CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Adjusted Standings |Team Audit Standings |Playoff Odds Report | Playoff Odds History


Display grouped by:
Division League All MLB
Facebook Twitter email a friend digg it buzz del.icio.us  

Updated 4:49 am Pac, Jul 20 2017

Click a column header to sort by that column. Click again to reverse sort order. Mouse over a column header link to see the definition, or click the icon to view the stat's Glossary entry. For more stats of all types, see the Sortable Stats page.

Notes: Please see this 2014 Feature Focus describing Playoff Odds details. The win totals are arrived at via simulation and are much more accurate than the Depth Chart win totals, which are based on the Pythagenport model.
See interactive graphs version of Playoff Odds for this year or past years starting in 2014.

This page is currently grouped by division and sorted by Adj. Playoff Pct descending.

American League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Boston
Red Sox
5442.52988.573.560.7%27.5%88.2%74.9%6.4%1.9%1.5%
2
New York
Yankees
4845.54185.376.722.2%44.0%66.2%45.7%4.7%-2.6%-1.3%
3
Tampa Bay
Rays
5145.51284.677.416.4%42.6%59.0%37.6%2.6%-7.2%7.6%
4
Toronto
Blue Jays
4351.48375.786.30.3%3.1%3.4%1.8%0.0%-0.3%-3.0%
5
Baltimore
Orioles
4549.44875.586.50.3%2.8%3.0%1.5%0.0%0.5%-0.6%

American League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Cleveland
Indians
4845.57487.874.284.2%4.6%88.8%86.8%14.9%-1.8%-6.4%
2
Minnesota
Twins
4846.47880.581.59.5%13.9%23.4%15.9%0.6%6.6%5.6%
3
Kansas City
Royals
4647.47178.683.44.7%7.1%11.8%8.0%0.2%3.4%-4.4%
4
Detroit
Tigers
4350.47675.986.11.6%2.6%4.1%2.7%0.0%-5.1%0.2%
5
Chicago
White Sox
3854.45069.392.70.0%0.1%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.1%-0.9%

American League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Houston
Astros
6332.580101.860.299.9%0.1%100.0%100.0%19.1%0.0%0.0%
2
Seattle
Mariners
4848.50581.280.80.0%27.3%27.3%13.4%0.8%5.1%13.8%
3
Texas
Rangers
4549.49879.382.70.0%14.6%14.7%7.1%0.3%-3.0%-11.6%
4
Los Angeles
Angels
4750.46877.384.70.0%6.0%6.0%2.8%0.0%0.8%-1.7%
5
Oakland
Athletics
4352.48876.285.80.0%3.9%3.9%1.8%0.0%1.6%1.3%

National League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Washington
Nationals
5737.55794.767.399.7%0.1%99.8%99.8%11.1%0.1%1.8%
2
New York
Mets
4250.49876.585.50.2%1.3%1.5%0.8%0.0%0.1%-1.7%
3
Atlanta
Braves
4548.46376.685.40.1%1.5%1.6%0.8%0.0%-1.0%-0.3%
4
Miami
Marlins
4251.48976.385.70.1%1.4%1.5%0.7%0.0%-0.8%-4.7%
5
Philadelphia
Phillies
3261.45363.798.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Chicago
Cubs
4945.55286.975.161.7%7.8%69.5%65.9%6.9%4.5%29.9%
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
5245.48983.178.921.1%9.9%31.0%25.8%1.0%-5.7%-22.2%
3
St. Louis
Cardinals
4648.51481.380.711.6%6.2%17.8%14.7%0.8%-3.9%-3.8%
4
Pittsburgh
Pirates
4748.48579.682.45.4%3.9%9.4%7.3%0.2%1.4%3.5%
5
Cincinnati
Reds
4054.46271.690.40.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.0%0.1%-0.6%

National League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win

Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct
Sorted Descending
Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Los Angeles
Dodgers
6629.610107.254.899.8%0.2%100.0%99.9%25.8%0.0%0.0%
2
Arizona
Diamondbacks
5440.53089.472.60.1%86.0%86.1%45.7%3.4%-1.4%-7.3%
3
Colorado
Rockies
5641.49588.473.60.1%81.5%81.6%38.5%1.6%6.5%5.4%
4
San Francisco
Giants
3759.46968.094.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
San Diego
Padres
4054.43369.492.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.1%