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Prospectus Hit List for September 29

by Matthew Kory

Hit List for September 25 Hit List for September 30
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Rk	Tm	W	L	W1	W2	W3	HLF	AHLF	Win Div%	Win WC%	Playoff%	1-Day	7-Day
1		91	65	99.9	97.7	97.7	.619	.638	99.7%	0.3%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		With a line of seven innings, three runs, one walk, two strikeouts, one home run last night, Marco Estrada pitched a Jeff Ballard, which is to say a crappy but somehow effective game. The award is one of those used paper cups your kids keep in the bathroom. Congratulations!
2		83	74	89.0	94.2	93.9	.573	.593	9.6%	58.6%	68.2%	3.8%	-22.3%
		Three solo homers for the Astros, to whom getting on base has all the charms of a venereal disease.
3		86	70	87.0	85.8	87.3	.555	.574	0.3%	99.7%	99.9%	-0.0%	0.4%
		After losing last night, it’s Wild Card or bust for the Yankees, or more likely considering their pitching, Wild Card and bust.
4		99	58	94.2	88.0	87.6	.587	.568	96.5%	3.5%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		First they score a run off of some of the worst outfield defense this side of a beer league softball game, then they hold on to survive two line drives with two guys on. The Cardinals are Eli Manning times 20!
5		90	66	85.6	81.5	82.3	.544	.564	100.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		The Royals clinched their first AL Central title, but then dropped it on the floor when they saw that their brother got.
6		95	62	89.9	90.1	88.9	.580	.560	3.5%	96.5%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Turns out, in the ninth inning of a tied game during a pennant race, covering your palms with butter is a bad idea!
7		77	78	79.6	88.7	89.0	.539	.559	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-1.3%	-6.5%
		You know who should be really good but isn’t very good at all? Oh… kinda gives it away I guess.
8		87	69	84.9	93.8	92.2	.574	.554	99.3%	0.0%	99.3%	-0.3%	-0.3%
		Question: Would the Pope bat Carl Crawford leadoff? Answer: Does Don Mattingly speak Latin?
9		91	65	84.9	91.0	90.2	.572	.552	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		The Cubs haven’t extended Theo Epstein’s contract in over 100 years. Coincidence?
10		89	67	86.8	88.0	85.5	.560	.540	100.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.9%
		It’s great the Mets keep on winning because nobody deserves success like the Wilpons.
11		82	74	87.1	87.4	86.9	.550	.530	0.7%	0.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.3%
		The Giants beat the Dodgers in 12 innings. It’s the kind of win that can sustain a franchise over a long winter. That and three World Series wins in the last five seasons.
12		75	81	76.7	82.3	82.9	.508	.528	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Season is almost over. I hope nobody forgets to feed the rays.
13		80	76	85.1	89.1	85.7	.545	.525	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.9%
		The Nationals could top what they’ve already done this season, but that would likely involve jail time.
14		84	72	78.6	75.9	76.4	.505	.525	77.7%	13.1%	90.9%	-6.1%	0.1%
		Red Alert! The Rangers are still in first place! This is happening, people! Save the hatches and batten down your children!
15		76	80	77.8	78.7	78.9	.499	.519	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0%
		Boston was eliminated from post-season competition when the Mariners lost to the Astros last night. This is what happens when you depend on the Mariners, a fact the Mariners themselves surely know by now.
16		82	74	76.5	72.8	74.3	.490	.510	12.6%	21.4%	34.0%	3.9%	26.9%
		Yet another reason Mike Trout is better than Bryce Harper: choke-preventing neck width.
17		76	80	79.2	73.5	74.9	.487	.507	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.1%
		In the battle between reigning and future AL East champs, one was the Orioles so they lost.
18		81	75	78.8	70.4	70.5	.482	.502	0.0%	6.9%	6.9%	-0.3%	1.7%
		Look, Twins, if you kept doing this for 162 more games we still wouldn’t believe it.
19		74	83	71.1	75.1	76.2	.472	.492	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-0.1%
		The Mariners tried to hire Jerry Dipoto to be their new GM but he was hired by the Red Sox as an assistant to the assistant GM in charge of assisting GMs.
20		65	92	75.1	76.0	78.1	.468	.488	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		“Come on guys, one more one-run loss… for the road.”
21		75	81	80.1	78.4	78.4	.500	.480	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Did you realize if the Diamondbacks won just four more games this season they’d still be not very good? It’s true!
22		73	83	66.6	71.3	72.4	.454	.474	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Justin Verlander has a 2.78 post-All Star game ERA. See? Some of us depend on the Home Run Derby to get our juices flowing!
23		73	83	69.9	67.8	69.5	.449	.469	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Robin Ventura hasn’t done a great job, but he’s beloved by ownership and since David Robertson hasn’t choked Jose Abreu, maybe he’ll keep his job.
24		69	87	71.5	72.3	71.1	.455	.435	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Sure am excited to see who the Marlins will bring in to run the organization badly!
25		73	83	70.6	68.7	67.9	.449	.429	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Matt Kemp and Justin Upton: 0-for-8 with four strikeouts on Sunday. It’s okay though, their defense certainly made up for it.
26		63	93	67.5	70.0	70.7	.435	.415	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		The Reds 2015 highlights DVD is going to be called the High (Bryan) Price of Failure.
27		66	90	69.7	66.0	67.0	.431	.411	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		The Brewers shut down Ryan Braun, which at this point is probably a bit like turning off your dad’s ’88 Chevy Cavalier. Good luck getting it started again.
28		66	90	67.1	62.7	61.0	.412	.392	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		One final suggestion for what to do with the balls in Colorado to decrease offense: don’t have any. “Uh nope, can’t find ‘em, sorry.”
29		62	94	56.6	57.2	57.2	.373	.355	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		Shelby Miller is 5-17. Since May 23 he’s pitched in 23 games. The Braves have won two of them.
30		59	97	58.3	53.9	53.8	.361	.342	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
		The Phillies are hitting .248/.301/.379 as a team, which is almost exactly like batting nine Cesar Hernandezes consecutively. Well, eight because the NL is dumb.