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May 2, 2012

Future Shock Blog

Minor League Update: Games of May 1

by Kevin Goldstein

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Christian Colon, SS, Royals (Double-A Northwest Arkansas): 2-for-4, HR (2), R, 2 RBI.

Is Colon ever going to live up the the expectations generally associated with the No. 4 overall pick in the draft? Almost certainly not. That doesn't make him a bust. He doesn't have a lot of tools, but he's a wonderful baseball player with great instincts in the field and on the bases, and he can play anywhere in the infield. With a .292/.343/.427 line in 25 games that bat is starting to come alive and I'd still wager this guy lasts a decade in the big leagues as a second division starter/utility guy.

Others Of Note:

  • Matt Adams, 1B, Cardinals (Triple-A Memphis): 2-for-4, 2 2B, R, RBI, K. After going deep of each of his first three games, he's hit just one in 18 contests; still, he's hitting, with a .333/.371/.560 line in 21 games.
  • Jackie Bradley, OF, Red Sox (High-A Salem): 2-for-5, 2B, HR (1), R, RBI, 2 K. Nine-game hitting streak and up to .361/.462/.518 in 22 games.
  • Gary Brown, OF, Giants (Double-A Richmond): 2-for-4, K, CS. A long way to go but six-game hitting streak is first sign of life; .239/.339/.293 in 24 games.
  • Adrian Cardenas, INF, Cubs (Triple-A Iowa): 3-for-5, R, 3 RBI, K. With all the talk of Rizzo and Jackson, don't be surprised if Cardenas gets the call first as utility guy; .354/.398/.585 in 22 games.
  • Nick Castellanos, 3B, Tigers (High-A Lakeland): 2-for-4, 2 RBI. Third straight two-hit game and 12 in 23 starts; .402/.436/.543 in 23 games and reviews of hit tool are glowing.
  • Robbie Erlin, LHP, Padres (Double-A San Antonio): 8 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 10 K. Too many strikes is making him a bit hittable, but 30 strikeouts against four unintentional walks in 23.2 innings.
  • Wilmer Flores, 3B, Mets (High-A St. Lucie): 4-for-6, HR (4), 2 R, RBI. More pressure on bat with move to the corner but responding well;. 318/.340/.511 in 24 games.
  • Taylor Green, 3B, Brewers (Triple-A Nashville): 3-for-4, 2B, R, BB. Finally getting going? 7-for-14 in last four games and up to .271/.361/.376 overall.
  • Brett Jackson, OF, Cubs (Triple-A Iowa): 4-for-5, 2 2B, 4 R, 2 RBI, K. Snaps out of 6-for-36 slump; .266/.369/.457 in 23 games.
  • Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, Cardinals (Low-A Quad Cities): 5.2 IP, 2 H, 1 R (0 ER), 4 BB, 7 K. Scouting reports peg him as a bit of a spectacular mess with huge upside and lots of risk.
  • Hak-Ju Lee, SS, Rays (Double-A Montgomery): 2-for-5, 3B, R, RBI, 2 K. Third straight multi-hit game and sixth in last seven has lifted OPS more than 200 points in a week; .255/.319/.349 overall.
  • Taylor Lindsey, 2B, Angels (High-A Inland Empire); 3-for-4, R, RBI, K. One of the best young pure hitters around; .322/.388/.483 in 25 games and 20-year-old making full-season debut at High-A.
  • Starling Marte, OF, Pirates (Triple-A Indianapolis): 2-for-5, 2B, R, 2 RBI, 2 K. Hasn't had a lot of big games to make the daily, but has been consistently solid with an improved approach; .283/.353/.489.
  • Leonys Martin, OF, Rangers (Triple-A Round Rock): 2-for-3, SB. Left game late but not for call-up as he jammed his thumb. Shame, because at .347/.423/.520, it looks like he could help.
  • Chris Owings, SS, Diamondbacks (High-A Visalia): 2-for-3, HR (4), R, RBI, K; 2-for-3, 2B, HR (5), R, RBI. Stats might be catching up to impressive tools; .317/.351/.538 overall.
  • Andrelton Simmons, SS, Braves (Double-A Mississippi): 2-for-5, 3B, 2 R, 2 RBI, 2 K. Up to .325/.383/.434 in 20 games and the reviews of the defense have been stunning.
  • Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals (Double-A Springfield): 2-for-4, HR (7), 2 R, 2 RBI, BB, K, SB. Four home runs in last seven games; .347/.385/.694 in 24 overall and stock is exploding.
  • Corey Vaughn, OF, Mets (High-A St. Lucie): 3-for-6, 2B, HR (6), 2 R, 4 RBI, K. Home runs in four of last five games;. 279/.361/.558 overall.
  • Chris Withrow, RHP, Dodgers (Double-A Chattanooga): 6 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 7 K. The stuff is still there, and if he can start throwing strikes consistently, he gets very interesting.
  • Kolten Wong, 2B, Cardinals (Double-A Springfield): 3-for-4, 3 R, RBI, BB. Snaps out of mini-slump; .317/.404/.512 in 22 games.

