CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
Strength of Schedule Report

Adjusted Standings |Team Audit Standings |Playoff Odds Report | Playoff Odds History


Display grouped by:
Division League All MLB
Facebook Twitter email a friend digg it buzz del.icio.us  

Updated 5:08 am Pac, Sep 24 2017

Click a column header to sort by that column. Click again to reverse sort order. Mouse over a column header link to see the definition, or click the icon to view the stat's Glossary entry. For more stats of all types, see the Sortable Stats page.

Notes: Please see this 2014 Feature Focus describing Playoff Odds details. The win totals are arrived at via simulation and are much more accurate than the Depth Chart win totals, which are based on the Pythagenport model.
See interactive graphs version of Playoff Odds for this year or past years starting in 2014.

This page is currently grouped by division and sorted by 7 Day Delta ascending.

American League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta
Sorted Ascending
7 Day
Delta
1
Baltimore
Orioles
7482.45376.785.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%-0.2%
2
Tampa Bay
Rays
7679.51979.582.50.0%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
3
Toronto
Blue Jays
7283.45174.687.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
4
Boston
Red Sox
9064.53094.367.797.0%3.0%100.0%98.5%5.0%0.0%0.0%
5
New York
Yankees
8668.59691.071.03.0%97.0%100.0%60.5%8.8%0.0%0.0%

American League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta
Sorted Ascending
7 Day
Delta
1
Kansas City
Royals
7678.46279.982.10.0%0.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%-0.6%-1.5%
2
Chicago
White Sox
6292.43865.496.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3
Detroit
Tigers
6293.44065.196.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Cleveland
Indians
9758.623101.660.4100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%23.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Minnesota
Twins
8174.49584.377.70.0%96.4%96.4%39.1%1.3%6.4%37.0%

American League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta
Sorted Ascending
7 Day
Delta
1
Los Angeles
Angels
7678.48480.082.00.0%1.4%1.4%0.6%0.1%-2.9%-30.5%
2
Seattle
Mariners
7580.48778.283.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%-0.3%-4.9%
3
Oakland
Athletics
7183.47975.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Houston
Astros
9559.58199.362.7100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%11.7%0.0%0.0%
5
Texas
Rangers
7678.48779.982.10.0%1.3%1.3%0.6%0.1%-2.5%0.2%

National League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta
Sorted Ascending
7 Day
Delta
1
Philadelphia
Phillies
6194.44964.397.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2
Washington
Nationals
9361.58097.964.1100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%13.0%0.0%0.0%
3
New York
Mets
6688.45069.992.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Atlanta
Braves
7083.46974.387.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Miami
Marlins
7381.48776.985.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta
Sorted Ascending
7 Day
Delta
1
Pittsburgh
Pirates
7085.45172.989.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2
Cincinnati
Reds
6689.45268.993.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3
Chicago
Cubs
8668.55890.371.796.6%2.5%99.1%97.9%8.9%-0.1%9.5%
4
Milwaukee
Brewers
8273.50685.576.51.2%24.0%25.2%12.3%0.6%14.0%13.1%
5
St. Louis
Cardinals
8173.54185.376.72.2%20.3%22.5%12.4%1.0%-5.4%15.3%

National League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta
Sorted Ascending
7 Day
Delta
1
Colorado
Rockies
8372.50186.575.50.0%53.2%53.2%24.0%1.0%-8.5%-37.9%
2
San Diego
Padres
7085.43872.989.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3
San Francisco
Giants
6194.42363.998.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
Los Angeles
Dodgers
9857.607102.459.6100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%19.8%0.0%0.0%
5
Arizona
Diamondbacks
8966.56293.268.80.0%100.0%100.0%54.6%5.4%0.0%0.0%