The manager I proposed this to has McCutchen in CF, Jones is his DH. He has nobody at SS currently (my backup is Segura). He proposes back Robinson Cano, Starlin Castro, and Ian Kennedy for Adam Jones, Neil Walker, Jason Vargas, and Michael Pineda. I'm not off my game when I say this guy is one suit short of a full deck, am I?
(Louis from Glendale)
I'd trade one of my kids before I traded away Billy Hamilton in a league. For him to take Hamilton out of the deal and ask you to throw in Cano is rather entertaining. Who does he think you are, Jeff Loria? (Jason Collette)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)I really need a SS and could use upgrades at SP. I own Andrew McCutchen in a league that uses LF/CF/RF. I have been offered Starlin Castro, Ian Kennedy, and Glen Perkins (closer for Min.) for Adam Jones, Billy Hamilton, and Michael Pineda. Should I take this deal?
(Donald from Chicago)
It sounds like you're going for 2013 and this deal really aids your 2013 run so I'm on board with it. Tough to give up that potential of Hamilton, but Castro is a blossoming stud in his own right and I've always like Kennedy. (Paul Sporer)
2012-08-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Would you trade Ian Kennedy and Tyler Skaggs for David Price in a keeper league, or is that too steep?
(Sara from Tacoma)
What are the rules of the keeper league? It's all about context. (Derek Carty)
2012-07-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)Looking to next year, who would you rather keep....Ian Kennedy, Matt Moore, or Tommy Hanson?
(Matt from NY)
Matt Moore...see Price 2009 vs Price 2010 (Jason Collette)
2012-07-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)Ian Kennedy 2nd half - yay or nay?
(greg from yesm)
yay, but not YAY. He is what he is and doesn't have a lot of upside or downside. (Jason Collette)
2012-07-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)Are better things in store for Ian Kennedy? Or only start him on the road?
(dave from boston)
more of the same from the 1st half - that's what he is (Jason Collette)
2012-02-23 11:00:00 (link to chat)Is it foolish to think the Dbacks are going to be good again. I know Justin Upton had an MVP caliber season. I also read KG's write up about the pitching prospects. Isn't the team just help up by duct tape?
(Tim from Reno)
I don't think it's foolish at all. They're my pick to win the division. I like the management team they have in place, and Upton is a stud. Even if guys like Ian Kennedy and Miguel Montero regress a little, Arizona has a solid foundation. And as you say, the farm system looks pretty good. If the D'backs are held together by duct tape, I'd like to know what brand they're using because it's pretty effective. (Geoff Young)
2011-09-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Based on pure stuff/dominance/command (whatever strikes you), which pitchers are you most looking forward to watching this postseason?
(Lucas Apostoleris from Amherst, MA)
Kenley Jansen is the guy that has piqued my interest most recently, but I'll have all offseason to look at him, I suppose.

Of the pitchers who look playoff-bound, Craig Kimbrel is just amazing. I'm curious about Verlander's BABIP this year. Doug Fister is an interesting story. I've wanted to look at Alexi Ogando's switch to the rotation. Koji Uehara fascinates me, with his splitter and high flyball/popup rate. Josh Collmenter and Ian Kennedy are interesting.

Of course there's no way I'll end up analyzing all or even most of those guys, but those are a few names who grab my attention. (Mike Fast)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Wanted to get your thoughts on a couple of more pitchers if you have time. How do you like Kris Medlen and Ian Kennedy going forward? Do you think they will develop into starting pitchers who can keep their runs allowed per 9 IP to around 4? Thanks again!
(DS from LA)
I would like Kennedy more if the homers weren't a problem--that's going to make it tough to keep his ERA where you want it long-term. Medlen's numbers wouldn't be as impressive if his walk rate wasn't Cliff Leesian in its appearance, so I'm not sure either of these guys are going to do it for you. (Marc Normandin)
2009-12-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Surprised there isn't more discussion on the three way deal yesterday! Did the D'backs get a big bag of not much for Scherzer? To me, he's younger, better, cheaper, and less worn down than Edwin Jackson. Fewer innings, more Ks, and still two years from arbitration. Is Ian Kennedy that valuable? What am I missing?
(RZFanClub from DC)
Column on the trade is up, and I've mostly been taking other Qs. The Yankees made a good deal, not giving up much for a player who helps them. The Tigers made a pretty good trade, getting Scherzer, and it's not clear that they could have won with Granderson in the next season or two. The only rationale for the D'backs end of it is that they are convinced Scherzer won't stay healthy. Burning Scherzer to get an Ian Kennedy, which is effectively what the deal is, makes no sense. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-08-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Ian Kennedy? Can he return to the highly-touted prospect he once was?
(achaik from Maine)
I don't know who highly touted him, but it wasn't me. I always see him as a potential 4 or 5, and he could get back to that level, sure. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are you in the camp of "Make Joba a reliever" or "Keep him as a starter"? It seems that right now, he's just not making it through five innings with out a lot of unnecessary difficulty.
(Tim from Tampa, FL)
Then again, he's leading Yankees starters in ERA. There is some difficulty right now, but until he shows he can't worth through it, he's a starter. Besides, with Hughes in the majors, Wang wounded, and Ian Kennedy having an aneurysm cut out of his armpit, who should take over for Joba? Red Ruffing?

