Yes, the projections like Tampa Bay, but they see much volatility, too.
The annual battle between our projections and the South Side.
Does PECOTA’s long memory have a downside?
Tackling a few relevant topics on PECOTA day.
Eleven years ago, Nate Silver considered PECOTA.
The author takes a look at some of the names PECOTA comes up with as comparisons to certain players, from the odd to the interesting.
PECOTA likes the Astros’ chances of producing insane strikeout totals. Also, more importantly, it likes the Astros’ chances of scoring copious runs.
The staff is either surprised, excited or just amused by these outputs from PECOTA’s crystal ball.
PECOTA likes a few pitchers quite a bit more than it did a year ago. What did those arms do to deserve better projections?
Whose 2014 season, good or bad, had enough of an impact to drastically change how PECOTA views them?
Can the uncertainty in a player’s projections be projected?
The error spectrum of projections shows the limitations of analysis, or the progress we can still make.
Ben and Sam banter about seeing no-hitters and team philosophies, then discuss potential solutions for each contender’s biggest need.
Hitters and pitchers who’ve defied their preseason PECOTAs, and players who’ve changed the projection system’s mind.
Ben and Sam identify the players who’ve most overperformed or underperformed their PECOTAs and discuss what they’ll do next.
Reviewing the prospects whom positional adjustments don’t help.