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Prospectus Hit List for June 4



by Ben Lindbergh

Hit List for June 3 Hit List for June 5
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Answering such important questions as "How will Wilin Rosario explain himself to his grandchildren?"

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

30

25

34.2

37.5

37.0

.603

.622

81.3%

6.5%

87.8%

0.3%

-4.4%

Maybe the most surprising thing about the Tigers� season: in 379 combined plate appearances, Alex Avila and Victor Martinez have hit like Rey Ordonez. It bodes well when you�re in first place and the biggest surprises are bad.
2

35

21

34.5

34.0

33.7

.581

.601

69.3%

19.0%

88.3%

-0.4%

2.7%

After the way Jon Daniels� Adrian Gonzalez and Chris Davis deals turned out, some team should probably try to trade for Mitch Moreland, just to see what happens.
3

35

23

35.2

35.6

35.0

.570

.589

44.1%

30.7%

74.7%

2.0%

4.3%

LOOGY Andrew Miller has held right-handed hitters to a .129 average and allowed a .316 average to lefties. Which is less sustainable: that split, or Jose Iglesias� .512 BABIP?
4

36

22

36.8

36.9

35.8

.593

.574

39.8%

51.0%

90.8%

2.5%

3.4%

You know that annoying alarm that keeps beeping until you buckle your seatbelt? One of those should be beeping in Dusty Baker�s office until he stops batting Zack Cozart second.
5

38

19

38.4

35.6

34.7

.592

.573

51.8%

42.1%

93.8%

1.0%

7.1%

Yadier Molina hit a home run, threw his helmet in celebration, and was suspended for the rest of the season.
6

35

24

33.7

34.8

33.7

.550

.569

28.0%

38.2%

66.2%

5.1%

22.1%

Yoenis Cespedes is so last season�s freakishly athletic Cuban outfield phenom. More like Yawnis Cespedes.
7

31

25

31.0

32.1

32.6

.546

.566

18.3%

27.3%

45.5%

-1.8%

11.0%

In the ultimate ironic twist, the mainstream media will start singing Ben Zobrist�s praises just as he starts to decline, forcing self-loathing sabermetricians to write about how overrated he is.
8

32

25

29.4

27.1

27.5

.536

.556

31.0%

29.1%

60.1%

2.7%

-17.7%

In a press conference at Yankee Stadium on Monday, Hal Steinbrenner said he hopes Alex Rodriguez will �act like a Yankee.� �I�m already old, overpaid, and on the DL,� A-Rod responded. �What more does he want me to do?�
9

25

33

27.4

29.1

27.8

.517

.537

2.3%

10.7%

12.9%

-2.6%

-9.9%

A four-game sweep by the Astros triggered the new CBA�s automatic closed-door clubhouse meeting clause.
10

35

22

35.0

34.2

32.8

.556

.536

79.3%

7.9%

87.2%

0.3%

6.4%

The Pirates tried to steal their fourth win in five games against Atlanta this season. And they would�ve gotten away with it, too, if it weren�t for that Medlen kid.
11

30

27

30.0

30.0

30.5

.511

.531

15.7%

15.5%

31.2%

-2.9%

-5.3%

Nick Swisher�s stats are like a better-looking version of Bud Selig�s suit: not very sexy, but reassuring in that they�re always the same.
12

32

25

30.3

30.7

30.9

.506

.526

6.5%

17.8%

24.3%

-1.1%

6.7%

Injured reliever Pedro Strop will throw a simulated game today. His probable line: three simulated batters faced, two simulated walks, and a simulated homer.
13

32

25

31.1

31.7

31.9

.539

.519

48.2%

10.4%

58.6%

-5.9%

-1.8%

Jesus has already been demoted to the minors, but Miguel Montero (.206/.296/.291) is still making the �Worst-Hitting Catcher Named Montero� sweepstakes interesting.
14

35

23

31.1

30.5

30.9

.526

.506

8.3%

48.1%

56.4%

-4.9%

5.1%

After a scoreless inning last night, Jared Hughes has now thrown a league-low 23.9 percent of his pitches in the strike zone. Memo to Jared Hughes� opponents: stop swinging.
15

