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Prospectus Hit List for September 19



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for September 16 Hit List for September 23
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

I must, I must, I must increase my Suss.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

94

55

98.5

104.8

104.0

.673

.669

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Those fake Cubs World Series tickets you been selling the last few years? Congratulations, now you're in a lawsuit!
2

85

64

91.4

95.1

95.7

.616

.621

87.2%

12.3%

99.5%

0.6%

4.8%

He's tired from having to get up and do something four times a day, so a retired David Ortiz probably has no interest in becoming a blogger.
3

88

61

90.6

93.6

91.9

.611

.606

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Five of Trea Turner's 13 career home runs were hit at Turner Field. Next year he better be prepared to change his name to Trea SunTrust.
4

86

63

85.1

86.2

84.5

.574

.578

99.6%

0.3%

99.9%

0.0%

0.4%

Carlos Carrasco left with a broken bone in his pitching hand on the first batter, then the Indians bullpen used eight relievers over 10 innings to throw a shutout. With Danny Salazar lost for the season as well, Corey Kluber getting his foot stuck in a bear trap may actually help the team.
5

84

65

83.1

88.2

88.3

.577

.572

95.8%

4.0%

99.8%

-0.1%

0.5%

Vin Scully showed his hand in the sixth inning of Saturday's game by narrating Orbitz search results during a Justin Turner at bat.
6

81

68

82.3

84.1

84.6

.557

.562

4.3%

58.9%

63.2%

-11.1%

-6.3%

Being shut out by an Angles pitcher picking up his first career win may not be the optimal way to charge into a Wild Card race.
7

79

70

81.5

83.3

83.7

.550

.545

4.2%

64.0%

68.2%

-10.9%

-17.0%

From 2000 to 2001 Barry Bonds had 122 home runs. From 2016 to 2016, the Giants have 121 home runs.
8

78

71

81.0

84.5

83.4

.548

.543

0.0%

41.0%

41.0%

10.5%

-1.2%

Matt Holliday might not come back for the Cardinals this year, meaning they might have only six capable outfielders you've never heard of immediately take his place.
9

79

70

79.9

77.6

77.2

.526

.531

0.0%

23.2%

23.2%

5.0%

10.7%

Man, if getting Ken Griffey Jr. into the Hall of Fame was all it took for the Mariners to get into a pennant race, they'd have released him years ago.
10

82

67

77.3

76.0

77.7

.525

.530

8.4%

67.4%

75.8%

9.1%

20.5%

Wade Miley threw four shutout innings then left the game with a strained muscle, proving the theory that your body often tries to tell you when enough is enough.
11

78

71

79.1

77.1

76.8

.522

.527

0.0%

13.3%

13.3%

-8.7%

-1.2%

The rosters have expand but the lineup hasn't meaning you can't bat Jake Marisnick in the optimal 14th spot.
12

79

70

74.6

78.4

77.5

.519

.524

0.4%

22.2%

22.6%

6.4%

-11.2%

The Tigers had a starting pitcher pick up a win for the first time in three weeks, and they're two back of the Wild Card. So, yeah, pitching wins don't matter when you can just expand the postseason.
13

88

62

75.8

73.7

73.6

.518

.523

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Being 24 games over .500 in one-run games, the Rangers are now playing the odds by coming to the ballpark packing only one run.
14

80

69

77.5

78.5

78.8

.528

.523

0.0%

90.2%

90.3%

0.8%

18.9%

Time to make "More bad news for Mets starting pitcher" the New York Times sports front page placeholder text, just to save time.
15

77

72

72.4

74.6

77.0

.505

.510

0.0%

2.0%

2.0%

-1.6%

-12.9%

If Billy Butler can shave his goatee and help a team in a pennant race, then so can you, Scott from accounts receivable. (The first part, at least.)
16

72

77

75.8

76.3

75.2

.502

.497

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

Dingers are being dung at a historic rate, and Mark Reynolds (nearly 400 PA) has just 14. In Colorado. Get all the private detectives and have them sort this one out.
17

64

85

72.1

74.7

76.9

.483

.488

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

You might be wondering what Alexei Ramirez is doing playing second base for the Rays, but data suggests that you probably aren't.
18

74

75

73.3

73.3

72.4

.492

.487

0.0%

0.5%

0.5%

0.1%

-1.0%

The Marlins used 21 players to win a game against Philadelphia in Saturday. Their trial in The Hague is scheduled for November 9.
19

72

77

71.4

70.0

70.4

.476

.481

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If Drake LaRoche learned anything this year, it's that Pizza Friday is way cooler than watching millionaire dudes relax in a jacuzzi while you can't.
20

74

75

74.1

70.6

70.0

.484

.479

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-0.3%

0.0%

Wade LeBlanc is the first pitcher to record three-inning saves for two different teams in a season since 1990. The 2016 Pirates: These Are Your Fun Facts, Deal With It.'
21

76

73

71.0

65.6

65.6

.467

.472

0.0%

0.3%

0.3%

0.2%

-4.9%

Chien-Ming Wang was designated for assignment. It may seem weird to do this to a pitcher in September, but you have to understand the Royals just found out Chien-Ming Wang was on the roster.
22

68

82

69.5

66.6

66.6

.451

.446

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

There have been two seasons with 15 home runs, 50 stolen bases and 150 strikeouts. Jonathan Villar has one, Juan Samuel has the other. Let it be known that the Speedy All-Or-Nothing Club has been formed.
23

65

84

70.5

62.9

64.2

.441

.446

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Sadly, Mike Trout will continue to lose MVP discussion traction as fewer and fewer people in America stop believing in the existence of angels.
24

66

83

65.1

64.7

65.2

.438

.443

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If Khris Davis can be a 40-homer guy just like Chris Davis, then this is great news for aspiring Saturday Night Live host actor Khristopher Walken.
25

63

86

61.0

63.0

64.3

.422

.417

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If it feels like the Diamondbacks are always playing an extra-inning game, perish the thought. The way the season has going, they're out there trying to play as little baseball as possible.
26

55

95

61.2

63.3

63.6

.405

.410

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

The Twins need to finish 5-8 to match their all-time worst record (60-102) as the Minnesota Twins. But it's going to take fundamentals. Leadoff walks! Bad throws. Maybe even a couple timely GIDPs. Do you have it in you?
27

58

91

58.8

64.5

64.6

.413

.408

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

If you don't have anything nice to say, point out that they're on pace to have the most doubles in a season since 2010.
28

62

87

65.8

58.2

58.7

.411

.406

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Suspending A.J. Preller for the rest of the season means that Edwin Jackson is guaranteed a job for the rest of the season.
29

67

83

58.3

56.7

56.8

.398

.393

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Freddy Galvis' first four seasons: 1153 PA, 20 home runs
Freddy Galvis, 2016: 582 PA, 20 home runs
30

63

86

61.6

54.8

55.1

.394

.389

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Here are the complete list of batters who have hit .400 in a second half in the last 70 years: Joey Votto, Ichiro, Barry Bonds, George Brett. Joey Votto is ruining baseballs at all the wrong places and times.