Kevin Goldstein is an author of Baseball Prospectus. 
Click here to see Kevin's other articles. You can contact Kevin by clicking here

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19 comments have been left for this article. (Click to hide comments)

BP Comment Quick Links


Is Tyrell Jenkins not improving as quickly as hoped? Based on game logs, it looks like he's pitched with control in half of his starts thus far in 2012.

May 02, 2012 11:12 AM
rating: 0


Do you think Travis D'Arnaud spends the entire season in AAA with a call up in September or could he get the call earlier than that especially if Arencibia continues to struggle?

Thanks ahead of time for your response.

May 02, 2012 11:43 AM
rating: -1

If I keep posting the same question, one to which your answer would be almost entirely speculative, will you eventually answer it?

May 02, 2012 12:18 PM
rating: 13
Mtn Jam

if I could give you a plus 1 million, I would.

May 02, 2012 12:28 PM
rating: 1
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

I'd be surprised.

May 02, 2012 13:18 PM

Kevin, are scouting reports supporting Adrian Cardenas's apparent explosion this year? Only 24 years old, and 11 extra-base hits against 3 K's is pretty amazing. How is his defense?

May 02, 2012 13:07 PM
rating: 0
BP staff member Kevin Goldstein
BP staff

His defense is bad at a variety of pitches, but he's always hit.

May 02, 2012 13:18 PM

Kevin, Is there any chance that Middlebrooks (if he's hitting well) will stay up and in the line-up even after Youk returns? Is it a longshot to think Boston moves either Youk or A-Gone to the OF while they are so thin there? Both have been run out there in the past a few times... Thanks...

May 02, 2012 13:34 PM
rating: 0

The Sox are thin in the OF, but putting a fat guy there doesn't really improve the situation.

May 03, 2012 08:52 AM
rating: 4

You don't move Youk or Gonzalez for Will Middlebrooks. You move Will Middlebrooks for them.

May 03, 2012 09:12 AM
rating: 0

Let's not get so crazy about Youkilis here. He is on the wrong side of 30 and hasn't been able to stay healthy the past couple of years. While I think it's unlikely that he gets Wally Pipp-ed, it wouldn't be the most insane thing ever.

May 03, 2012 17:27 PM
rating: 0

It seems that there are some interesting hitters starting to emerge in A Ball at 2B. If we're to assume Alen Hanson can't stay at SS and moves to 2B, how would you rank the ceilings (defense aside) of Hanson, Sean Coyle and Taylor Lindsey, KG? They all seem to have an interesting hit tool and enough power to be dangerous at the keystone.

May 02, 2012 13:41 PM
rating: 0

Regarding Erlin throwing too many strikes is that anything to be concerned about? It seems like that would be a pretty easy thing to fix. Is it possible (or likely) that the team is having him throw an excessive amount of strikes for a reason?

May 02, 2012 14:18 PM
rating: 0

Insane K/BB ratios are his m.o.

May 03, 2012 09:37 AM
rating: 0

Kevin, I know Cardenas has always had a good hit tool (according to gurus like yourself), but
ISO - .247, twice as high as at any other level
K% - 3.4%, basically 1/3 his lowest at any other level
BB% - 9.2% is within his normal range

87 PA's with 11 XBH, 8 BB, and only 3 K's is crazy-ville hotness, not just a guy with a good hit tool (unless you think its small sample size noise, which it might be).

May 02, 2012 15:00 PM
rating: 0

I posted a question in two spots and apparently that is too much for some. I am sure that there questions that Kevin or other BP writers overlook, etc so I asked it a second time.

As for a question involving speculation, in my opinion much of what is done regarding prospects and how they will do in the future, how they will be handled by their clubs, etc is just that -- speculation.

I apologize for asking the same question twice...I'll try to limit myself to only asking once -- don't want to violate one of the unwritten rules of the BP website.

May 03, 2012 06:47 AM
rating: -3

I'm not ashamed to admit every time I see Wilmer Flores on your list, I associate that name with Fez on That 70s Show.

May 03, 2012 08:40 AM
rating: 3

And when Humber pitches a perfect game, I think of Lolita.

May 03, 2012 09:40 AM
rating: 4

And Merkin Valdez with... never mind.

May 03, 2012 12:50 PM
rating: 0
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