Baseball Prospectus 2017

The 22nd edition of
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Jay Jaffe's The Cooperstown Casebook

Jay Jaffe shows us how to use his revolutionary JAWS ranking system to ensure the right players are recognized.
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Stop yelling!

Players Prefer Presentation: Do Robot Umps Dream of Automated Yelling?

by Meg Rowley

Imagining what becomes of a home plate umpire in an automated strike zone world. > >

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BP Toronto: Biagini Should Start as a Starter

by Matt Gwin

Converting a reliever to a starting role takes time, but it might be worth it for the Blue Jays. . . . more | 0 comments

BP Mets: T-D-A and P-E-C-O-T-A

by Bryan Grosnick

PECOTA still has faith in Travis a'Arnaud, but do Mets fans? . . . more | 0 comments

BP South Side: Mark Buehrle Was Awesome

by Collin Whitchurch

Chicago is retiring Mark Buehrle's number this summer. A look back at what made him so good. . . . more | 0 comments

Friday, February 24

Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: Pitchers

by Aaron Gleeman

Which young pitchers does PECOTA see as having breakout potential in 2017? . . . more | 6 unread comments

Premium Article Rubbing Mud: Mr. Sale's Arithmetic Class

by Matthew Trueblood

Will the Red Sox's new ace continue to trade strikeouts for fewer deep counts? . . . more | 2 unread comments

Rumor Roundup: Smell the Money

by Demetrius Bell

Texas talks extension with Rougned Odor, Jason Marquis eyes a comeback, and Jake Peavy puts baseball on hold. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article The -Only League Landscape: National League Starting Pitchers

by Scooter Hotz

Scanning the menu of senior-circuit fantasy rotation arms. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part II

by Mike Gianella

Rounding out our rotation-arm rankings with the bottom two tiers. . . . more | 9 unread comments

Fantasy Article The Adjuster: Starting Pitchers

by Eric Roseberry

A look at which hurlers see their values rise and fall in formats that count K-BB% or quality starts. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Thursday, February 23

2017 Prospects: The Top 101 Dynasty League Prospects

by Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre

A new list for a new year. From Yoan Moncada to Anderson Tejeda, it's the cream of the crop in dynasty leagues in 2017. . . . more | 47 unread comments

Premium Article Cold Takes: A Single Ray of Hope

by Patrick Dubuque

Tampa Bay may feel like a bad team, but is PECOTA nuts to think the Rays are decent? . . . more | 6 unread comments

Premium Article Deep, But Playable: Not to Be GliBB

by Craig Goldstein

What exactly are we losing with the end of four-pitch intentional walks? . . . more | 17 unread comments

Fantasy Article The Quinton: Sending and Receiving Trade Offers, and the Focusing Illusion

by Jeff Quinton

Examining how to wield the power of the trade offer, both when sending and receiving, more effectively. . . . more | 5 unread comments

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Starting Pitchers, Part I

by Mike Gianella

Stacking up the rotation arms in the top three tiers of our rankings for 2017. . . . more | 10 unread comments

Fantasy Article Welcome to Splitsville: Starting Pitchers

by Tim Finnegan

A look at the rotation arms who excel and struggle, depending on who holds the platoon advantage. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article State of the Position: Starting Pitchers

by George Bissell

A 30,000-foot-high survey of the fantasy landscape at this position. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Wednesday, February 22

Rubbing Mud: Carlos Martinez, Tunnels, and PECOTA

by Matthew Trueblood

Taking a deep dive into the Cardinals right-hander's repertoire, sequencing, tunnels, and overall approach. . . . more | 6 unread comments

Premium Article Notes from the Field: Cal State Fullerton v. Stanford

by Wilson Karaman

Notes on Connor Seabold, Colton Hock, Quinn Brodey, and possibly other guys who sound like they wear critter pants. . . . more | 6 unread comments

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: The Old Blue and Gold

by Bryan Grosnick

Sergio Romo and Franklin Gutierrez join the Dodgers, while Jason Hammel and Travis Wood sign with the Royals. . . . more | 5 unread comments

Rumor Roundup: Blanket Approval

by Emma Baccellieri

Rob Manfred plans to do what he wants in 2018, Eric Hosmer doesn't need a decade, and Derek Norris is expendable. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article Fantasy Players to Target: Starting Pitchers

by BP Fantasy Staff

Our fantasy gang identifies value picks on the bump. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 95

by Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

The Outcoes take listener questions and discuss the factors they consider when preparing player lists for the Scoresheet draft. . . . more | 7 unread comments

Fantasy Article Early ADP Analysis: Starting Pitchers

by Matt Collins

A look at where rotation arms have been selected in drafts held to date. . . . more | 4 unread comments

Tuesday, February 21

Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: Hitters

by Aaron Gleeman

Which young hitters does PECOTA see as having breakout potential in 2017? . . . more | 2 unread comments

Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Is Win Probability Broken?

by Russell A. Carleton

Super Bowls and presidential elections can get you thinking about all sorts of things. . . . more | 7 unread comments

Fantasy Article Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Jackie Bradley vs. Joc Pederson

by Greg Wellemeyer

Which of these outfielders is the better long-term fantasy bet? . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article Fantasy Players to Avoid: Long-Term Outfielders

by BP Fantasy Staff

Our staff feels these players might be overvalued in dynasty formats this spring. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Monday, February 20

Prospectus Feature: Arbitration Clash

by Jarrett Seidler

After beating Dellin Betances in arbitration the Yankees added to the drama by going public with criticism of the star reliever. . . . more | 3 unread comments

Flu-Like Symptoms: Fit to be Tied

by Rob Mains

Testing an approach to extra innings. . . . more | 9 unread comments

Premium Article Deep, But Playable: Didi Gregorius, Power Hitter?

by Craig Goldstein

Can the Yankees shortstop repeat last year's unexpected power surge? . . . more | 0 comments

Rumor Roundup: Shooting for the Moon

by Ashley Varela

Eric Gagne eyes a return to the majors, the Mets talk extension figures with Neil Walker, and the Yankees get into hot water with Dellin Betances. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article Fantasy Players to Avoid: Outfielders

by BP Fantasy Staff

You might want to let someone else draft or buy these players in your leagues this spring. . . . more | 3 unread comments