How many simulations does it take for the Rockies to win 106 games, or the Dodgers to lose 121?
Or, at least, it allows the possibility.
Jesse Hahn has, among starting pitchers, the highest breakout percentage heading into this year. Is there something to see here?
What the projections say about the immediate contributions of the top close-to-the-majors prospects.
Step 1: Read the Old Testament. Step 2: ???? Step 3: Still ????
The Diamondbacks spent the offseason spending big and trying to take the next step. Why’s PECOTA such a downer about their chances?
How PECOTA sees the historical free agency class of 2018-2019 changing.
The Royals may be the most famous prediction PECOTA has gotten wrong recently, but the Reds have seen the opposite issue.
The teams with the weakest weak spots, and the solutions that might exist to save them.
Using PECOTA + context to handicap this year’s MVP, Cy Young and Rookie of the Year races.
Fun with the three names alongside each player’s projection.
The staff muses on its favorite outputs from our projection system.
Did PECOTA fuel the Royals’ championship run last year? Will it, and the Royals, repeat?
As we prepare to release the 2016 PECOTA projections, a look at one projection that many will not like.
Leveraging PECOTA against the house.
Despite the big names being off the market, there’s still plenty of activity to come and these teams still have work left to do.