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Prospectus Hit List for June 22



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for June 19 Hit List for June 24
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

It's the Hit List life for us. It's the Hit List life. For. Us.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

39

31

41.3

45.5

44.2

.598

.579

77.5%

11.6%

89.1%

3.2%

-3.9%

"Yeah, home runs are great! It's so nice to swing the bat and hit the ball far, yippee." — A.J. Ellis (zero homers) awkwardly trying to join in conversation with the rest of the team.
2

37

34

43.0

40.1

40.1

.534

.554

17.1%

25.1%

42.3%

-2.8%

-4.7%

The Blue Jays are now 0-1 this year when Ezequiel Carrera homers.
3

45

24

44.0

41.6

41.5

.573

.553

72.9%

23.4%

96.3%

-0.2%

0.9%

The Cardinals bird mascot was voted in high school "most likely to suck seed." (Sorry, promised myself I'd stop doing computer breach jokes)
4

41

30

39.8

42.3

42.6

.532

.552

48.8%

18.2%

66.9%

8.2%

12.7%

The second most discussed lawsuit involving the Astros this season is Rob Deer suing Luis Valbuena for batting slash line infringement.
5

38

31

37.2

38.7

39.8

.528

.548

33.0%

27.6%

60.6%

-3.4%

1.6%

Alex Rodriguez passed Roberto Clemente on the all-time hit list, homered for his 3,000 at bat like Derek Jeter, and tied John Olerud on the all-time walks list. And he did it all without being universally loved or wearing a helmet on defense.
6

35

35

35.3

34.0

35.3

.527

.547

27.2%

16.1%

43.3%

-2.7%

-11.4%

Batting Johnny Giavotella leadoff seems like taunting the baseball gods, but with Giavotella having a .708 OPS, maybe they're in on the joke too.
7

40

31

37.8

37.1

37.1

.526

.546

37.9%

28.4%

66.4%

-1.8%

10.7%

Kevin Kiermaier has a better defensive WAR than that time Luxembourg defended itself in World War II by building a giant wall made out of box turtles.
8

31

41

39.8

41.7

41.8

.518

.538

2.0%

3.4%

5.5%

0.3%

1.5%

Billy Burns is probably glad he chose baseball, but if he could do it all over again, he has a great name as an infomercial pitchman.
9

39

27

38.6

38.4

37.9

.516

.536

51.7%

10.6%

62.4%

-5.2%

13.0%

It had been almost 10 years (July 5, 2005) since Chris Young allowed a home run to David Ortiz. Time to start a new streak.
10

35

34

34.0

36.7

36.6

.512

.532

26.2%

11.8%

38.0%

5.5%

-14.6%

It's important to remind everyone once again that of the three home runs J.D. Martinez hit yesterday, none of them were hit with the Astros.
11

37

33

36.9

38.7

37.4

.547

.528

72.4%

5.1%

77.5%

4.0%

7.1%

Forget #yearofthetriple. Max Scherzer proved that it's actually the #yearoftheHBPnohitter.
12

37

30

36.0

37.5

37.6

.546

.526

15.3%

55.4%

70.7%

6.0%

2.1%

Kyle Schwarber has been in the majors for a week and already has more season RBI than Opening Day catcher David Ross.
13

36

33

38.9

36.6

37.3

.506

.526

8.9%

14.8%

23.8%

4.7%

6.3%

Despite no pitcher throwing two innings or more, the Orioles won yesterday's game. Perhaps the AL should fill the All-Star roster with Orioles pitchers.
14

31

40

30.7

34.5

35.0

.505

.525

3.0%

7.6%

10.7%

1.9%

-0.9%

The Red Sox hit eight doubles, two triples and three homers--the first time this has been done since 1938--but bathroom Instagramming is the reason this team is doomed.
15

39

30

39.9

40.3

38.4

.544

.524

11.6%

49.7%

61.3%

-3.1%

6.4%

So many people are going to hate Jose Tabata's elbow after it broke up a perfect game on the final out, namely Jose Tabata's nerve endings, which kept going "ow."
16

