CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Adjusted Standings |Team Audit Standings |Playoff Odds Report | Playoff Odds History


Display grouped by:
Division League All MLB
Facebook Twitter email a friend digg it buzz del.icio.us  

Updated 4:51 am Pac, Jul 27 2017

Click a column header to sort by that column. Click again to reverse sort order. Mouse over a column header link to see the definition, or click the icon to view the stat's Glossary entry. For more stats of all types, see the Sortable Stats page.

Notes: Please see this 2014 Feature Focus describing Playoff Odds details. The win totals are arrived at via simulation and are much more accurate than the Depth Chart win totals, which are based on the Pythagenport model.
See interactive graphs version of Playoff Odds for this year or past years starting in 2014.

This page is currently grouped by division and sorted by Playoff Pct descending.

American League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
New York
Yankees
5346.54887.474.647.6%34.5%82.1%66.3%7.3%1.6%15.9%
2
Boston
Red Sox
5647.52186.475.640.0%36.7%76.8%58.8%4.4%3.1%-11.5%
3
Tampa Bay
Rays
5349.51183.278.811.7%34.2%45.8%28.7%1.8%6.1%-13.1%
4
Toronto
Blue Jays
4754.47976.485.60.3%3.0%3.4%1.8%0.0%0.3%-0.0%
5
Baltimore
Orioles
4853.44975.686.40.3%2.3%2.6%1.3%0.0%-0.6%-0.4%

American League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Cleveland
Indians
5445.57790.271.888.1%7.2%95.3%92.1%16.0%0.2%6.5%
2
Kansas City
Royals
5347.48182.879.210.4%31.4%41.8%25.0%1.0%6.9%29.9%
3
Minnesota
Twins
4951.47078.383.71.3%7.8%9.1%4.9%0.1%-2.6%-14.3%
4
Detroit
Tigers
4555.48775.186.90.2%1.3%1.5%0.8%0.0%-1.2%-2.6%
5
Chicago
White Sox
3959.44367.494.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.2%

American League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Houston
Astros
6734.580102.459.6100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%18.4%0.0%0.0%
2
Seattle
Mariners
5152.50280.481.60.0%19.9%19.9%9.7%0.5%-5.6%-7.4%
3
Texas
Rangers
4952.50079.882.20.0%15.8%15.8%7.7%0.4%-5.9%1.1%
4
Los Angeles
Angels
4953.47277.484.60.0%5.1%5.1%2.4%0.0%-1.8%-0.9%
5
Oakland
Athletics
4457.48274.088.00.0%0.8%0.8%0.4%0.0%-0.5%-3.0%

National League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Washington
Nationals
6039.55695.266.899.5%0.2%99.7%99.6%11.0%0.2%-0.1%
2
Miami
Marlins
4653.48877.384.70.2%2.1%2.3%1.2%0.0%0.2%0.8%
3
Atlanta
Braves
4852.46276.885.20.1%1.5%1.7%0.8%0.0%-0.7%0.1%
4
New York
Mets
4752.48977.284.80.1%1.5%1.6%0.8%0.0%-1.1%0.1%
5
Philadelphia
Phillies
3564.46064.597.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Chicago
Cubs
5347.55087.474.665.2%9.1%74.3%70.1%7.1%4.4%4.8%
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
5449.49282.779.317.4%9.9%27.3%22.2%0.9%-2.2%-3.7%
3
St. Louis
Cardinals
5051.52282.279.813.0%9.7%22.6%17.9%1.2%3.1%4.9%
4
Pittsburgh
Pirates
5052.48379.083.04.4%3.0%7.4%5.8%0.1%-1.8%-2.0%
5
Cincinnati
Reds
4160.45769.292.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.2%

National League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Los Angeles
Dodgers
7131.608107.454.699.8%0.2%100.0%99.9%25.2%0.0%0.0%
2
Arizona
Diamondbacks
5843.53589.972.10.2%90.0%90.2%48.3%3.9%3.4%4.1%
3
Colorado
Rockies
5845.48987.174.90.0%72.8%72.8%33.6%1.3%-5.5%-8.8%
4
San Diego
Padres
4457.44170.691.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
San Francisco
Giants
4063.46366.895.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%