Notes
- There’s a lot of homogeneity in the starting pitcher categories. It’s something that I picked up on while compiling the list of players, and it shines through especially in the three-star tier. The 3-3-3-3-3 is a very popular PECOTA projection.
- I added Quality Starts in here since using Saves would be useless and some leagues are moving toward Quality Starts as a stat. It’s the most common alternative to Wins I’ve seen out there.
- Jose Fernadez has a pretty extreme graph, as his solid peripherals will be produced in limited time. PECOTA thinks the counting stats will be less than stellar, and it’s a pretty wise prediction.
- PECOTA still isn’t in on Corey Kluber, and the reasons for that are worth their own column.
- Without further ado here is the graph:
And here is the stat breakdown:
|
Tier |
Lo |
Hi |
|
W |
|
5 |
17 |
|
Av |
11 |
|
4 |
13 |
16 |
Dev |
3 |
|
3 |
10 |
12 |
|
|
|
2 |
6 |
9 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tier |
Lo |
Hi |
|
|
|
5 |
24 |
|
Av |
16 |
|
4 |
19 |
23 |
Dev |
4 |
|
3 |
14 |
18 |
|
|
|
2 |
9 |
13 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tier |
Lo |
Hi |
|
SO |
|
5 |
214 |
|
Av |
153 |
|
4 |
174 |
213 |
Dev |
39 |
|
3 |
134 |
173 |
|
|
|
2 |
94 |
133 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
93 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tier |
Lo |
Hi |
|
|
|
1 |
139 |
|
Av |
122 |
|
2 |
128 |
138 |
Dev |
10 |
|
3 |
117 |
127 |
|
|
|
4 |
106 |
116 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
105 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tier |
Lo |
Hi |
|
|
|
1 |
438 |
|
Av |
362 |
|
2 |
388 |
437 |
Dev |
49 |
|
3 |
338 |
387 |
|
|
|
4 |
288 |
337 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
287 |
|
|
Thank you for reading
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In all seriousness, thanks for the work Mau
a. the graph itself, or
b. that the QS isn't also maxed out.
That thing is borderline pornographic.