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Prospectus Hit List for July 27



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 24
Hit List updates are published Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, starting April 2, 2014. Data presented here is based on games through the day prior to publication.
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The Hit List is officially on #HugWatch.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

55

45

57.5

59.3

59.6

.578

.598

43.9%

38.7%

82.7%

-0.9%

15.4%

Congratulations to Craig Biggio for getting a plaque into the Hall of Fame, but it's going to take years to get that thing dirty to his liking.
2

59

38

56.4

54.3

54.4

.578

.597

92.7%

4.5%

97.3%

2.4%

3.8%

Hopefully Johnny Cueto fits in with the Royals. He's gonna have to learn how to pitch five strong innings then take a dive in the sixth and let the bullpen handle it from there.
3

63

35

62.2

56.8

56.5

.608

.589

91.8%

7.8%

99.7%

-0.1%

0.5%

Now that Steve Cishek is on the Cardinals, he'll still be pulled from the game after just 1/3 inning but it won't be because he melted down.
4

55

43

55.9

54.4

54.5

.561

.580

53.7%

31.1%

84.8%

5.8%

8.3%

Mike Trout has already done enough to win this year's MVP trophy, which means he needs to play the rest of the games this season while carrying the MVP trophy.
5

55

42

52.1

54.5

54.1

.556

.575

78.4%

11.5%

89.9%

3.1%

14.2%

Alex Rodriguez hit three home runs in a game for the fifth time. We're starting to think this guy almost might be as good as, possibly better than, Dave Kingman.
6

56

44

57.0

62.6

60.8

.591

.572

76.3%

15.3%

91.6%

-1.1%

-3.1%

Orel Hershiser went out to celebrate still having pitched a record 59 scoreless innings. He didn't even hear about Zack Greinke.
7

50

50

59.4

54.1

53.7

.543

.563

14.3%

28.0%

42.3%

-3.8%

3.7%

The Blue Jays thought they had a series win in Seattle, then in extra innings on Sunday they were suddenly thrown for a Loup.
8

44

56

54.2

54.9

55.4

.521

.541

0.2%

1.8%

1.9%

-0.3%

-5.4%

Getting Jacob Nottingham in the trade for Scott Kazmir looks good on paper, but that pretty much throws a wrench in their whole "rob from the rich and give to the poor" mantra.
9

57

41

55.1

54.4

52.8

.560

.540

7.3%

73.9%

81.2%

4.3%

6.1%

The acquisition of Aramis Ramirez sends a strong message to the rest of the league, and that message is "oh god oh god please hit it to the outfield."
10

48

49

53.0

49.8

49.5

.516

.536

4.0%

10.7%

14.7%

3.0%

-5.5%

David Lough batted leadoff yesterday, because you can't spell "leadough" without "Lough."
11

54

44

54.6

54.6

53.7

.553

.533

23.0%

38.1%

61.1%

5.6%

23.1%

Tim Hudson now has wins against all 30 teams, as well as the Expos. If he goes into the Hall of Fame, he'll wear a ball cap that just says "Tim Hudson."
12

52

45

51.9

52.5

51.1

.535

.515

61.9%

9.0%

70.9%

-5.3%

-6.9%

The team to beat in the NL East has Dan Uggla and Emmanuel Burriss on the team. Sport ain't fair.
13

48

50

46.5

48.2

48.7

.488

.508

2.4%

16.6%

19.0%

-4.2%

-6.1%

Before their superstar went on the DL, they were eight games over five .500. Since then, they're 10 games under .500. The superstar I'm taking about, of course, is Kyle Lobstein.
14

45

52

43.7

49.7

50.3

.486

.506

0.9%

4.3%

5.2%

-2.1%

-11.1%

The trade market for Ryan Raburn, at this point, is limited to teams in the mood for a good laugh.
15

49

51

47.2

48.5

48.8

.484

.504

2.6%

10.2%

12.8%

-3.1%

-8.2%

The Rays have used 27 pitchers, two more than any other Rays team in history and there's still plenty of time to see if Dewon Brazelton wants to make a comeback.
16

