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Prospectus Hit List for June 20

by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 17 Hit List for June 24
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Rk	Tm	W	L	W1	W2	W3	HLF	AHLF	Win Div%	Win WC%	Playoff%	1-Day	7-Day
1		47	20	51.1	52.3	51.6	.664	.660	99.3%	0.6%	99.9%	0.1%	0.2%
		Okay, when Kyle Hendricks is striking out 12 in a game, it's not necessarily time to test for performance-enhancing drugs -- they already do that -- but rather to check the baseballs for alien nanotechnology.
2		43	27	43.5	45.9	45.2	.594	.589	81.6%	13.6%	95.2%	-1.3%	1.2%
		Who would be the Washington Nationals biological father? According to studies, it's either Jeffrey Loria, Vladimir Guerrero or Youppi!. Asking because they're not sure who to give this necktie to.
3		39	29	41.8	44.1	44.3	.575	.580	51.5%	25.9%	77.4%	5.0%	-0.2%
		Rusney Castillo was placed on waivers, despite being owed another $72.5 million. It should be noted that his .262 career batting average to date is higher Jason Varitek's.
4		38	33	40.5	44.5	44.4	.581	.577	33.5%	43.2%	76.7%	1.4%	7.4%
		Clayton Kershaw is very similar to Willy Wonka except that instead of golden tickets, Kershaw gives away walks, and instead of five, he has only given away seven. Also they both wear hats.
5		38	30	39.7	38.9	38.0	.564	.569	73.8%	8.6%	82.4%	2.8%	-1.1%
		Oh, Indians, you picked the wrong day and the wrong city for an exciting walkoff win in Cleveland yesterday.
6		44	26	40.7	40.4	40.9	.558	.553	65.4%	25.0%	90.4%	3.9%	20.5%
		I'm not entirely sure why the Giants are looking at outfielders and relief pitchers to trade for, when they can just whittle new ones out of clay and generate at least 2.5 WARP down the stretch.
7		39	33	39.8	40.4	41.3	.544	.549	25.2%	32.9%	58.1%	-3.2%	3.8%
		Jose Bautista went on the disabled list after running into an outfield wall, proving what we all assumed: Walls are stronger and have more sportsmanship than Rougned Odor's fist.
8		35	33	40.4	42.7	42.6	.549	.544	0.6%	34.5%	35.1%	-3.0%	-22.4%
		Yes, it's for cancer research, but dyeing the Cardinals birds blue makes it look like the jerseys were washed with a load of na'vi tunics.
9		36	33	40.1	38.6	37.7	.538	.543	14.4%	27.2%	41.6%	-4.7%	-13.1%
		The last two batters in the Mariners lineup on Sunday were Martin and O'Malley, and they lost. How democratic.
10		36	32	36.1	37.7	35.9	.546	.541	13.9%	42.8%	56.7%	-5.6%	-14.8%
		Scoring four runs in a series isn't great. When it's against the Braves, time to fold the team and reinvent yourself as a frozen yogurt company.
11		45	25	39.4	36.5	36.7	.528	.533	78.1%	12.3%	90.5%	1.8%	16.8%
		On Saturday the Rangers went 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position, hitting just one extra-base hit (a double). And they still won 4-3. Sometimes you can win games just by button mashing.
12		34	36	34.3	35.4	35.3	.523	.528	7.2%	20.0%	27.2%	2.2%	5.7%
		Chris Devenski had a three-inning save, the first by an Astro since 2013. Fun fact: C.J. Nitkowski had three such saves for the Astros in 1998, and they were his only three career saves.
13		31	36	32.6	35.1	35.7	.517	.522	3.5%	9.1%	12.6%	-4.4%	-12.1%
		If a franchise that began in 1998 can wear '70s throwbacks, then they can invent former players as well. At least that's according to former Rays pitcher Chip Mugglewick, who won 45 games in 1971 then was banned for life four years later when his pet kangaroo bit Earl Weaver. Google it.
14		40	28	36.8	35.1	35.6	.508	.513	16.0%	26.3%	42.3%	7.5%	9.0%
		Lesson learned: sign anyone you want as a right fielder just as long as they can hit enough home runs, even if they're not really a right fielder.
