Prospectus Feature: Aim for the Head: Dropping the Worst Starts

One common defense you hear of a pitcher–usually one of the speaker's favorites–whose season statistics don't quite measure up is something like: "Yeah, but if you take away the two starts when he got pounded and the manager left him in, his ERA is really good!"

There's some merit to the argument that a few starts can skew a pitcher's cumulative line, and there have been attempts, such as Michael Wolverton's Support-Neutral statistics to better model the maximum impact a single game can have on a pitcher's value.

Separate from these more sophisticated analyses lies a more fundamental problem: taking away X starts from a single pitcher, without doing so for every pitcher, will overrate the pitcher in question by giving him a benefit the others do not have. If we really want to go down this path of eliminating disastrous starts, we should give every starting pitcher the same benefit.

I looked at all pitchers from 2001 who had at least 100 total innings pitched in games started. I arbitrarily selected the three worst starts as the number we would drop from season totals. Then, I compared the rankings and values from the whole season to the trimmed season to see who was most affected. Pitchers who started for more than one team have their tenure with each team measured separately, and are not combined.

I looked at two measures, one of which was simply Run Average (RA, which is Runs Allowed/Innings Pitched * 9). The other is a simplified version of VORP, or Runs above Replacement Level, which I call Value for this article and define as IP/9* (6.00 – R/IP*9). Note that RA and Value are not park-adjusted for this comparison, nor are we strictly comparing to a measured (or modeled) replacement level, but instead using a 6.00 RA as replacement level. My intent was to identify the pitchers who are helped/hurt the most by excluding three starts, rather than to accurately model the value of the top N-3 starts in a pitcher's season.

Top/Bottom 20 Pitchers by Value Lost by Trimming Three Starts:

		Full Season					Worst 3 starts removed					Difference between Full and Worst 3 removed
NAME	TEAM	VALUE	RA	IP	Value Rank	RA Rank	VALUE	RA	IP	Value Rank	RA Rank	IP	R	RA of removed	VALUE	Season RA Change	Value Rank	RA Rank
Scott Schoeneweis	ANA	14.89	5.35	205.3	78	87	36.67	4.32	196	58	81	9.3	28	27.10	-21.78	1.03	20	6
Jimmy Anderson	PIT	14.56	5.37	206.3	81	88	36.11	4.35	196.7	61	84	9.6	28	26.25	-21.56	1.02	20	4
Chuck Finley	CLE	-2.22	6.17	113.7	107	108	18.11	4.51	109.7	102	91	4	23	51.75	-20.33	1.66	5	17
Matt Morris	STL	58.22	3.58	216.3	12	14	77.56	2.62	206.3	5	7	10	26	23.40	-19.33	0.96	7	7
Brian Anderson	ARI	-7.56	6.55	123.7	118	118	11.56	5.06	110.3	111	106	13.4	28	18.81	-19.11	1.49	7	12
Mike Hampton	COL	-2.67	6.12	203	108	106	16.44	5.23	192.7	104	113	10.3	26	22.72	-19.11	0.89	4	-7
Ryan Rupe	TB	-4.56	6.29	141.7	112	110	14.33	4.99	128	106	105	13.7	28	18.39	-18.89	1.30	6	5
Jamey Wright	MIL	14.78	5.32	194.7	79	86	33.56	4.32	179.3	66	83	15.4	29	16.95	-18.78	1.00	13	3
Bobby J. Jones	SD	-7.00	6.32	195	117	112	11.67	5.44	187	110	118	8	24	27.00	-18.67	0.88	7	-6
Dave Burba	CLE	-16.22	7.06	137.7	122	121	2.33	5.84	131	121	121	6.7	23	30.90	-18.56	1.22	1	0
Willis Roberts	BAL	3.22	5.72	102.3	100	100	21.22	3.89	90.3	94	56	12	26	19.50	-18.00	1.83	6	44
Kevin Tapani	CHC	19.22	4.97	168.3	68	72	36.78	3.91	158.7	57	59	9.6	24	22.50	-17.56	1.06	11	13
Kenny Rogers	TEX	-7.56	6.56	120.7	118	119	10.00	5.19	111	114	112	9.7	24	22.27	-17.56	1.37	4	7
Ryan Dempster	FLA	17.89	5.24	211.3	72	82	35.44	4.42	201.7	64	89	9.6	24	22.50	-17.56	0.82	8	-7
Shawn Chacon	COL	10.67	5.40	160	89	90	28.11	4.30	148.7	74	80	11.3	25	19.91	-17.44	1.10	15	10
Steve Trachsel	NYM	26.78	4.61	173.7	52	50	44.11	3.57	163.7	41	38	10	24	21.60	-17.33	1.04	11	12
Todd Ritchie	PIT	20.22	5.12	207.3	65	80	37.00	4.29	195	56	79	12.3	25	18.29	-16.78	0.83	9	1
Darren Oliver	TEX	-6.33	6.37	154	115	114	10.33	5.32	137	113	116	17	28	14.82	-16.67	1.05	2	-2
