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Prospectus Hit List for April 10



Hit List for April 6 Hit List for April 13
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

4

3

5.3

5.2

5.3

.652

.648

74.3%

17.1%

91.4%

0.9%

-0.1%

If you bet the over on 5.0 innings pitched before Rich Hill’s first DL stint of the season, well, you’re not exactly a student of history, are you?
2

5

1

4.9

4.7

4.6

.641

.645

13.3%

18.6%

31.9%

1.9%

10.2%

One week into the season, the Twins are ... tied for the best record in baseball? Even small sample sizes shouldn’t allow for this much random variation.
3

4

2

4.0

4.2

4.0

.625

.620

76.9%

9.9%

86.9%

1.0%

6.5%

The Cubs are slated to receive their World Series rings on Wednesday, so expect Armageddon to occur sometime Tuesday night.
4

5

2

4.3

5.0

4.8

.604

.609

37.6%

20.7%

58.3%

3.4%

8.2%

The Rays won an 11-inning affair against the Blue Jays earlier this week when Brad Miller worked a walk-off walk, officially making him the best SS turned 1B turned 2B in the AL West.
5

6

1

5.1

4.3

4.1

.591

.586

7.9%

22.4%

30.3%

2.0%

11.8%

Shelby Miller earned his first win at Chase Field as a Diamondback on Friday night, which would be a lot more inspiring if he’d been acquired this offseason and not 16 months ago.
6

5

2

4.1

4.5

4.2

.557

.562

7.5%

12.4%

19.9%

1.4%

6.8%

Mike Trout popped a balloon just by looking at it this week, setting him up as the perfect villain for the dark, gritty reboot of “Up.”
7

4

3

3.1

3.9

3.5

.547

.552

62.5%

17.7%

80.3%

0.5%

2.1%

George Springer has three leadoff homers in seven games. He’s really tearing the SI Cover off the ball.
8

3

2

2.8

2.7

2.6

.546

.551

39.7%

19.9%

59.6%

5.3%

2.1%

There were major population centers in 14th century Europe less affected by the plague than the Red Sox locker room has been over the past week.
9

4

2

3.9

4.0

4.0

.556

.551

2.5%

6.5%

9.0%

1.7%

2.5%

Want a perfect microcosm of the 2017 Reds? Amir Garrett, a 24-year-old prospect, made his first start on Friday. He was followed in the rotation by a 40-year-old Bronson Arroyo.
10

3

3

3.7

3.4

3.4

.522

.517

11.2%

11.2%

22.5%

-2.3%

1.9%

With both Martin Prado and Adeiny Hechavarria on the DL, the left side of Miami’s infield features about as much talent as TINO.
11

3

3

3.9

3.6

3.7

.522

.517

3.3%

4.0%

7.4%

0.8%

0.2%

When a rebuilding team’s closer blows saves, should he improve or hurt his job security (thinking emoji)?
12

5

2

3.3

3.8

3.8

.519

.514

3.9%

15.4%

19.2%

-2.2%

5.8%

Sure, it was at Coors Field, but hitting back-to-back homers off of Clayton Kershaw is pretty impressive nonetheless. Especially when one shot was from a blind dude.
13

2

4

3.0

3.8

3.7

.507

.512

9.7%

11.6%

21.3%

2.0%

-1.3%

It’s touching that Gary Sanchez has paid tribute to those older, more veteran Yankees teams of yore by hitting the DL in April.
14

2

3

3.1

2.7

2.9

.499

.504

3.9%

7.3%

11.2%

-1.1%

-1.9%

“Father Time is undefeated” is a popular phrase, but Geovany Soto leads a major league team in homers in 2017, so ...
15

3

2

2.1

2.5

2.5

.495

.500

10.0%

15.2%

25.2%

-3.0%

3.0%

If Rob Manfred really wants to improve the pace of play he should consider automatically giving the Tigers losses when they have small leads late in games.
16

3

3

2.4

2.3

2.4

.494

.499

70.4%

12.0%

82.4%

-0.7%

0.5%

The Indians are 0-2 since their 3-1 start ...
17

3

4

2.8

3.9

4.0

.480

.485

2.9%

6.1%

9.0%

-2.6%

-0.6%

Sonny Gray is on track to return in late April, which means Sonny Gray trade rumors are on track to return in late May.
18

3

3

2.0

2.7

2.8

.487

.482

36.4%

18.3%

54.6%

-3.7%

-5.6%

Jeremy Guthrie is the first player in the modern era to give up 10 or more runs in less than an inning of work twice in his career. How is he not a Rockie?
19

4

1

2.6

1.7

1.6

.474

.479

5.0%

6.8%

11.8%

-2.7%

2.4%

The Os suffered their first loss of the season yesterday, meaning there are no remaining undefeated teams. Congrats again to the 1972 Dolphins.
20

3

2

2.4

2.0

2.0

.482

.477

10.7%

16.6%

27.3%

0.4%

-2.2%

Starling Marte hit a walkoff homer yesterday, which means we’re only three or four seasons away from the national media admitting he’s better than Andrew McCutchen.
21

3

3

2.9

2.1

2.1

.482

.477

44.5%

17.1%

61.6%

2.9%

0.9%

Tim Tebow has two home runs now, so he’s making good on his promise to give up being irrelevant for Lent.
22

2

4

3.0

2.6

2.5

.467

.472

13.6%

17.6%

31.2%

3.0%

-6.7%

Yu Darvish earned headlines for picking up some trash behind the mound in his last start. Wonder how many times he’s tried to throw away Matt Bush.
23

2

5

3.0

3.0

2.9

.464

.459

13.4%

34.0%

47.4%

5.0%

-5.2%

The Giants signed Melvin Upton Jr. to a minor league deal this week, so expect him to hit like .400 with the major league team in July. Because Giants.
24

2

4

2.3

2.3

2.6

.432

.427

5.3%

9.6%

14.9%

-2.4%

-7.0%

Aledmys Diaz appears to be the real deal. He’d make for a great story were he in almost any other organization.
25

2

5

2.9

2.1

2.3

.406

.402

4.5%

9.3%

13.9%

-2.4%

-5.3%

It’s tough to blame Keon Broxton. If you had to be a part of this Brewers season, you’d stick your face in front of a fastball, too.
26

2

4

2.0

1.8

2.2

.392

.397

2.3%

3.9%

6.2%

-0.8%

-0.7%

Salvador Perez has homered in four straight games, a feat for which Ned Yost will award him a single game off in 2021.
27

1

5

1.7

2.7

2.5

.399

.394

4.5%

5.0%

9.5%

-0.5%

-4.7%

“Freddie Freeman homers twice in Braves loss,” reads the MLB.com headline that will be copied-pasted most often this season.
28

3

4

1.8

2.6

2.6

.396

.392

0.5%

3.5%

4.0%

-1.1%

0.4%

Backup backstop Hector Sanchez might be out for a bit with a concussion, which would be a tough break for a team that’s only rostering about 19 catchers.
29

1

6

2.4

1.6

1.8

.384

.389

13.5%

18.8%

32.3%

-3.4%

-14.8%

Remember when we were all positive Jean Segura would regress? He’s hitting .333/.357/.444 through his first six games as a Mariner.
30

1

5

2.1

1.5

1.6

.379

.383

8.0%

11.4%

19.4%

-3.2%

-9.2%

Troy Tulowitzki took umbrage with a late, high Steven Souza slide into second base during Sunday’s Blue Jays loss. But Souza had to either go too high or Tulo, so ...