24

32

23.4

25.8

25.8

.508

.488

15.0%

4.9%

19.9%

4.0%

-3.2%

Yasiel Puig batted .517 in spring training, but he�s hit only .500 in the majors so far. Not so easy now, is it?
16

30

27

27.0

28.6

30.0

.508

.488

24.9%

7.5%

32.4%

3.2%

-4.1%

Since the end of April, Marco Scutaro has hit .409/.463/.545 in 122 plate appearances, with a .419 BABIP. Scutaro hot streaks are scary.
17

30

28

31.9

33.5

32.5

.506

.486

9.6%

6.1%

15.8%

-4.0%

-3.3%

�Knuckleballers,� Wilin Rosario will say, shaking his head, when his grandkids ask about his league-leading passed ball totals. Kids aren�t smart, so they�ll probably fall for it.
18

24

33

24.5

23.9

25.3

.464

.484

0.2%

1.3%

1.6%

0.2%

-1.7%

Melky Cabrera makes his return to AT&T Park tonight, where he�ll hope to receive the welcome Giants fans traditionally extend to notorious PED users who played well in San Francisco: a standing ovation.
19

25

33

24.1

26.9

27.6

.460

.480

0.4%

0.9%

1.3%

0.3%

-1.7%

Raul Ibanez hit his 10th home run, and now trails only Chris Davis, Domonic Brown, and Evan Gattis in homers per plate appearance. So this season�s proceeding pretty much as expected.
20

23

31

26.0

22.1

22.6

.453

.473

1.1%

1.2%

2.3%

0.2%

-1.3%

The good news: the Royals have lost fewer days to injury than any other AL team. The bad news: that means they can�t use injuries as an excuse.
21

28

29

25.4

24.9

25.3

.491

.471

15.4%

13.7%

29.0%

2.3%

-10.8%

When Bryce Harper gets back, he�ll be on a strict outfield fence collision limit. Rob Dibble is already writing a rant about it.
22

23

32

27.4

28.6

28.7

.486

.466

0.1%

1.9%

1.9%

-0.2%

-0.5%

Don�t look now, but Ryan Sweeney is hitting .303/.395/.515. No, really, don�t look. It�s a super-small sample.
23

24

31

23.1

23.0

21.9

.446

.466

1.4%

1.2%

2.6%

-1.6%

-5.6%

Sure, the White Sox have been a historically inept offensive team, but that was before Gordon Beckham got back. Wait, that was before Gordon Beckham got back?
24

25

29

25.4

24.0

25.1

.435

.455

0.5%

0.7%

1.2%

-0.2%

0.9%

Subtract the number of K�s recorded by Twins starters from the number of K�s recorded by Tigers starters, and you�d still have more K�s than the starters on six other teams.
25

28

30

24.0

24.8

24.5

.457

.437

4.6%

4.4%

9.0%

2.6%

1.7%

Another day, another Domonic Brown homer. �A home run is the greatest hit in baseball,� said Charlie Manuel, flaunting his ignorance of the latest research on rally-killing.
26

26

31

25.3

24.9

24.8

.457

.437

2.2%

0.7%

3.0%

-0.2%

1.0%

Carlos Quentin sat out the first game of San Diego�s series in Los Angeles with a sore shoulder, delaying this season�s longest, loudest boo by a day.
27

21

35

22.4

23.0

24.4

.444

.425

0.0%

0.4%

0.5%

-0.2%

-0.5%

For the second straight day, Milwaukee loses a home run after replay review. Come on, reality. Throw the Brewers a bone.
28

22

32

21.9

21.8

21.2

.442

.423

0.7%

0.9%

1.6%

-0.5%

-0.5%

After a couple good games over the weekend, Ike Davis felt back into bad old habits with a hitless Monday. It was an off day, but still.
29

21

37

20.3

17.9

20.1

.363

.382

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Six wins in a row for the Astros. Come on, do they really need that no. 1 draft pick?
30

16

42

19.7

16.5

16.3

.348

.330

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Step one: scroll up to the White Sox comment. Step two: replace �White Sox� with �Marlins� and �Gordon Beckham� with �Casey Kotchman.� Step three: sink into an even deeper despair.