Prospectus Hit List for May 6
Hit List for May 4
Hit List for May 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.
| Rk | Tm | W | L | W1 | W2 | W3 | HLF | AHLF | Win Div% | Win WC% | Playoff% |  1-Day | 7-Day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 14 | 13 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 13.5 | .506 | .486 | 9.3% | 27.3% | 36.6% | 5.6% | 13.5% |
| Tim Hudson is taking more 30 seconds between pitches when runners are on base, though that probably counts the 27 seconds it takes for the ball to travel to the plate after he throws it. | |||||||||||||
| 2 |  | 17 | 9 | 18.0 | 19.1 | 18.6 | .576 | .596 | 23.0% | 14.4% | 37.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Greg Holland is coming back so the best bullpen in baseball figures to get better. So considering we're talking about bullpens, the whole thing will probably spontaneously combust. | |||||||||||||
| 3 |  | 17 | 10 | 16.9 | 17.1 | 17.4 | .564 | .583 | 28.5% | 24.4% | 52.9% | 3.9% | 11.4% |
| Michael Pineda has thrown 39.1 innings giving him a solid chance to break PECOTA's predicted 62 and now I realize using the word 'break' was in poor taste. | |||||||||||||
| 4 |  | 17 | 10 | 15.9 | 13.9 | 14.0 | .536 | .516 | 38.8% | 17.9% | 56.7% | 3.9% | -8.6% |
| The Mets are 17-10. See? Told you signing Michael Cuddyer was a great idea! | |||||||||||||
| 5 |  | 12 | 16 | 15.8 | 15.9 | 15.9 | .524 | .543 | 13.9% | 11.5% | 25.4% | 3.7% | -2.8% |
| The bad news: according to Base Running Runs (BRR), Billy Butler is the worst in baseball. The good news: he's on the A's so he'll get hurt any day now. | |||||||||||||
| 6 |  | 13 | 14 | 15.0 | 16.1 | 15.4 | .524 | .504 | 12.1% | 12.4% | 24.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% |
| The Marlins are releasing Jarrod Saltalamacchia with $14 million left on his contract. Don't worry though. I'm sure Miami-Dade County will pay for most of it. | |||||||||||||
| 7 |  | 13 | 14 | 12.1 | 12.8 | 13.2 | .507 | .527 | 25.5% | 22.7% | 48.2% | 2.1% | -15.7% |
| This season has made clear that Wade Miley is a bad pitcher and not, as it turns out, something you do while fly-fishing. | |||||||||||||
| 8 |  | 12 | 15 | 12.8 | 10.8 | 10.9 | .492 | .512 | 33.7% | 15.1% | 48.9% | 1.9% | -2.1% |
| Mike Trout has been a more valuable baseball player by WARP than all the other hitters on his team combined, and Collin Cowgill accepts that. If you're talking Cornhole prowess though, better expect some pushback. | |||||||||||||
| 9 |  | 13 | 13 | 12.8 | 13.3 | 13.0 | .481 | .461 | 1.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 1.9% | -2.4% |
| Walk, strikeout, walk, walk -- *sigh* -- strikeout, strikeout. Aroldis Chapman is bored. | |||||||||||||
| 10 |  | 9 | 14 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 7.8 | .417 | .436 | 7.2% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 1.7% | -9.3% |
| Have the White Sox been the worst road team in baseball because they refuse to use a GPS? Hit List investigates! | |||||||||||||
| 11 |  | 10 | 16 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 9.7 | .436 | .456 | 4.0% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| The Rangers' most valuable pitcher, Nick Martinez, has a 3.66 K/9. They say everything is bigger in Texas, which presumably includes the perceived length of the baseball season. | |||||||||||||
| 12 |  | 13 | 14 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 12.1 | .454 | .434 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% | -1.3% |
| A.J. Pierzynski is hitting .344 which, humorously enough, is also the exact same percentage of the clubhouse that likes him. | |||||||||||||
| 13 |  | 11 | 13 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 9.6 | .435 | .415 | 1.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% | -3.6% |
| The last two games have been rained out, and the forecast for the next six days in Denver is thunderstorms, thunderstorms, thunderstorms, thunderstorms, thunderstorms, and rain. Eight day vacation? Eight day vacation! | |||||||||||||
| 14 |  | 20 | 6 | 18.2 | 16.8 | 15.7 | .607 | .588 | 73.1% | 14.6% | 87.7% | 0.8% | 13.4% |