51

46

48.6

51.3

51.5

.522

.502

0.8%

42.3%

43.1%

-9.5%

-28.8%

It took 50 years, but somebody finally no-hit the Cubs. Must be exhilirating for Cubs fans to see a decades-long drought finally ended.
17

52

46

49.9

43.6

43.4

.482

.502

3.6%

25.9%

29.4%

-2.2%

-8.4%

If Miguel Sano reminds the team of David Ortiz, then they are extremely less likely to release Sano for Jose Morban this time around.
18

46

53

43.7

46.7

49.0

.468

.488

0.5%

3.6%

4.2%

1.2%

1.1%

The Mariners turned a triple play with two of the outs coming at third base. And we all laughed when they propped open a cardboard box with a carrot inside of it there.
19

47

50

45.6

43.8

44.5

.466

.486

1.7%

6.6%

8.3%

-1.7%

2.8%

Remember when Nick Martinez had a 0.34 ERA in April? Since then, pay no attention to statistics if you like Nick Martinez.
20

51

48

48.8

49.1

49.3

.500

.480

37.5%

10.9%

48.4%

6.6%

11.3%

Trading for Kelly Johnson and Juan Uribe is a big move for the Mets, who are now up to four players on their active roster.
21

46

51

48.5

48.5

48.2

.493

.473

0.4%

1.2%

1.6%

0.0%

-0.5%

Andrew Chafin? Then maybe they need to close the roof when he pitches.
22

44

55

42.9

45.7

46.0

.451

.471

0.7%

2.0%

2.7%

1.3%

-6.8%

David Ortiz is the first Red Sox with 7 RBIs since Will Middlebrooks, who had like four other RBI outside that game.
23

46

50

41.0

40.6

41.5

.440

.460

0.5%

4.5%

5.0%

1.3%

2.3%

The White Sox ought to be buyers this month, provided the product is extra-strength laxative.
24

41

58

46.2

49.2

48.9

.468

.448

0.3%

0.1%

0.4%

-0.1%

-0.3%

There are about six ways it's depressing to watch Ichiro bat leadoff for the Marlins with a .295 on-base percentage.
25

43

53

42.5

46.3

45.3

.461

.441

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.2%

-0.1%

The return the Reds got for Johnny Cueto was rather ... wait a minute [looks at list] these are just the members of Switchfoot!
26

46

52

44.0

41.5

41.4

.441

.421

0.3%

0.0%

0.3%

0.1%

-0.2%

A couple months was not nearly enough time to fashion the perfect Juan Uribe shirsey, which would have more than paid for the new stadium.
27

47

52

43.5

41.4

42.7

.441

.421

0.3%

1.1%

1.4%

0.1%

-0.2%

I told you all that acquiring a bunch of really good baseball players is the type of out-of-the-box, unproven method that just doesn't work in reality.
28

43

56

44.9

42.6

43.0

.438

.418

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.2%

-0.4%

Stockholm Syndrome: when you sympathize with your captors. Milwaukee Fever: "Bud Selig just enacted the blackout policy to protect us"
29

42

54

42.2

41.5

40.8

.433

.414

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.5%

Actually, if the Rockies played football yesterday, they would not have scored 17 runs. In fact, they would have had several ejections for tackling and for wearing improper headgear.
30

37

63

35.2

34.8

35.1

.355

.337

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Once Ruben Amaro figures out how to manipulate the construct of time, they'll probably just trade Cole Hamels' no-hitter at the deadline.

Matt Sussman is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Matt's other articles. You can contact Matt by clicking here


1 comment has been left for this article.
TeamPineTar

Even tongue in cheek, Sussman's Hit List beats Pecota. Pecota as of yesterday had the Royals with the worst record in the AL Central the remainder of the season. Pecota also has a well-deserved reputation of ridicule around the Missouri-Kansas border.

Jul 27, 2015 13:33 PM
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