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Prospectus Hit List for July 15



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 12 Hit List for July 22
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

The All-Star replacements Hit List.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

52

42

56.1

61.1

60.8

.590

.609

84.2%

5.8%

90.0%

1.1%

-3.1%

Justin Verlander's two starts against Texas this year: 2 ⅔ innings, eight runs; seven shutout innings, one hit.
2

58

39

57.7

57.1

56.9

.565

.585

65.1%

25.4%

90.4%

-1.0%

3.2%

Matt Thornton has now lost games for two different colored-socked teams and is now demanding a trade to a squad that wears sandals or Crocs.
3

55

41

54.4

58.0

58.1

.562

.581

25.6%

48.5%

74.1%

4.3%

18.8%

You'd think Chris Archer would be the Rays pitcher with the "shooting arrows" celebration after a win.
4

56

39

54.3

53.3

52.1

.545

.565

57.3%

26.7%

84.0%

2.2%

4.5%

Grant Balfour was a late addition to the All-Star Game, or as he calls it, "The Oll-Stah Gime."
5

54

41

50.0

50.6

50.9

.541

.561

41.5%

31.7%

73.2%

-5.8%

-7.0%

Engel Beltre pinch ran for Adrian Beltre, literally making him No. 1 in the league in Value over Replacement Beltre.
6

57

36

59.9

59.0

57.2

.577

.558

55.9%

41.8%

97.7%

1.3%

2.4%

Lance Lynn is 1-2 against the Cubs and 10-2 against non-Cubs. Imagine how scared he is of full-grown bears.
7

44

49

46.1

48.2

46.6

.526

.546

1.1%

2.8%

3.9%

-1.1%

-6.4%

It's been seven years since they were swept in a three-game series to the Mariners. Mike Trout was � and I'm doing math quick in my head � three years old back then.
8

53

42

54.6

56.4

56.7

.565

.545

16.9%

66.4%

83.3%

2.1%

-1.1%

Mike Leake leads the team in ERA and WHIP, and I forget what "fifth starter" means.
9

51

44

47.3

43.9

44.3

.523

.543

4.1%

18.5%

22.6%

-5.8%

-16.0%

The last time CC Sabathia lost to the Twins, he was teammates with Kenny Lofton.
10

47

47

44.9

47.5

46.4

.550

.530

47.9%

2.3%

50.2%

-4.2%

17.2%

The only person not to start a game on the mound for the Dodgers is you. Related: what are you doing Friday night?
11

51

44

50.0

48.5

49.1

.509

.529

15.4%

16.7%

32.1%

3.9%

9.4%

They had an impressive sweep of Kansas City. There was barbecue sauce everywhere.
12

54

41

56.3

56.0

54.1

.545

.525

86.3%

3.4%

89.7%

-2.9%

3.5%

Would we have voted for Freddie Freeman had we known he would have been injured? Some November surprise.
13

56

37

52.1

51.7

53.0

.540

.520

27.2%

65.4%

92.6%

-1.7%

3.9%

More surprising: Mark Melancon is an All-Star or no actually there's just one multiple choice and it's Mark Melancon is an All-Star.
14

53

43

50.7

49.1

49.8

.498

.518

5.1%

21.8%

26.9%

4.1%

0.3%

The secret to all of Chris Davis's home runs? Vitamins. Specifically Flintstones vitamins. More specifically, one gallon of them a day.
15

45

49

45.8

43.6

45.6

.494

.514

0.2%

1.7%

1.8%

-1.4%

-2.1%

They're still on pace for a 113-win season, because they're not going to lose another game, you see.
16

48

47

45.9

45.1

44.6

.515

.495

9.9%

11.7%

21.6%

2.9%

-11.4%

Bryce Harper starts batting leadoff. Denard Span goes from leadoff to seventh. Nobody remembers who batted seventh. Everybody wins.
17

43

52

41.5

45.2

45.6

.470

.490

0.0%

0.2%

0.2%

0.0%

-0.1%

It needs to be understood that Raul Iba�ez's 24 home runs at the break is more than any Mariner in a full season since 2009.
18

50

45

48.5

45.6

45.4

.505

.485

37.7%

2.8%

40.5%

-2.7%

-16.0%

Eury De La Rosa had a 5.14 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in Triple-A, but he earned a callup and pitched two perfect innings in his debut. Minor leagues are hard.
19

43

49

45.1

39.6

40.2

.465

.485

0.4%

0.3%

0.7%

-0.4%

-1.3%

They're 6-1 in extra inning games, which is why they want all games to last 10 innings.
20

43

51

42.6

46.4

47.0

.491

.471

5.7%

0.9%

6.5%

-0.2%

-2.2%

The updated scouting report on Tim Lincecum is that he is unhittable after 140 pitches.
21

46

50

48.1

49.6

47.4

.483

.463

8.4%

0.9%

9.4%

3.7%

2.6%

Tyler Chatwood went eight innings on Saturday, the third such start for a Rockies pitcher in the last 30 days. Before that, their last 8-inning start was in 2011.
22

37

55

39.3

41.1

39.7

.441

.461

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

0.0%

You can understand the town's adoration of Josh Phegley. His batting average is higher than his on-base percentage. He's a Jeff Keppinger in training.
23

42

51

45.4

46.0

46.5

.477

.457

0.0%

0.7%

0.7%

0.0%

-0.1%

Second half slogan proposal: "You Win Some, You Lose Some, You Ransom."
24

39

53

40.9

41.4

41.8

.430

.450

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

The last time the Twins won a series at Yankee Stadium was 2001, when Yankee Stadium was a pile of dirt next to the other Yankee Stadium.
25

41

50

42.6

41.3

41.1

.467

.447

0.6%

0.5%

1.1%

-0.0%

0.4%

Second half prediction: Johan Santana comes back when he learns to throw a knuckleball with his right hand.
26

48

48

43.0

43.4

43.6

.465

.445

3.2%

3.1%

6.3%

1.7%

2.1%

Back to .500! [blasts "Eye of the Tiger" from a boombox]
27

38

56

40.0

42.8

44.0

.455

.436

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Maybe it's time to put a pinball machine at first base, because everybody loves pinball machines, and when the pinball machine can't reach base everyone will say "well, what do you expect, it's a pinball machine."
28

42

54

41.4

40.8

40.7

.445

.425

0.4%

0.0%

0.4%

0.1%

-1.4%

After being no-hit, of course they recorded hits in the first two at bats of their next game.
29

33

61

32.4

27.6

29.8

.358

.377

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Houston's first half MVP: good manners and good weather.
30

35

58

36.1

33.1

33.6

.396

.377

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Giancarlo Stanton had two outfield assists on Sunday, because if he can't escape Miami, then nobody else can.