| The Cardinals are 19-6. Jason Heyward is terrible. These statements are surprisingly not mutually exclusive. | |||||||||||||
| 15 |  | 9 | 16 | 10.5 | 10.9 | 11.3 | .457 | .477 | 7.5% | 6.4% | 13.9% | -0.1% | 2.4% |
| Still last in Defensive Efficiency, Cleveland? I guess we know a few someones who don't read the Hit List! | |||||||||||||
| 16 |  | 10 | 18 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 8.3 | .362 | .344 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
| One problem with trading Cole Hamels that maybe Ruben Amaro hasn't considered: all his potential trade partners are terrible. | |||||||||||||
| 17 |  | 10 | 14 | 11.9 | 10.4 | 10.8 | .450 | .430 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| Statistically two rainouts in a row is the best baseball the Diamondbacks have played this year. | |||||||||||||
| 18 |  | 17 | 9 | 17.2 | 18.9 | 18.2 | .637 | .618 | 81.7% | 11.7% | 93.4% | -0.3% | 0.6% |
| Monday, Adrian Gonzalez came to bat four times and yet he didn't bat once, as he walked three times and was hit by a pitch. This is probably the most unremarkable thing about Gonzalez's season so far. | |||||||||||||
| 19 |  | 8 | 19 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 8.0 | .396 | .377 | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | -0.6% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Lohse has given up more home runs (9) then walks (8) because he's all about expediency. | |||||||||||||
| 20 |  | 12 | 12 | 13.1 | 13.9 | 14.0 | .516 | .536 | 8.3% | 11.7% | 20.0% | -0.7% | 5.7% |
| Jimmy Paredes has lost 100 points of batting average in 10 days. It's not in the car, under the couch, or in the hamper. Anyone with information should contact the proper authorities. | |||||||||||||
| 21 |  | 14 | 13 | 13.4 | 11.5 | 11.9 | .455 | .475 | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.3% | -1.6% | 3.2% |
| Joe Mauer has: A) more triples than homers, B) more intentional walks than homers, C) A & B, D) C, E) C & D. | |||||||||||||
| 22 |  | 13 | 15 | 14.5 | 12.0 | 12.4 | .483 | .503 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 23.2% | -1.6% | 0.9% |
| What would you have said about the Blue Jays' season if I told you Marco Estrada would be their best pitcher on May 6th? Yeah, that's about right. | |||||||||||||
| 23 |  | 17 | 10 | 14.3 | 16.8 | 16.8 | .555 | .575 | 58.1% | 11.3% | 69.4% | -2.4% | 1.7% |
| According to our metrics, David Price is taking 25.347 minutes between pitches? I think I'm reading that wrong. | |||||||||||||
| 24 |  | 11 | 16 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 11.4 | .470 | .490 | 18.9% | 11.8% | 30.7% | -2.7% | -8.3% |
| Felix Hernandez is 5-0 so it's good to see he's finally learned how to pitch. | |||||||||||||
| 25 |  | 12 | 14 | 14.1 | 13.1 | 12.8 | .505 | .485 | 6.6% | 17.7% | 24.2% | -3.0% | -6.4% |
| Jeff Karstens has announced his retirement. [Sad Karstens face] | |||||||||||||
| 26 |  | 13 | 12 | 12.7 | 14.6 | 14.4 | .541 | .521 | 17.8% | 32.1% | 49.8% | -3.0% | -14.0% |
| Kris Bryant Update: Not good enough to start the season in Chicago, good enough to bat third or fourth every day since he was called up. | |||||||||||||
| 27 |  | 14 | 14 | 14.4 | 12.0 | 12.6 | .499 | .479 | 7.7% | 26.9% | 34.6% | -3.4% | -2.7% |
| The Padres are trying to change their image, though I'd have gone with clown makeup and polka dot uniforms before leading baseball in home runs allowed. | |||||||||||||
| 28 |  | 18 | 9 | 16.8 | 18.3 | 18.1 | .568 | .587 | 29.4% | 16.6% | 46.0% | -4.7% | 10.2% |
| "Your leader in DRA WARP is Dallas Keuchel" is a sentence that would have made no sense one year ago. | |||||||||||||
| 29 |  | 14 | 13 | 13.4 | 15.4 | 15.9 | .539 | .559 | 28.7% | 25.8% | 54.5% | -5.5% | -2.6% |
| Kevin Cash is 0-for-11 on replay challenges, 0-for-12 if you count the time he challenged the cost of a Snickers at the Price Chopper. | |||||||||||||
| 30 |  | 13 | 15 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 13.0 | .521 | .501 | 46.7% | 18.5% | 65.2% | -7.5% | 5.1% |
| You know the problem with Bryce Harper? [mumble mumble] So yeah! | |||||||||||||
You should read this! Trust me, just read it. Trust me!