Moonshot

Moonshot: The Coldest Stove$

by Robert Arthur 1/04

Image credit: USA Today Sports

The hot stove has turned into a slow cooker.

Moonshot: Revising History With DRC+

by Robert Arthur 12/06

Image credit: USA Today Sports

Everything we think we know about baseball right now is subject to debate and revision.

Moonshot: If We Can Land a Man on the Moon, Surely I Can Get Good Data

by Robert Arthur 3/25

A BP writer signs off.

Moonshot: Prospect Trajectory as Data

by Robert Arthur 3/18

When a prospect's movement tells us more than his ranking alone does.

Moonshot: Another Look at Prospect Values

by Robert Arthur 3/12

Mining the prospect lists.

Moonshot: We Know How Happy You Are

by Robert Arthur 2/18

Measuring the mood of each fanbase, with science.

Moonshot: How Jonathan Lucroy Makes Batters Swing At Bad Pitches

by Robert Arthur 2/11

The other benefit of catcher framing, revealed.

Moonshot: Using PITCHf/x to Predict Hitter Injuries

by Robert Arthur 2/06

PITCHf/x data is able to make a significant contribution to injury prediction.

Moonshot: Forecasting With Fastball Frequency

by Robert Arthur 1/22

Can we improve on PECOTA's forecast for a hitter just by looking at which pitches the opposing catcher called?

Moonshot: Projecting Uncertainty

by Robert Arthur and Will Larson 1/16

Can the uncertainty in a player's projections be projected?

Moonshot: The Changing Hall of Fame Criteria

by Robert Arthur 1/06

In what direction are voting totals trending for marginal candidates, and are steroids actually to blame?

Moonshot: In Search of Pedro Cerrano

by Robert Arthur 12/18

Looking for evidence of the 'fastball hitter'.

Moonshot: The Power of Projections

by Robert Arthur 12/03

The error spectrum of projections shows the limitations of analysis, or the progress we can still make.

Moonshot: A New View of Plate Discipline, Part 3

by Robert Arthur 11/26

Constructing a leaderboard that passes the smell test.

Moonshot: A New View of Plate Discipline, Part 2

by Robert Arthur 11/21

Turning a smarter, better plate discipline measure into a leaderboard--and examining what it means.

Moonshot: The New Best Way to Measure Plate Discipline

by Robert Arthur 11/07

The problem with zone rates: There's no zone.