Julian Tavarez	CHC	12.67	5.26	154	82	83	29.22	4.22	147.3	73	76	6.7	21	28.21	-16.56	1.04	9	7
Denny Neagle	COL	6.78	5.64	170.7	98	98	23.22	4.66	156.3	89	97	14.4	26	16.25	-16.44	0.98	9	1
…
Rick Reed	NYM	36.78	3.54	134.7	36	13	45.22	2.70	123.3	39	9	11.4	16	12.63	-8.44	0.84	-3	4
John Burkett	ATL	63.22	3.41	219.3	8	11	71.44	2.86	204.7	11	12	14.6	18	11.10	-8.22	0.55	-3	-1
Darryl Kile	STL	68.56	3.29	227.3	6	7	76.78	2.70	209.7	6	10	17.6	20	10.23	-8.22	0.58	0	-3
Freddy Garcia	SEA	71.11	3.32	238.7	3	8	79.11	2.86	226.7	4	13	12	16	12.00	-8.00	0.46	-1	-5
Jeff Suppan	KC	25.56	4.95	218.3	56	69	33.56	4.52	203.3	66	92	15	18	10.80	-8.00	0.43	-10	-23
Randy Johnson	ARI	87.78	2.74	242.7	1	2	95.56	2.17	224.3	1	3	18.4	20	9.78	-7.78	0.58	0	-1
Tom Glavine	ATL	54.22	3.78	219.3	17	22	61.89	3.29	205.3	19	29	14	17	10.93	-7.67	0.49	-2	-7
Curt Schilling	ARI	85.11	3.02	256.7	2	3	92.78	2.52	239.7	2	6	17	19	10.06	-7.67	0.50	0	-3
Josh Towers	BAL	18.78	4.72	131.7	70	57	26.22	3.94	114.3	78	61	17.4	19	9.83	-7.44	0.78	-8	-4
Joe Mays	MIN	68.78	3.35	233.7	5	10	75.56	2.93	221.3	8	17	12.4	15	10.89	-6.78	0.42	-3	-7
David Wells	CHW	12.11	4.92	100.7	84	68	18.56	4.00	83.3	101	66	17.4	18	9.31	-6.44	0.92	-17	2
Adam Eaton	SD	16.78	4.70	116.7	73	56	23.22	3.90	99.3	89	58	17.4	18	9.31	-6.44	0.81	-16	-2
Greg Maddux	ATL	69.33	3.32	233	4	9	75.56	2.84	215.3	8	11	17.7	18	9.15	-6.22	0.48	-4	-2
Terry Adams	LA	24.89	4.36	136.3	58	40	31.00	3.68	120	70	44	16.3	17	9.39	-6.11	0.68	-12	-4
Kevin Brown	LA	35.22	3.23	114.3	38	6	41.22	2.27	99.3	46	4	15	16	9.60	-6.00	0.96	-8	2
Dave Williams	PIT	19.33	4.33	104	67	39	23.78	3.61	89.7	86	41	14.3	14	8.81	-4.44	0.71	-19	-2
Roger Clemens	NYY	52.89	3.84	220.3	18	24	57.00	3.49	204	24	33	16.3	15	8.28	-4.11	0.35	-6	-9
Brian Tollberg	SD	20.22	4.45	117.3	65	45	24.00	3.88	102	84	54	15.3	14	8.24	-3.78	0.57	-19	-9
Pedro Martinez	BOS	44.78	2.54	116.7	26	1	47.33	1.65	98	36	1	18.7	15	7.22	-2.56	0.89	-10	0
Roy Halladay	TOR	33.67	3.06	103	39	4	35.33	2.30	86	65	5	17	13	6.88	-1.67	0.76	-26	-1

