The error spectrum of projections shows the limitations of analysis, or the progress we can still make.
Ben and Sam banter about seeing no-hitters and team philosophies, then discuss potential solutions for each contender’s biggest need.
Hitters and pitchers who’ve defied their preseason PECOTAs, and players who’ve changed the projection system’s mind.
Ben and Sam identify the players who’ve most overperformed or underperformed their PECOTAs and discuss what they’ll do next.
Reviewing the prospects whom positional adjustments don’t help.
What does PECOTA make of Joey Gallo, Miguel Sano, and the rest of the hot-corner crop?
PECOTA tackles a position where the offensive bar is set significantly lower than it was in last week’s installment.
There was only one first baseman on BP’s top 101 prospects list. Which players at the position does PECOTA like?
Does PECOTA love catching prospects? And if so, which ones?
PECOTA appears at MLB.com, and BP publishes new stat reports and updates to PITCHf/x products and player cards.
A statistical take on top prospects.
Not one of Tyler Collins’ or Roenis Ellis’ PECOTA comparables was a major leaguer. But Collins, Ellis, and the rest of these unknowns are on MLB rosters today.
Reintroducing long-term projections and UPSIDE scores and welcoming PECOTA percentiles, diagnostics, and comparables to the player cards.
The biggest gaps between 2013 and 2014 pitcher projections.