37

33

36.6

32.6

33.2

.495

.515

15.5%

14.0%

29.4%

-3.2%

0.9%

Since 2000, Prince Fielder has more multiple-intentional walks games (16) than all except Albert Pujols, Vladimir Guerrero and some guy named Bonds.
17

32

36

31.3

34.6

34.9

.495

.515

11.3%

6.3%

17.5%

1.9%

-8.3%

They still have a large deficit in the standings which they need to overcome, but at least they lead the league in Wins Above Replacement Cody.
18

32

38

29.3

31.1

33.0

.492

.512

6.6%

7.5%

14.1%

-3.1%

-1.5%

A hitting coach knows what's best for his lineup, and Edgar Martinez's first order of business as hitting coach should be batting 52-year-old Edgar Martinez seventh.
19

38

33

36.7

38.0

37.5

.530

.510

17.8%

29.5%

47.3%

-3.8%

8.3%

For the first time in his career, Tim Lincecum couldn't make it out of the second inning, but he did have more swinging strikes than outs made, which is at least something.
20

36

35

33.6

32.9

32.0

.495

.475

21.1%

7.2%

28.4%

-5.6%

-15.2%

Despite a five-game losing streak, this team is still 1.5 games back of first place. This is all setting up Mets fans for a September of disappointment that they don't deserve.
21

37

32

34.2

29.0

29.2

.452

.472

8.7%

7.1%

15.8%

-1.1%

-1.7%

Even if the Twins don't make the playoffs, Brian Dozier is on pace to break the team's single-season doubles mark and if he does, the entire season will be worth it.
22

30

38

26.3

24.9

25.4

.448

.467

2.1%

1.4%

3.5%

0.7%

-3.7%

Gordon Beckham faced one of the 183 pitches in yesterday's game, and that one pitch became the walkoff home run, disproving the old adage, "you have better odds of being struck by lightning than Gordon Beckham winning this game with a home run."
23

30

41

33.2

35.0

34.9

.482

.462

2.7%

1.3%

4.0%

-0.8%

-0.9%

Your pet pooch will never know Derek Dietrich went 2-for-5 yesterday, because you can't teach an old dog Dietrichs.
24

34

35

34.6

33.9

33.5

.481

.461

2.4%

5.2%

7.6%

1.0%

1.0%

After dumping payroll (Bronson Arroyo) and a prospect (Touki Toussaint), the Diamondbacks are on pace to have an active roster of 25 red paperclips.
25

34

38

33.1

29.6

30.5

.479

.459

2.3%

6.3%

8.6%

-1.6%

-7.6%

Andrew Cashner has already tied a career high with nine losses, and Bud Black has plenty of free time to tell you reasons why a team can't fire a starting pitcher.
26

32

36

32.6

34.0

33.2

.477

.457

0.1%

2.9%

3.0%

0.1%

0.6%

Look at Todd Frazier out there, hitting homers out there like he's Adam freaking Dunn. Does he realize we have unused Adam Dunn jokes and can just do a big ol' find-replace on them?
27

35

35

33.6

31.7

30.7

.446

.426

3.8%

1.7%

5.4%

0.7%

2.2%

Jim Johnson hasn't allowed a run in his last seven innings. Yes, that Jim Johnson. 80 percent sure it's that Jim Johnson. Yes, 55 percent sure it's the same Jim Johnson.
28

30

39

30.2

29.5

28.9

.444

.424

0.1%

0.6%

0.7%

0.1%

-0.8%

Rockies' catchers lead the National League in OPS by almost 50 points. For extra credit: name one.
29

25

46

26.2

24.3

25.2

.422

.403

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.2%

Why is nobody talking about ... oh, right, 25-46. As you were.
30

24

47

22.0

22.1

22.3

.366

.348

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

It is a far, far better thing that I do, than I have ever done; it is a far, far better team that Cole Hamels may go to if the rumors are true.