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Prospectus Hit List for May 7



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 6 Hit List for May 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Jon Garland's first appearance on a Hit List in quite some time!

RkTmWLW1W2 W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

19

11

20.2

21.7

20.9

.629

.647

82.3%

9.6%

91.9%

0.6%

3.5%

At long last, Al Alburquerque studied a map of New Mexico and finally understood the humor.
2

18

13

18.2

20.3

19.9

.539

.519

12.6%

12.1%

24.7%

-0.0%

8.3%

Jon Garland leads the team in innings pitched and has fewer total strikeouts than two teammates who are relievers. This team is beautiful.
3

21

11

20.0

20.0

19.8

.583

.602

40.2%

32.2%

72.4%

1.6%

1.3%

Dustin Pedroia hitting a home run over the giant Fenway Park wall is an affront to most modern physics theories.
4

19

12

19.3

19.9

19.8

.571

.551

49.1%

20.4%

69.5%

3.4%

3.2%

Cory Gearrin has made 17 appearances with no runs allowed and one appearance that look he just doesn't want to talk about, okay?
5

20

12

19.7

20.5

19.6

.589

.608

73.2%

9.0%

82.2%

-2.3%

4.4%

Making up a game with the Cubs seemed like such a good idea at the time.
6

18

15

19.2

18.8

17.9

.558

.539

47.1%

25.3%

72.4%

-2.3%

-1.0%

A Voltron made of Shin-Soo Choo's HBPs and Joey Votto's walks. An unstoppable on-base machine whose only vulnerability is strikes.
7

19

13

18.7

17.9

17.6

.520

.540

6.8%

16.1%

22.9%

-0.0%

8.1%

Their 107-game winning streak with a lead after seven innings deserves an investigation into how many times they ended the game after seven innings and nobody noticed.
8

17

15

18.4

17.1

17.5

.535

.515

27.1%

19.2%

46.3%

2.5%

-9.2%

How many chores did you get done during Travor Cahill's triple?
9

15

14

16.9

17.9

17.2

.539

.559

8.5%

19.5%

28.1%

3.5%

7.2%

Show us on the baseball where Mark Reynolds hurt you.
10

18

15

18.1

17.6

16.9

.522

.542

15.8%

19.8%

35.6%

-1.3%

-1.3%

If he keeps this up, Yoenis Cespedes could give his native Cuba a reputation for producing baseball players.
11

12

20

14.2

16.6

16.5

.474

.454

2.0%

4.2%

6.1%

1.0%

-3.9%

As long as recently-promoted Ryan Sweeney doesn't punch any doors, he should be fine. Or the Cubs could install cardboard doors.
12

14

17

15.5

15.3

16.5

.513

.533

7.8%

16.8%

24.6%

-1.9%

-13.1%

It took only 55 fewer appearances but Fernando Rodney already matched 2012's earned run total.
13

19

13

16.6

16.1

16.2

.523

.503

34.4%

16.0%

50.4%

-5.5%

10.4%

You still can't disprove the theory that Pablo Sandoval is two Cirque du Soleil acrobats stuffed into one jersey.
14

20

11

20.0

16.4

16.0

.547

.528

36.5%

26.4%

62.9%

4.6%

24.3%

Adam Wainwright has walked three batters all year, while Lance Lynn has walked three batters in four different games, and is 5-0.
15

15

18

13.6

15.6

15.6

.465

.485

3.3%

4.5%

7.8%

0.0%

-0.7%

They have eight stolen bases as a team, which is fewer than Nate McLouth has as an individual.
16

17

15

14.6

14.9

15.2

.509

.489

37.2%

18.4%

55.6%

-0.8%

4.7%

To differentiate himself from Ryan, Jordan Zimmermann may want to change his name to Jordan Agoodpitcher.
17

18

12

16.1

15.4

15.1

.550

.570

44.2%

27.6%

71.8%

-0.4%

-2.0%

Alex Rodriguez's injury rehab will consist of gradually larger minor league crowds booing him whatever he does.
18

17

14

15.4

14.6

15.0

.499

.479

11.6%

18.1%

29.7%

2.5%

-3.5%

A.J. Burnett is second in the majors in total strikeouts yet is still 15 behind Yu Darvish.
19

17

11

15.9

14.3

14.7

.516

.536

7.7%

21.7%

29.4%

-2.4%

9.2%

George Kottaras' season numbers: .222/.462/.667, 13 plate appearances. He's been with the team since Opening Day.
20

14

16

13.7

14.3

14.6

.472

.452

2.8%

6.5%

9.3%

-1.8%

-7.9%

Carlos Gomez leads the league in WAR, but it's a small sample size so he actually leads the league in BATTLE.
21

13

18

11.7

14.4

14.4

.497

.477

23.1%

17.9%

41.0%

-6.8%

-19.6%

TV pitch: a hospital drama where all the Dodgers players are patients, but it focuses on the doctors' love lives.
22

14

18

13.7

13.1

13.8

.447

.427

2.8%

2.7%

5.5%

1.5%

2.4%

The best place to watch a game at Petco Park is inside Andrew Cashner's beard.
23

13

15

13.2

12.9

13.8

.437

.456

0.2%

0.7%

0.9%

-0.3%

-0.5%

Extra-inning losses on the road are worse than ninth-inning losses, because you're sad AND all the good restaurants are closed.
24

15

18

13.2

13.2

13.2

.453

.433

6.4%

6.2%

12.7%

0.6%

-8.7%

If the season ended today, that wouldn't be the worst thing for them.
25

11

20

12.3

12.9

13.1

.472

.492

7.8%

14.3%

22.1%

2.7%

-11.9%

They are already 7½ games behind the second Wild Card, more than at any point last season. Better now than July.
26

13

17

13.3

12.9

13.1

.452

.472

1.3%

5.1%

6.4%

-0.2%

-1.5%

Jordan Danks went from being picked-off as a pinch-runner (and game-winning run) to hitting the go-ahead home run in extra innings. Overcompensating, much?
27

12

16

13.9

13.0

12.8

.477

.457

7.2%

6.6%

13.8%

1.2%

0.7%

A day off in New York City. Wonder if there's anything to do there.
28

12

21

11.8

11.2

12.3

.434

.453

1.0%

3.0%

4.1%

0.3%

-2.7%

So with yesterday's win, are they championship contenders again? I can't keep this season straight.
29

10

23

11.3

10.5

10.5

.369

.351

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.2%

One bright spot of note on this team is their logo, by definition.
30

8

24

9.1

8.5

9.9

.333

.351

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

So much for the Rick Ankiel, designated for assignment. Now they're going back to the plan of "replacement-level players the fans HAVEN'T heard of."