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Prospectus Hit List for July 3



by Ben Carsley

Hit List for June 29 Hit List for July 6
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Colorado takes a tumble.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

55

29

57.9

58.4

58.0

.682

.678

91.5%

8.5%

100.0%

0.0%

0.1%

Did you see that Dave Roberts vs. Andy Green snoozefest? Even the baseball fights in California are laid back.
2

56

27

53.5

56.1

55.6

.667

.671

99.9%

0.1%

100.0%

0.0%

0.0%

“Astros rally, stun Yanks with walk-off throw,” reads the Astros.com headline that takes a few too many liberties with the term “walk-off.”
3

43

37

49.9

52.9

52.3

.619

.624

33.6%

42.8%

76.4%

-1.1%

4.6%

Clint Frazier doubled and homered in his MLB debut. The Yankees will retire his number late next week.
4

52

31

52.7

51.8

50.3

.623

.618

7.7%

88.5%

96.2%

1.1%

1.7%

Congrats to Ketel Marte on his first MLB walk-off hit, or as it’s most commonly known, Ketel Won.
5

48

34

49.8

52.3

50.4

.611

.607

96.3%

1.0%

97.3%

1.0%

0.2%

If Anthony Rendon diving into the stands was a part of his strategy to earn All-Star Game votes he’s well on his way to running the most compelling campaign in D.C. in quite a while.
6

44

37

46.7

49.3

48.5

.582

.587

89.7%

4.1%

93.8%

0.8%

5.4%

The Indians are sending five players to the 2017 All-Star Game in the most impressive display of star power going from Cleveland to Miami in sports history.
7

47

35

47.6

46.9

45.7

.570

.575

58.2%

28.6%

86.7%

4.2%

21.5%

David Price is the worst fit in Boston since William Howe.
8

43

41

43.8

47.3

47.3

.540

.545

7.2%

29.4%

36.6%

-4.9%

-2.1%

Kevin Cash has a fracture in his ankle but isn’t slated to miss any time. That’d be a lot more impressive if he was still catching, but still ...
9

48

36

45.1

42.4

42.9

.531

.526

0.8%

74.9%

75.7%

-1.0%

-10.2%

John McEnroe is having a better two weeks than the Rockies, who are now 1-10 in their last 11 games.
10

41

41

42.5

44.2

44.0

.523

.518

56.0%

5.1%

61.1%

8.0%

-5.9%

It’s both really cool that Eloy Jimenez keeps knocking out lights with his homers and really sad that his power is the most positive story about the Cubs right now.
11

41

42

41.5

41.2

41.5

.498

.503

0.1%

23.3%

23.4%

4.2%

-5.1%

Sorry, but if you get shut out by Ricky Nolasco in 2017 you should be contracted.
12

39

42

40.7

41.6

42.4

.505

.500

16.6%

5.3%

21.9%

-2.4%

11.6%

The Year is 2056. Yadier Molina is hitting .042/.042/.042. He’s just been named to his 40th straight All-Star Game.
13

44

40

43.6

40.7

40.2

.501

.496

23.9%

5.5%

29.4%

-5.5%

1.7%

Corey Knebel and his wife revealed the gender of their first child by hitting a baseball filled with pink chalk. Every negative thing ever said about Millennials was actually correct.
14

40

42

43.2

37.9

38.7

.487

.492

0.0%

24.2%

24.3%

-3.0%

-6.2%

“Rangers acquire Grilli from Blue Jays” and “Bullpen blows another late lead in loss” are two related headlines that appear back-to-back on Rangers.com.
15

43

43

42.1

40.1

41.5

.485

.490

0.0%

10.7%

10.8%

-1.8%

-1.6%

After years and years of getting cheated out of awards he deserved, it’s nice to see that Mike Trout has attained that special level of stardom where he gets sent to the All-Star Game regardless of his performance.
16

41

40

37.6

35.6

36.9

.466

.471

3.7%

8.8%

12.5%

2.2%

3.0%

Jason Vargas made an All-Star Team, in 2017, and he deserved it. We will never unravel the mysteries of the universe.
17

36

45

38.1

38.6

38.4

.466

.471

1.4%

3.6%

5.0%

-0.1%

0.8%

Michael Fulmer is an All-Star, which is yet another Metsian outcome for the Mets.
18

36

45

38.9

37.6

37.5

.463

.468

0.5%

1.1%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

Final Exploding Brain Meme: If the White Sox make a ton of errors behind Jose Quintana, his ERA can’t go up and he’ll be more marketable.
19

36

44

37.6

38.6

39.1

.473

.468

0.9%

2.4%

3.3%

1.0%

-1.0%

The Marlins have less pitching talent in their active rotation than the Mets have on their DL.
20

40

41

36.9

37.3

35.0

.460

.455

0.8%

2.5%

3.3%

0.2%

0.8%

Are the Braves going to be an above .500 team when Freddie Freeman comes back? They’re basically having the year the Phillies were supposed to have.
21

37

44

35.8

36.4

36.3

.449

.454

0.5%

3.5%

4.0%

-1.7%

-6.8%

Sorry, but if you get shut out by Ubaldo Jimenez in 2017 you should be contracted.
22

38

43

37.3

36.3

36.2

.456

.451

2.0%

5.4%

7.4%

-1.6%

3.3%

Terry Collins is probably furious that Michael Conforto is an All-Star because it’s going to be even harder to not play him now.
23

41

40

34.7

34.1

34.4

.445

.450

4.7%

12.4%

17.1%

-1.3%

-13.0%

Alex Meyer will take on Adalberto Mejia today in the Battle of Good Prospects from 2011 Who Ended Up On Random Teams.
24

35

47

32.9

37.5

39.6

.442

.447

0.0%

2.1%

2.1%

-0.4%

-1.7%

Is there anything more A’s than giving up two homers to Kurt Suzuki? Ah yes: letting the second of those homers serve as the winning run.
25

37

45

37.0

36.1

36.6

.447

.442

3.2%

0.7%

3.8%

-0.5%

-2.3%

The Pirates will reportedly not ask Andrew McCutchen to move out of center field when Starling Marte returns from his suspension, which makes sense until you see McCutchen play center field.
26

35

46

35.8

35.7

35.5

.438

.433

0.3%

0.2%

0.5%

-0.4%

-0.1%

Homer Bailey has allowed 16 runs in 4.2 innings since returning from the DL. Even Dusty Baker wouldn’t let him log innings right now.
27

40

41

33.9

30.5

33.1

.424

.429

0.6%

5.2%

5.8%

2.4%

1.1%

Jonathan Schoop was named to his first career All-Star Game, which means an entire generation of casual baseball fans will get to be disappointed by how he pronounces his name.
28

34

48

28.4

31.6

33.2

.388

.383

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

What’s the German word for a season so bad that your lone All-Star Game representative is a non-closing reliever?
29

33

51

33.1

31.2

31.7

.384

.379

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

0.1%

Thanks to an inspiring six-game winning streak, the Giants are almost as good as the Padres.
30

27

53

30.6

29.2

30.2

.366

.361

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

What’s the German word for a season so bad that your lone All-Star Game representative is a non-closing reliever?