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Prospectus Hit List for May 22



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for May 18 Hit List for May 25
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It turns out the Astros aren't invicible.

RkTm WLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

29

15

27.6

26.6

26.8

.625

.630

86.4%

9.9%

96.2%

-0.6%

-0.1%

“Wow the Astros look pretty unbeatable” you thought, jinxing them and leading to Brian McCann and Dallas Keuchel hitting the DL as Houston is swept by Cleveland. You’re a bad person.
2

28

17

24.2

24.8

25.4

.569

.564

13.1%

48.7%

61.8%

5.8%

6.4%

Mike Dunn has a 10.13 ERA since coming off the DL on May 3, but at least he’s only under contract for two more years and $19 million,
3

26

17

25.3

24.9

23.8

.582

.577

84.5%

4.6%

89.2%

3.5%

-1.7%

Koda Glover recorded a four-out save yesterday, making him the most distinguished Nationals closer in team history.
4

26

19

27.4

27.7

26.8

.599

.595

9.4%

41.4%

50.8%

-2.3%

17.1%

The D-Backs had to put Taijuan Walker on the DL with a blister, so expect the Dodgers to make a godfather offer for him any day now.
5

26

19

29.2

28.9

28.0

.623

.618

76.3%

19.1%

95.4%

1.3%

0.4%

Tough break for Julio Urias, getting optioned back to Triple-A where he’ll still be the youngest dude on his team by like 12 years.
6

25

16

25.7

27.5

28.1

.649

.653

38.8%

22.6%

61.4%

0.5%

-0.3%

We finally made it. Please mark 5/22/2017 as the day I became sick of the Aaron Judge puns.
7

25

19

24.6

21.2

21.2

.523

.518

17.8%

18.5%

36.3%

-5.8%

2.3%

Sure, the Brewers might seem a little petty for calling out the Cubs for their premature rain delay decision, but cut ‘em some slack: they’re too used to dealing with the perfect weather in Milwaukee.
8

25

17

22.2

20.4

21.0

.528

.533

10.4%

14.2%

24.6%

-3.9%

-3.4%

Hello! Just your weekly reminder that Wade Miley has a better strikeout rate than Stephen Strasburg.
9

24

21

25.1

21.2

20.6

.505

.510

8.9%

31.9%

40.9%

4.7%

12.7%

Most things in the world are terrible right now, but Adrian Beltre has resumed running as he nears his return, so perhaps there’s some hope for us as a species yet.
10

23

23

22.2

22.4

21.8

.486

.491

1.2%

10.2%

11.3%

3.0%

4.8%

It’s great to see Alex Meyer fulfilling his potential as the high-strikeout, walk-happy mess of a starting pitcher we all knew he could be as a prospect.
11

23

19

22.8

24.4

25.0

.566

.571

78.5%

8.7%

87.3%

0.9%

1.8%

The Indians just swept the Astros, are back in first place and have Corey Kluber coming off the DL shortly. It must be nice!
12

23

23

25.2

27.9

28.6

.569

.574

18.6%

20.4%

38.9%

-4.7%

8.0%

Corey Dickerson is hitting .343/.394/.639 with 11 bombs in his second year with the Rays, but I’m still willing to attribute the performance to Coors Field.
13

22

18

19.4

19.8

19.8

.506

.511

10.7%

15.9%

26.6%

-0.6%

-1.0%

The Twins are now 7-1 against Kansas City this season. They’re so effective against Royals Melisandre’s gonna recruit them any day now.
14

22

19

22.3

22.5

22.6

.545

.540

15.9%

17.4%

33.3%

5.5%

-11.2%

Hmm, the Cardinals lost a close match-up in extra innings thanks to a largely anonymous Giant preying on their bullpen. Where have we seen that before?
15

22

21

22.3

22.8

22.9

.524

.529

29.9%

22.9%

52.8%

6.7%

-1.7%

Any time your de facto captain refers to your current play as “whale [excrement]” you know things are going well!
16

22

20

22.6

22.4

22.9

.535

.530

59.6%

14.3%

73.9%

2.4%

4.7%

More Cubs relievers dancing in the bullpen and fewer Dancing With The Stars recaps, please.
17

21

21

20.1

19.0

19.3

.473

.478

7.6%

13.1%

20.7%

-3.3%

-3.2%

Alex Avila is hitting .382/.488/.706. Finally, a case of nepotism paying off in this country.
18

20

25

20.5

20.4

20.7

.453

.458

2.6%

13.6%

16.1%

-3.0%

-9.8%

The most surprising thing about that Sea Lion attack video? The victim wasn’t a Mariners starting pitcher.
19

20

24

18.5

17.8

18.7

.426

.421

4.9%

6.6%

11.4%

1.5%

1.6%

David Freese was hit in the back with the bases loaded to force in Pittsburgh’s only run yesterday. God he’s so clutch.
20

20

24

17.5

22.1

21.8

.463

.468

1.0%

5.8%

6.8%

-1.6%

0.3%

The A’s have made 42 errors through 43 games. They have the collective defensive prowess of the Browns.
21

20

23

21.2

22.7

22.1

.500

.495

1.9%

3.0%

4.9%

-1.5%

-5.2%

You can attribute the uptick in homers to juiced baseballs if you want. Me? I’ll blame Bronson Arroyo, who’s given up nine dongers in his last four starts
22

20

22

23.4

22.1

21.9

.520

.525

2.5%

4.5%

7.0%

1.0%

-0.4%

Add Luis Robert to the promising list of future young guns who look like they’ll compose the Next Great White Sox Team That Will Still Be Overshadowed By The Cubs.
23

19

26

15.7

15.5

17.1

.374

.369

1.2%

12.3%

13.5%

-2.9%

0.3%

Before we keep pushing the Matt Cain Comeback Story, we might want to make sure that Matt Cain is actually, you know, good.
24

19

26

20.8

19.1

19.8

.437

.442

2.3%

5.0%

7.3%

1.0%

-5.9%

Thanks to the new DL rules, the Jays have been able to put Aaron Sanchez on the 10-day DL three times instead of the 15-day DL twice. Progress is amazing.
25

18

24

18.5

16.1

15.4

.405

.400

11.6%

10.5%

22.1%

-5.5%

-11.3%

Congrats to the Mets on now having the second-most scrutinized orb-holders in America.
26

18

23

18.2

19.4

18.3

.451

.446

2.0%

2.0%

4.0%

-1.1%

1.1%

Going from Freddie Freeman to Matt Adams is like trading in a filet mignon for a McDouble.
27

18

25

16.4

16.4

17.7

.399

.403

0.6%

1.4%

2.1%

0.0%

-1.6%

Sal Perez hit three homers in the Royals’ double-header yesterday. “I didn’t know that was even allowed,” Alex Gordon said after the game.
28

16

30

14.2

16.6

17.5

.349

.345

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.4%

The Padres got jipped out of a bases-loaded situation with Wil Myers at the plate when a fan reached into the field of play to catch the ball, but he looks really tan and relaxed and it’s nice to see California treating Steve Bartman so well.
29

15

28

17.1

18.6

18.5

.402

.397

1.3%

1.1%

2.4%

-0.8%

-2.9%

“I’m just glad I didn’t die,” Dee Gordon said of his near-collision with Giancarlo Stanton yesterday. But is it really surprising that Stanton failed to make contact?
30

15

26

18.6

17.3

17.4

.416

.411

0.6%

0.5%

1.0%

-0.0%

-1.1%

The good news for the Phillies: Aaron Nola is back, and he looked sharp against the Pirates yesterday. The bad news for the Phillies: literally everything else.