Sometimes, just to tease me, when I say to my wife, "Matt Scherzer had a good start tonight" or Rick Porcello, or Chad Billingsley, she'll say, "But he'd be more valuable in the bullpen." I have a great wife. Only people who truly love you care enough to give you that kind of grief. (Steven Goldman)
2009-04-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)The much loathed Ian Kennedy is obliterating AAA. Should NY call him up and maybe give a couple of other starters a "time out" to collect their wits?
(Objectively AWESOME from Texas)
The Yankees have a roster construction issue in that it would be hard to move any of their starters out of the rotation without creating a problem, and yet, they have three MLB-caliber starters dying to get to the majors in Kennedy, Hughes and...wait for it...Aceves. They also need a long reliever, and have instead called up Claggett--who, I'll confess, I'd never heard of before Saturday--and Jackson for that role. That's without getting into the live arms they have for the bullpen.

You shouldn't be screwing with your rotation two weeks in, anyway. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)With the news that Posada might not be as healthy as hoped, the Yankees' need for a viable back-up catcher has become more urgent. What are their options, considering that they are reportedly willing to part with Nady?
(Nick Stone from New York, NY)
Hey Nick! Good question, as there's no doubt that the Yanks need to do a better job of protecting against Posada's absence than they've done in the past. Now that Brad Ausmus is off the market (my hand should be healed by the end of spring training, thanks), the best available option on the free agent market is the one that Joe Girardi spent two months kicking in the head last year -- Pudge Rodriguez. He was enjoying a bit of a rebound before he started rotting on the Yankee bench in favor of Jose Frakkin' Molina.

On the trade market, I'm not sure if anyone's gonna give up much of a catcher for Nady, but I wonder if a youngster with upside like Jeff Clement, Bryan Anderson or even J.R. Towles could be pried loose with a package involving, say, Ian Kennedy. I'm a horrible matchmaker when it comes to prospect-based trades -- it's why Brian Cashman doesn't take my calls. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-09-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do the Yankees decide to sign Pettitte to a 1-year deal during the offseason considering how he has pitched of late, or do they just try to sign Moose to a 1-year? The Yankees have to try to sign one of them to help with stability in the rotation... As for Austin Jackson, he does have a slight back problem (he's in New York for an MRI) and will be playing in the AFL...
(Steph from California)
Hi there, Steph. I'm kind of ambivalent about Pettitte. My sense is that it's time to move on, but I don't want to overreact to what could just be a kind of slump and some bad defensive play behind him. I also feel like the Yankees should not be overly discouraged by Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, et al and should keep some slots open for the young, because they have to get younger. I know they're going to turn their back on them for every Tom, Dick, and Pavano out there, but that's my feeling... If Jackson is healthy, I think he'll put up very good numbers in the AFL. (Steven Goldman)
2008-08-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)Kevin: Thoughts on Ian Kennedy? Lots of folks in NY are ready to write him off (which I think is a little silly) but he really hasn't looked good this year.
(Joe from Washington, DC)
Back when he was awesome in the minors and I said he was a No. 4 starter type, I got TORCHED by Yankees fans. I wonder how'll they'll react now that they're abandoning ship and I'm still saying he'll be a No.4 starter type. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-07-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)Padres trade: Adrian Gonzalez, Greg Maddux, Heath Bell Yankees send: Austin Jackson, Phil Hughes, Ian Kennedy, Melky Cabrera, Cano and a throw-in of Kei Igawa
(dcoonce from bloomington, indiana)
You've been at Nick's early, haven't you? (Will Carroll)
2008-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Rangers-Yanks trade...Salty for Ian Kennedy?
(wilk75 from houston)
Saltalamacchia seems to be third on the list in Texas, so this deal might make sense for both teams, but I think Daniels would want more back. Would Kennedy and Edwar Ramirez be too much? Kennedy's value has plummeted this year. It'd work for the Yankees, who would have an offense/defense combination behind the plate, and a candidate for a job-share with Posada at C/DH for the next couple of seasons. I just don't know if it's enough to get him. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-06-17 15:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the best internal option to replace Wang in the Yankee rotation (at least until hughes or kennedy is ready)? are Alfredo Aceves or Dan McCutchen in the running if you are Cashman?
(Dan from World Financial Center, NY)
In the short term, Dan Giese is probably going to get the ball. He's a journeyman with good control but little upside; his best-case scenario is probably akin to that of the job Darrell Rasner is doing, keeping them in ballgames and waiting for the cavalry to kick some ass but putting some strain on the bullpen as well.

