Baseball Prospectus 2017

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Keith Law's Smart Baseball

Keith Law’s iconoclastic look at the numbers game of baseball.
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Jay Jaffe's The Cooperstown Casebook

Jay Jaffe shows us how to use his revolutionary JAWS ranking system to ensure the right players are recognized.
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Today's featured photo

It's a damn good farm system when Jose De Leon isn't in the top two.

Premium Article 2017 Prospects: Los Angeles Dodgers Top 10 Prospects

by Jeffrey Paternostro, Wilson Karaman and BP Prospect Staff

I'd like to rest my heavy head tonight on a bed of California stars. > >

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Rubbing Mud: Dozier and the Doyers

by Matthew Trueblood

Brian Dozier is still in Minnesota, but maybe the Dodgers and the Twins were right to balk at a deal. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Outta Left Field: Cooperstown Changes

by Dustin Palmateer

Limitless ballots could make for Hall of Fame overkill, but maybe there's a simple solution. . . . more | 8 unread comments

Rumor Roundup: Must-See TV

by Emma Baccellieri

Alex Rodriguez gets a TV show, the Tigers look for a center fielder, and the Rays add a former closer. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article Fantasy Three-Year Projections: First Base

by Greg Wellemeyer

Stacking up players at this position based on their projected fantasy values through the end of the 2019 season. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article The Adjuster: First Base

by Eric Roseberry

Identifying players who see their values rise or fall in OBP and points formats. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Tommy Joseph vs. Eric Thames

by Bryan Joiner

Is the second-year Phillie or the new, KBO-destroying Brewer a better fantasy bet in 2017? . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article Get to Know: First Base Prospects

by Ben Carsley

A window into the fantasy future at the cold corner. . . . more | 8 unread comments

Tuesday, January 17

Premium Article Baseball Therapy: What Does Batter/Pitcher Matchup Data Tell Us?

by Russell A. Carleton

Have we been too quick to dismiss the value of batter vs. pitcher histories? . . . more | 8 unread comments

Rubbing Mud: Flashback Friars

by Matthew Trueblood

How the Padres are reliving MLB's bad old days. . . . more | 9 unread comments

Cold Takes: Stan Javier Saves a No-Hitter

by Patrick Dubuque

What does college poetry have to do with Stan Javier? Everything. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article Player Profile: Hanley Ramirez

by Wilson Karaman

A midyear mechanical change produced outstanding results for the Red Sox first-sacker in 2016, but can you expect more of the same to come? . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen

by Mike Gianella

Stacking up the players at this position by fantasy-value-based bins. . . . more | 15 unread comments

Fantasy Article Welcome to Splitsville: First Base

by Tim Finnegan

A look at how first-sackers fare based on the handedness of the opposing pitcher and other contextual factors. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape: Victor Martinez vs. Carlos Santana

by Alex Chamberlain

Which of these two ex-catchers is a better investment in redraft leagues this spring? . . . more | 2 unread comments

Monday, January 16

2017 Prospects: Chicago Cubs Top 10 Prospects

by Jeffrey Paternostro and BP Prospect Staff

And the Canterbury Tales will shoot up to the top of the best seller list and stay there for 27 weeks... . . . more | 15 unread comments

Premium Article Flu-Like Symptoms: New Year's Resolutions: Hitters' Plate Discipline

by Rob Mains

Does better plate discipline for hitters yield better results? . . . more | 9 unread comments

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Dented Cans and Safety Nets

by Bryan Grosnick and Jared Wyllys

Texas takes a flier on Tyson Ross, Tampa Bay adds Colby Rasmus' power, and Colorado breaks the emergency glass. . . . more | 0 comments

Rumor Roundup: Ain't Settling for Anything Less Than Everything

by Ashley Varela

The Cardinals gear up for their first arbitration hearing in years, Craig Breslow schedules a pitching showcase, and Carl Crawford contemplates retirement (maybe). . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article State of the Position: First Base

by George Bissell

The 30,000-foot-high view of the cold corner for fantasy purposes. . . . more | 11 unread comments

Fantasy Article Fantasy Players to Target: First Basemen

by BP Fantasy Staff

The staff identifies possible value plays at this position for the coming season. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article Early ADP Analysis: First Base

by Matt Collins

A look at where the first-sackers have been selected in the first batch of drafts this year. . . . more | 5 unread comments

Fantasy Article The Quinton: First Basemen, Roto Categories, and Total vs. Complementary Production

by Jeff Quinton

Why the multitude of first-base options can result in suboptimal decisions, and how to avoid falling into the trap. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Friday, January 13

Premium Article Tools of Ignorance: Cornered

by Jeff Quinton

Is there an inefficiency to be exploited by taking so-so center fielders and playing them in a corner? . . . more | 6 unread comments

Players Prefer Presentation: Baseball's Longest and Shortest Games

by Meg Rowley

Rain delays, mascot races, Rickie Weeks, civil wars, and dopes. . . . more | 5 unread comments

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Can't Stop, Won't Stop

by Bryan Grosnick and Brendan Gawlowski

Jerry Dipoto refuses to stop making trades, this time roping the Braves and Rays into his addiction. . . . more | 0 comments

Transaction Analysis: Going Back To Cali

by Aaron Gleeman

Trevor Plouffe finds a new home in Oakland and his former team adds veteran depth. . . . more | 0 comments

Rumor Roundup: Trumbo Tumbles

by Demetrius Bell

New York may keep Curtis Granderson, Baltimore is unlikely to keep Mark Trumbo, and Matt Wieters is looking for a deal. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article The -Only League Landscape: National League Catchers

by Scooter Hotz

A look at the menu of backstop options in the senior circuit. . . . more | 8 unread comments

Fantasy Article Fantasy Players to Avoid: Catchers

by BP Fantasy Staff

You might want to someone else draft or buy these players in your leagues this spring. . . . more | 6 unread comments

Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Francisco Mejia vs. Chance Sisco

by Greg Wellemeyer

Is the future Oriole or the future Indian a better long-term bet to help your fantasy team in the squat? . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article Player Profile: Jonathan Lucroy

by Jeff Quinton

After a change in his approach at the plate, what can we expect from the Brewer-turned-Ranger this season? . . . more | 0 comments

Thursday, January 12

Premium Article 2017 Prospects: St. Louis Cardinals Top 10 Prospects

by Jeffrey Paternostro and BP Prospect Staff

Baseballs travel further when you watch them fly. Apples fatten on the trees when you walk by. . . . more | 22 unread comments

Fantasy Article Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 50 Catchers

by Bret Sayre

A weak position gets weaker, and a bleak outlook gets bleaker. . . . more | 10 unread comments