CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Adjusted Standings |Team Audit Standings |Playoff Odds Report | Playoff Odds History


Display grouped by:
Division League All MLB
Facebook Twitter email a friend digg it buzz del.icio.us  

Updated 4:27 am Pac, Jun 25 2017

Click a column header to sort by that column. Click again to reverse sort order. Mouse over a column header link to see the definition, or click the icon to view the stat's Glossary entry. For more stats of all types, see the Sortable Stats page.

Notes: Please see this 2014 Feature Focus describing Playoff Odds details. The win totals are arrived at via simulation and are much more accurate than the Depth Chart win totals, which are based on the Pythagenport model.
See interactive graphs version of Playoff Odds for this year or past years starting in 2014.

This page is currently grouped by division and sorted by Playoff Pct descending.

American League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
New York
Yankees
4032.53187.374.742.9%31.2%74.1%59.3%6.1%-3.8%-8.3%
2
Boston
Red Sox
4133.52386.775.340.0%30.3%70.3%55.6%5.1%-4.1%-1.1%
3
Tampa Bay
Rays
4037.51483.578.514.0%28.1%42.0%28.2%2.3%-2.1%5.9%
4
Toronto
Blue Jays
3539.48977.884.22.3%6.0%8.3%5.2%0.2%-0.4%-1.4%
5
Baltimore
Orioles
3638.45175.886.20.9%3.0%3.9%2.3%0.0%0.9%-2.2%

American League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Cleveland
Indians
3934.56789.772.385.1%6.1%91.2%88.5%15.3%-1.6%4.4%
2
Minnesota
Twins
3834.48181.081.09.1%15.7%24.8%16.5%0.8%4.7%2.2%
3
Kansas City
Royals
3736.46478.383.74.0%7.5%11.4%7.4%0.2%2.2%4.9%
4
Detroit
Tigers
3242.48674.987.11.3%2.0%3.3%2.2%0.1%-0.5%-10.1%
5
Chicago
White Sox
3241.47173.788.30.6%1.0%1.5%1.0%0.0%-0.5%-4.2%

American League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Houston
Astros
5125.568100.062.099.1%0.8%100.0%99.6%17.9%0.2%0.3%
2
Seattle
Mariners
3938.50582.179.90.5%29.8%30.2%15.3%1.1%-5.1%12.9%
3
Texas
Rangers
3737.50481.380.70.3%25.4%25.7%12.9%0.9%5.7%-3.5%
4
Los Angeles
Angels
3939.47178.383.70.1%10.3%10.4%4.9%0.2%3.3%1.4%
5
Oakland
Athletics
3342.48375.586.50.0%2.8%2.8%1.4%0.0%1.0%-1.2%

National League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Washington
Nationals
4529.55193.468.697.1%0.7%97.7%97.4%12.0%0.5%0.4%
2
Miami
Marlins
3340.49077.085.01.1%3.0%4.1%2.6%0.1%-0.3%-0.3%
3
Atlanta
Braves
3638.46876.585.50.9%2.1%3.0%1.8%0.0%0.8%2.0%
4
New York
Mets
3341.50276.985.10.9%2.0%3.0%1.9%0.1%0.4%-1.2%
5
Philadelphia
Phillies
2449.45164.697.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%0.0%

National League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Chicago
Cubs
3836.55086.675.468.6%3.0%71.6%70.2%8.5%5.2%13.6%
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
4037.48881.280.818.2%4.3%22.5%20.2%1.0%-4.8%-8.4%
3
St. Louis
Cardinals
3340.50578.283.86.6%2.2%8.7%7.6%0.4%-2.5%-6.3%
4
Pittsburgh
Pirates
3540.48777.784.36.3%1.5%7.8%7.0%0.3%1.7%1.0%
5
Cincinnati
Reds
3043.46170.991.10.4%0.0%0.4%0.4%0.0%-0.1%-0.9%

National League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Los Angeles
Dodgers
5026.591100.961.186.8%13.2%100.0%94.4%21.3%0.0%0.4%
2
Arizona
Diamondbacks
4728.52091.770.38.6%85.0%93.6%51.9%4.0%2.5%4.3%
3
Colorado
Rockies
4730.49890.072.04.6%82.8%87.4%43.8%2.4%-3.5%-4.4%
4
San Diego
Padres
3144.44469.792.30.0%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.1%
5
San Francisco
Giants
2750.48768.793.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.3%