Prospectus Feature

The Blue Jays Aren’t Paying for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Now, But They Might Later$

by Marc Normandin 2/19

Image credit: © Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

The bill always comes due.

Familiarity or Fatigue?$

by Stephen Sutton-Brown 2/10

Image credit: © Orlando Ramirez-Imagn Images

Thanks to our new metrics, we can isolate the source of the dreaded third time through the order penalty.

2025 SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards: Voting Open Now!

by Baseball Prospectus 2/03

Here’s your chance to vote for the 2025 SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards winners.

The Lockouts Will Continue, Regardless of Morale$

by Marc Normandin 1/29

Image credit: © The Arizona Republic-USA TODAY NETWORK

"The great thing about offseason lockouts is the leverage that exists gets applied between the bargaining parties."

An Ode to King Félix and the Way to Cooperstown$

by Mario Delgado Genzor 1/27

Image credit: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

After a cloudy result from his first year on the ballot, Félix Hernández continues to exist out of time.

Is a Hall of Famer a Sandwich?$

by Marc Normandin 1/23

Image credit: © Cheryl Evans/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

There are better things to worry about than Ichiro's missing vote.

Introducing BP’s New Arsenal Metrics

by Stephen Sutton-Brown 1/17

Image credit: © Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

A new way at quantifying not just individual pitches, but how they work together.

Deserved Exit Velocity: A Look at Hitters and Pitchers

by Jonathan Judge 1/10

Image credit: © Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

In search of a better way to evaluate the curve of exit velocity distribution.

Baseball in the Future, Tense

by Marc Normandin 12/19

Image credit: © Brad Penner-Imagn Images

With a new CBA looming, some teams might be spending while the spending's good.

Synecdoche, New York Is a Place in Chicago

by James Fegan 12/18

Image credit: © Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Get pumped for the 2025 BP Annual by revisiting one of our favorite essays from last year’s book.

Exit Velocity: Modeling Average Maximum Athletic Effort

by Jonathan Judge 12/13

Image credit: © David Reginek-Imagn Images

A better way to look at average exit velocity.

New Stadium, New Sluggers: Three Rays Ready to RakeB

by Jacob Edelman 12/12

Using regression-tree modeling to predict three potential breakout bats after the Rays’ unfortunate stadium switch.

The Dodgers Are Deferring Everything But the DreamB

by Marc Normandin 12/05

Better later than never.

Diamond Isn’t Forever$

by Marc Normandin 11/22

MLB has gotten its cable rights in order, but only to time them for the real push later on.

2024 MLB Awards Model Predictor: Final Predictions$

by Noah Frank 11/20

Predictions not just for the major award winners, but for finalists!

2025 Free Agent 50: Part Two$

by Patrick Dubuque and Craig Goldstein 11/14

Where "fun to fix" refers to both the players and the teams signing them.