Baseball Prospectus 2016

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Did somebody say swing?

Updated Team Chemistry: Diagnosing the Swing Swings

by John Choiniere

Batters increase the "swing zone" as the season goes on. To try to understand why, we need to know how. > >

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Updated Prospectus Feature: The RISP Mystery

by Rob Mains

When runners are in scoring position, home runs go down, while everything else--including doubles and triples--goes up. Why? . . . more | 0 comments

Updated Transaction Analysis: Return of The Freak

by Matthew Trueblood, Kate Morrison, Bryan Grosnick, Adam McInturff, Steve Givarz and Christopher Crawford

Tim Lincecum finds a home for his comeback, Blake Swihart rejoins the Red Sox as an outfielder, and the Braves buy a draft pick. . . . more | 0 comments

Updated Premium Article The Toolshed: The Fastball

by James Fisher

A look at what we're talking about when we talk about the fastball. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Updated Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: Relief Pitchers

by Bret Sayre

Reranking the closers, factoring in their early-season performances. . . . more | 0 comments

Updated Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: Starting Pitchers

by Mike Gianella

It's been a rough start to the season for many of the top-50 starters, driving some changes in this midyear rerank. . . . more | 0 comments

Updated Fantasy Article TDGX Transactions: Hello Newman

by George Bissell

Recapping the moves made by the experts in the TGDX experts dynasty leagues this week. . . . more | 0 comments

Tuesday, May 24

Cold Takes: Make OBP Honest

by Patrick Dubuque

There is no ideal way to reach first base. It's time, if it ever wasn't, to strip judgment from our stats. . . . more | 9 unread comments

Prospectus Feature: Joe Nathan's Got One Thing To Prove

by Aaron Gleeman

Don't forget how great Joe Nathan was. And as he prepares for a comeback, don't forget what he's still working toward. . . . more | 2 unread comments

BP Toronto: Investing in Michael Saunders

by Tammy Rainey

Michael Saunders is suddenly looking like a player the Blue Jays should be trying to sign long term. . . . more | 0 comments

Premium Article Notes from the Field: May 24, 2016

by BP Prospect Staff

Notes on Logan Allen, Albert Almora, Austin Allen and other people with A's in their names. . . . more | 6 unread comments

What You Need to Know: About That Kershaw Walk...

by Nicolas Stellini

Clayton Kershaw is peaking, Pujols hits a sort of a milestone, and the Cubs are slumping, relatively speaking. . . . more | 0 comments

Baseball Therapy: Framing the At-Bat

by Russell A. Carleton

Is Tony Wolters the answer to 24 years of mile-high pitching woes? . . . more | 4 unread comments

An Agent's Take: On Poaching, Intentionally and Not

by Joshua Kusnick

Sometimes, doing the right thing means not taking another agent's client. Sometimes, though, doing the right thing means the opposite. . . . more | 4 unread comments

Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: Shortstops

by Bret Sayre

Manny Machado joins the elite six spotters, among other changes in this midseason reranking. . . . more | 13 unread comments

Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: Third Basemen

by Mike Gianella

Reranking the fantasy options at the hot corner, factoring in their performance to date. . . . more | 6 unread comments

Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: Outfielders

by Bret Sayre

Bryce Harper is inching closer, but Mike Trout retains the top spot as we take another look at the pasture-minders. . . . more | 8 unread comments

Fantasy Article Five to Watch: Low-A Hitters

by Greg Wellemeyer

These young bats might be years away from the majors, but they're worthy of your dynasty-league attention. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article Closer Report: Week Eight

by Matt Collins

Surveying the ninth-inning situations around the league. . . . more | 0 comments

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Monday, May 23rd

by Christopher Crawford

Notes on prospects who stood out yesterday, including Sandy Alcantara, Jon Harris, Willie Calhoun, and Josh Naylor. . . . more | 4 unread comments

Expert FAAB Review: Week Eight

by Mike Gianella

A look at how the wise guys spent their money in expert leagues this week. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Monday, May 23

Prospectus Feature: Overcoming Negativity

by Jonathan Judge

DRA in depth: Finding a run-expectancy curve that would eliminate the negative DRA. . . . more | 7 unread comments

Prospectus Q&A: Rich Hill, Ace Pitcher

by Tim Britton

On the most interesting success story in baseball. . . . more | 5 unread comments

Premium Article Raising Aces: Today's Velo Losers

by Doug Thorburn

Where have you gone, past velocity? Should we be concerned your arm will break? Hey, hey, hey. . . . more | 3 unread comments

BP South Side: White Sox Meet Jose Abreu at the Crossroads

by James Fegan

Jose Abreau is off to a bad start that has the White Sox worried, but should they be? . . . more | 0 comments

What You Need to Know: Matt Cain's Campaign To Get His 2018 Option Picked Up Wins the Weekend

by Ashley Varela

The 2010 Giants are back, sort of. Meanwhile, Noah Syndergaard continues his takeover of the world, while Joe Kelly flashes great stuff. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: May 23, 2016

by BP Prospect Staff

Notes on Mercer's Kyle Lewis, the Cubs' flow bro Dan Vogelbach, and the Mets' Wuilmer Becerra. . . . more | 1 unread comment

The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, May 23

by Matt Sussman

Hit List, everybody needs a thrill. Hit List, we all got a space to fill. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: Catchers

by Mike Gianella

Reranking the backstops based on early-season performances, injuries, and the like. . . . more | 7 unread comments

Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: First Basemen

by Bret Sayre

Anthony Rizzo drops down a peg, Chris Carter rises, and more changes in the revised ordering of the first sackers. . . . more | 16 unread comments

Fantasy Article Updating the Tiers: Second Basemen

by Mike Gianella

Robbie Cano returns to the keystone's elite ranks, among other changes in this mid-season reranking. . . . more | 8 unread comments

Fantasy Article The Quinton: Trades, Supply Chains, and Lead Times

by Jeff Quinton

Considering the sequence of a fantasy trade, from research to completion, can help us to avoid missing out on the best deals. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article The Buyer's Guide: Nick Castellanos

by J.P. Breen

Is it time to sell high on the Tigers third baseman? . . . more | 6 unread comments

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of May 20-22

by Christopher Crawford

Notes on prospects who stood out this weekend, including Jacob Faria, Daniel Gossett, Adam Brett Walker, Mike Yastrzemski, and Dwight Smith. . . . more | 7 unread comments

Sunday, May 22

Rubbing Mud: So You Want to Fire Your General Manager

by Matthew Trueblood

One challenge of replacing a GM is unwinding an entire front office during the permanent campaign of modern baseball. . . . more | 3 unread comments

BP Mets: Baseball Runs On Plawecki

by Erik Malinowski

Saying a prayer of thanks for the big leaguers who stand for us. . . . more | 0 comments