If Giese wears out his welcome and/or Ian Kennedy is throwing the ball well, he's probably the second option after he finishes rehabbing over the next couple of weeks.

I don't know a lot about McCutchen yet. he put up decent numbers last year between High A and Double-A, but he doesn't miss many bats; he's got 5.9 K/9 at Triple-A as we speak, and his EqSO rate last year was about 4.5. He's going to be in that same class as Rasner as well, a guy who if he hits his spots and maintans control could be moderately useful, but he's nowhere near as experienced as Rasner, so I'd expect the going to be rockier. But yeah, I think he might get a shot, even if it's simply as a Brandon Claussen-like audition for a deadline deal.

Aceves I know nothing about beyond his current numbers. Yeah, he's lit up A and Double-A, but he's also 25, so that's not surprising given that he's facing competition that's a few years younger. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-04-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Kevin. I'd be curious to hear your take on Phil Hughes. Obviously the sample size is extremely small, but we've heard everything from a) his velocity is down to b) whispers (per the Michael Kay radio show) that Orioles hitters thought he wasn't anything special to c) more whispers from inside the Yankee clubhouse that he isn't that great. I guess my question is: does this still seem like the same guy who was so terrific in the minors? Can he still wind up as an ace?
(Joe from Washington, DC)
His stuff is definitely off a bit. I'm not OVERLY concerned yet, but it's something to keep an eye on. If I was a Yankee fan, I'd be WAY more concerned with Ian Kennedy's command issues right now. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)PECOTA quibble - shouldn't we expect Ian Kennedy to throw more innings than Hughes this year, considering that he's logged more in the minors, is a bit older, has a clean health record, and is projected for a higher WARP with fewer innings? Thanks!
(Tony from Brooklyn, NY)
PECOTA doesn't work that way. Take it up with Nate, not me. (Will Carroll)
2008-03-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mike, here's a question that appears to be growing more and more relevant: of the following up-and-coming SPs, can you rank them in terms of value they will provide to a fantasy team THIS YEAR assuming they all get spots in the rotation? The SPs are Manny Parra, Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto, Ian Kennedy, Gio Gonzalez and Jonathan Sanchez. This should be relevant to most fantasy players looking to make a great WW pickup early in the season.
(The Grinch from Whoville)
I guess you were one of the millions to go see see Horton hears a Who huh?

Parra is making the Brewers make a tough decision but may not make the club at first. Volquez has a lot to prove. Cueto and Kennedy are arms that the Reds and yanks absolutely love and right now they are my top two of this list. I can't see Gio not being a member of the rotation this year at some point but when is up to a few factors and Sanchez like parra is nice sleeper with high upside. Solid list of names. (Mike Siano)
2008-01-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)I understand projectability weighs alot in rankings. How do you rank someone who had not played in the minor leagues higher than someine who ha s been succesful at the upper levels. Rick Porcello-11,Jarod Parker-20,Ian Kennedy-34??????
(elee28 from newark,n.j.)
I'm trying to find the Top 100 prospects in the game, not the 100 safest bets. Kennedy is a far better bet to have a big league career because of where he's at, but he has a 0% chance of being an ace, while Porcello and Parker both have that possibility in their future. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-01-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is a guy like Ian Kennedy going to have Mike Greenwell type longevity?
(Tony from Brooklyn, NY)
This is such a weird question. (Kevin Goldstein)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Ian Kennedy has thrown 21,861 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2016, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason, Spring Training and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2016, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (92mph), also mixing in a Change (84mph), Curve (78mph) and Cutter (86mph).