15		34	35	33.9	36.0	34.6	.500	.505	6.7%	7.3%	14.1%	-5.7%	-11.3%
		Michael Fulmer's scoreless innings streak stopped at 33 1/3, as did Leslie Nielsen's streak of producing good comedies.
16		34	35	32.4	32.0	32.4	.494	.499	3.8%	7.7%	11.5%	-2.1%	-3.6%
		Alex Rodriguez has hit seven of his eight home runs this season on the road, mostly because when he hears booing he goes to his "happy place," which is a stadium with only half as much booing.
17		37	32	34.5	36.0	35.7	.501	.496	4.5%	25.6%	30.1%	5.0%	17.3%
		Remember that one Where's Waldo book where you had to find Waldo amongst a group of everyone else dressed very similar to Waldo? That's what it's like to find Marlins Man at a Marlins game.
18		33	36	32.7	31.4	31.6	.490	.495	6.3%	6.8%	13.0%	-2.1%	-8.4%
		"Big Game" James Shields has been entirely ineffective (21.81 in three starts) for Chicago ever since opponents figured out his weakness: a small boy running up to him before the game and whispering in his ear, "this is not a big game."
19		38	31	34.4	33.5	33.5	.485	.490	13.2%	14.9%	28.1%	2.6%	15.7%
		Over 57 percent of all announcer fines this season have been trying to pronounce Cheslor Cuthbert correctly.
20		33	36	33.3	32.6	33.2	.490	.485	0.0%	8.1%	8.2%	-0.1%	-6.6%
		It's getting harder and harder to tell what color Clint Hurdle's face is when he has it constantly buried in his hands.
21		32	39	33.5	34.5	36.5	.480	.475	0.6%	2.5%	3.1%	0.4%	0.8%
		If Zack Greinke retired today to become, I don't know, a surfboard designer, he would be the second pitcher since 1955 to have a season of 100 innings with no HBPs, intentional walks, balks or wild pitches. Remember a pitcher name Hal Brown? Me neither.
22		32	36	32.9	35.0	35.1	.478	.473	0.5%	3.3%	3.8%	-0.6%	-2.1%
		Daniel Descalso is hitting .406/.500/.594, but in fairness it's only through 35 plate appearances. But in additional fairness, last year through through 35 PA he was hitting .097/.200/.097.
23		31	38	32.1	29.2	29.5	.449	.454	0.2%	0.8%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
		Tim Lincecum's first start -- and win -- as an Angel is finally in the books. The books, unfortunately, are historical fiction.
24		28	41	27.5	26.3	26.0	.430	.435	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	-0.0%	-1.2%
		The A's were three-hit by Jered Weaver so now they're officially the Oakland C-minuses.
25		31	39	29.0	27.8	26.5	.437	.432	0.0%	0.6%	0.6%	0.1%	-1.1%
		Not that the Brewers are desperate to trade any veterans this summer, but David Stearns is willing to package some homemade fudge along with Aaron Hill.
26		29	42	29.8	26.9	27.9	.432	.427	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
		San Diego high school trigonometry finals have been rewritten to solve for the tilt in Fernando Rodney's brim in radians.
27		21	48	23.1	25.0	25.1	.414	.419	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0%	-0.1%
		The Twins are now a stunning 0-1 when they hit back-to-back home runs off Aroldis Chapman. (This one is actually impressive.)
28		23	46	24.0	26.0	27.1	.391	.387	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Julio Teheran is pitching well but has a 3-7 record. The thing is, wins don't matter -- at least according to the team, specifically for this season.
29		27	43	24.9	19.7	20.1	.386	.381	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%
		The Reds need to market Billy Hamilton more, and also get more people in the seats. Solution: call them Hamilton tickets.
30		30	40	23.5	21.0	21.8	.378	.373	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	-0.5%
		If anyone remembers what happened to Cliff Lee, let us know. He might be retired, injured, or has a 5-6 record. It's extremely difficult to tell, and we don't want to assume.