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Prospectus Hit List for May 13



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for May 11 Hit List for May 15
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's a winner today.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

22

10

22.5

23.6

23.0

.650

.632

89.8%

7.2%

97.0%

1.2%

3.7%

In both starts this year, Mike Bolsinger went 5 2/3 innings, allowed five hits, one run, and two walks. Standard deviation is for the weak.
2

23

9

21.8

20.2

19.4

.596

.577

70.7%

17.5%

88.2%

2.2%

0.5%

Matt Adams, Matt Holliday and Matt Carpenter are all playing well, and Mark Reynolds just keeps getting called "Matt."
3

21

13

20.6

21.4

21.7

.557

.577

35.0%

21.5%

56.5%

-3.9%

3.6%

Eovaldi gin joints in all the towns in the world, she strikes out swinging into mine.
4

21

12

20.9

22.3

22.0

.554

.574

26.4%

15.7%

42.1%

0.5%

4.7%

Batters are slashing .091/.146/.143 against 6'10" Chris Young this year, who is basically just holding the ball above players' heads and laughing.
5

20

13

17.2

19.7

20.2

.548

.567

55.2%

13.9%

69.2%

2.4%

-0.2%

Two years ago Detroit led the majors in strikeouts. This year, they're 29th. The most popular theory is all those strikeouts had to move out of state to find jobs.
6

20

13

18.0

19.6

19.6

.531

.551

24.5%

16.9%

41.4%

-4.6%

-4.6%

"Can't believe you guys struck out 10 times today. I didn't strike out once!" Evan Gattis proclaims in the clubhouse, because it's like the one time all year he'll be able to say that.
7

18

16

17.7

18.8

19.0

.529

.549

24.4%

22.4%

46.8%

3.3%

-7.7%

More bad news for the Rays pitching staff: Drew Smyly looks to require sysyn-yndyng shyldyr syrgyry.
8

16

17

16.5

14.2

14.6

.510

.530

39.1%

15.9%

55.0%

2.9%

6.1%

Taylor Featherston weighs 185 pounds, which exactly as heavy as Taylor Brickston.
9

17

17

19.3

16.7

16.6

.508

.528

14.3%

17.1%

31.4%

4.6%

8.2%

Their offense is so good you can just run Ezequiel Carrera and Chris Colabello out there every day and nobody's going to shrug their shoulders.
10

18

16

17.9

18.1

17.2

.547

.527

58.2%

17.1%

75.4%

-2.1%

10.1%

I can tell by the look on your face you're wondering where this offense would be without Yunel Escobar. The answer is "he's on the Nationals now?"
11

13

22

17.8

19.0

19.1

.505

.525

7.0%

6.9%

13.8%

1.8%

-11.6%

In retrospect, Billy Beane shouldn't have traded away all those one-run games for pitching prospects, but it might work out next year.
12

15

17

14.6

15.1

15.7

.502

.522

24.3%

16.8%

41.1%

5.9%

10.4%

Strange but true: there are several at bats, occasionally entire games, when Nelson Cruz does not hit a home run, and a team of scientists is currently trying to find out the cause.
13

17

15

15.7

17.9

17.5

.534

.514

19.1%

34.2%

53.3%

3.2%

3.4%

All those jokes about Kris Bryant never getting a home run, and suddenly he has more on the season than Troy Tulowitzki. I maintain the jokes were still funny at the time.
14

14

17

15.5

16.2

16.5

.492

.512

5.7%

8.1%

13.8%

-3.9%

-6.2%

Great, now they can only play well at home if the stadium's empty. Perhaps they can just ask the crowd to duck behind the seatbacks for a couple innings until they get a lead.
15

20

13

18.9

16.1

15.9

.524

.504

33.8%

21.7%

55.5%

-3.8%

-1.2%

Noah Syndergaard may get roughed up in his first year, but ultimately there should be no worry about Noah's career arc. He'll throw two of every pitch! I've got a whole flood of jokes here.
16

15

18

13.3

13.6

14.0

.483

.503

20.6%

20.4%

41.0%

-4.7%

-7.2%

How many days a year do you think David Ortiz physically touches a baseball? Plus or minus 50.
17

17

16

18.6

17.2

17.0

.519

.499

8.4%

22.3%

30.6%

4.3%

6.4%

A.J. Burnett is suddenly fifth among active players in pitching wins with 156. He is also tied with someone named Ice Box Chamberlain, and also has 156 more than Refrigerator Perry.
18

18

15

18.1

15.0

15.5

.472

.492

4.9%

7.0%

11.9%

-1.9%

3.6%

Torii Hunter swung at an eephus pitch and pop fouled out. No word on why he didn't just follow the ball and swing at it again.
19

17

16

14.5

17.0

16.8

.507

.487

5.2%

27.6%

32.8%

2.1%

-3.8%

if Barry Bonds testifies at his lawsuit against MLB for collusion, you have to expect the defense attorneys to just hold up four fingers on cross-examination.
20

11

20

13.1

14.0

14.6

.465

.484

6.2%

6.0%

12.2%

-1.5%

-1.7%

Scott Atchison has only given up more than one home run to Matt Holliday. Those home runs were yesterday and two years ago today.
21

14

19

14.7

14.5

14.8

.462

.482

5.1%

5.2%

10.4%

-2.1%

2.4%

There are people on the Internet who think Stevie Wonder isn't blind. They probably also believe Adrian Beltre actually likes his head touched.
22

15

19

17.1

17.8

17.4

.496

.476

7.0%

9.4%

16.4%

-2.8%

-8.1%

Big deal, Giancarlo Stanton. Lots of players hit home runs that don't land inside Dodger Stadium.
23

17

17

16.6

14.6

14.9

.493

.473

4.4%

26.2%

30.6%

-4.3%

-4.0%

Although he's allowed seven home runs in his last two starts, you have to wonder if James Shields is yet worthy if the nickname "Big Fly James."
24

13

17

11.1

11.2

11.5

.440

.460

7.3%

6.1%

13.5%

1.1%

0.2%

Is this the week they finally win three straight games? With Hector Noesi out of the rotation, it's very possible.
25

15

17

17.6

15.8

15.7

.477

.457

0.4%

4.3%

4.6%

1.4%

1.8%

Last night they lit up Washington in various and inexplicable ways that John McCain could only dream of doing.
26

16

17

15.9

15.7

15.3

.468

.448

1.3%

5.8%

7.1%

0.3%

-2.8%

One-fifth of Devin Mesoraco's hits this season have been walkoffs. Pay no attention to his actual hit total, however.
27

15

18

15.6

14.6

14.0

.442

.422

0.9%

1.3%

2.2%

-1.2%

-2.3%

They lead the National League in GIDPs (31) and Freddie Freeman — who hit into 18 of them last year — doesn't have a single one.
28

12

22

12.5

11.2

12.0

.425

.405

0.6%

3.2%

3.8%

-0.4%

0.3%

Elian Herrera is the first Brewer to homer in three straight games since Matt Clark last year, and you haven't heard of *him* either.
29

11

18

9.7

11.0

10.9

.412

.393

0.2%

2.0%

2.2%

0.0%

-3.4%

If a Rockies pitcher keeps elevating his fastball, how on earth do you get him to stop?
30

11

23

9.6

10.4

10.4

.363

.344

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.1%

-0.5%

[has been below 29 other teams so long they are now crude oil]