For this study, I estimated career VORP for the BA’s top 100 prospects from 1990 through 1997, that is, those who have had at least five years to prove themselves. I used the rule of thumb that 10 runs of value moves one game into the win column. This is what I found:
Can a "can’t-miss prospect" miss? Will young pitchers really break your heart? Last year, in a highly entertaining Baseball Prospectus roundtable Joe Sheehan remarked: I would submit that there are no circumstances in which a pitcher is the best prospect in baseball. To which Derek Zumsteg replied: If a pitcher can’t be the best prospect…