Pitchers who completely bombed in three starts are helped most by this method. Scott Schoeneweis got blasted for 28 runs in 9 1/3 innings in his worst three starts, dropping his season's value by almost 22 runs. Overall his rank in value would go from #78 to #58 just by dropping every pitcher's three worst starts. Jimmy Anderson is similarly affected. There are some good pitchers on the list, too. Matt Morris jumps into the top ten if we disregard three starts.

Pitchers who are very consistent are penalized by this method, since their worst starts aren't too far behind their average starts. Roy Halladay's worst three starts were barely below replacement level, and so he gains less than two runs by removing them. His rank in Value drops 26 points as flakier pitchers pass him. Again there's a mix of great pitchers (Randy Johnson, Curt Schilling, Greg Maddux) and mediocre pitchers (David Wells, Jeff Suppan, Dave Williams, Brian Tollberg) in the list. Consistency, by itself, doesn't mean quality–you can be consistently good or consistently bad.

Top/Bottom 20 Pitchers by RA Decline by Trimming Three Starts

		Full Season					Worst 3 starts removed					Difference between Full and Worst 3 removed
NAME	TEAM	VALUE	RA	IP	Value Rank	RA Rank	VALUE	RA	IP	Value Rank	RA Rank	IP	R	RA of removed	VALUE	Season RA Change	Value Rank	RA Rank
Willis Roberts	BAL	3.22	5.72	102.3	100	100	21.22	3.89	90.3	94	56	12	26	19.50	-18.00	1.83	6	44
Chuck Finley	CLE	-2.22	6.17	113.7	107	108	18.11	4.51	109.7	102	91	4	23	51.75	-20.33	1.66	5	17
Brian Anderson	ARI	-7.56	6.55	123.7	118	118	11.56	5.06	110.3	111	106	13.4	28	18.81	-19.11	1.49	7	12
Rob Bell	TEX	-16.78	7.44	105.3	123	123	-0.44	6.05	89.3	122	122	16	27	15.19	-16.33	1.39	1	1
Dan Reichert	KC	-1.89	6.15	109.7	106	107	13.67	4.77	100	108	101	9.7	22	20.41	-15.56	1.38	-2	6
Kenny Rogers	TEX	-7.56	6.56	120.7	118	119	10.00	5.19	111	114	112	9.7	24	22.27	-17.56	1.37	4	7
Ted Lilly	NYY	-4.67	6.40	104	113	115	9.89	5.09	97.3	115	108	6.7	19	25.52	-14.56	1.32	-2	7
Ryan Rupe	TB	-4.56	6.29	141.7	112	110	14.33	4.99	128	106	105	13.7	28	18.39	-18.89	1.30	6	5
Lance Davis	CIN	10.89	5.08	106.3	87	78	24.00	3.82	99	84	50	7.3	18	22.19	-13.11	1.26	3	28
Kip Wells	CHW	-0.22	6.02	104.7	104	104	13.00	4.78	96	109	102	8.7	19	19.66	-13.22	1.24	-5	2
Albie Lopez	TB	-3.89	6.28	124.7	109	109	11.56	5.06	110.3	111	106	14.4	25	15.63	-15.44	1.22	-2	3
Dave Burba	CLE	-16.22	7.06	137.7	122	121	2.33	5.84	131	121	121	6.7	23	30.90	-18.56	1.22	1	0
Rocky Biddle	CHW	-4.22	6.33	113.7	110	113	9.89	5.14	103.3	115	111	10.4	21	18.17	-14.11	1.19	-5	2
Paul Wilson	TB	1.78	5.88	131.7	102	102	17.78	4.69	122.7	103	99	9	22	22.00	-16.00	1.18	-1	3
Steve Parris	TOR	10.44	5.11	105.7	90	79	21.44	3.94	93.7	92	62	12	19	14.25	-11.00	1.17	-2	17
Allen Levrault	MIL	-5.44	6.47	104.3	114	116	7.22	5.31	93.3	118	115	11	20	16.36	-12.67	1.17	-4	1
Jose Lima	DET	9.11	5.27	112.7	94	84	21.67	4.11	103	91	72	9.7	19	17.63	-12.56	1.16	3	12
Pedro Astacio	COL	3.00	5.81	141	101	101	19.44	4.65	129.7	100	96	11.3	24	19.12	-16.44	1.16	1	5
Shawn Chacon	COL	10.67	5.40	160	89	90	28.11	4.30	148.7	74	80	11.3	25	19.91	-17.44	1.10	15	10
Joe Kennedy	TB	15.44	4.82	117.7	76	61	26.33	3.72	104	77	46	13.7	20	13.14	-10.89	1.10	-1	15
…
Eric Milton	MIN	39.33	4.38	218	34	41	50.78	3.79	206.7	31	49	11.3	19	15.13	-11.44	0.59	3	-8
Darryl Kile	STL	68.56	3.29	227.3	6	7	76.78	2.70	209.7	6	10	17.6	20	10.23	-8.22	0.58	0	-3
Livan Hernandez	SF	8.11	5.68	226.7	96	99	21.44	5.10	213.7	92	110	13	22	15.23	-13.33	0.58	4	-11
Tim Hudson	OAK	56.67	3.83	235	14	23	68.56	3.25	224.3	13	26	10.7	19	15.98	-11.89	0.58	1	-3
Jarrod Washburn	ANA	39.89	4.14	193.3	33	34	49.11	3.57	181.7	34	36	11.6	17	13.19	-9.22	0.58	-1	-2
Randy Johnson	ARI	87.78	2.74	242.7	1	2	95.56	2.17	224.3	1	3	18.4	20	9.78	-7.78	0.58	0	-1
Doug Davis	TEX	21.00	4.98	186	64	74	30.56	4.41	173.3	72	88	12.7	18	12.76	-9.56	0.57	-8	-14
Brian Tollberg	SD	20.22	4.45	117.3	65	45	24.00	3.88	102	84	54	15.3	14	8.24	-3.78	0.57	-19	-9
Ramon Ortiz	ANA	26.11	4.87	208.7	55	65	36.67	4.32	196	58	81	12.7	19	13.46	-10.56	0.56	-3	-16
John Burkett	ATL	63.22	3.41	219.3	8	11	71.44	2.86	204.7	11	12	14.6	18	11.10	-8.22	0.55	-3	-1
Jon Lieber	CHC	50.89	4.03	232.3	19	31	60.00	3.50	216	21	34	16.3	20	11.04	-9.11	0.53	-2	-3
Aaron Sele	SEA	49.00	3.93	213	22	29	58.78	3.40	203.7	22	31	9.3	16	15.48	-9.78	0.53	0	-2
Brad Radke	MIN	45.67	4.18	226	25	35	56.22	3.66	216.3	27	43	9.7	17	15.77	-10.56	0.52	-2	-8
Curt Schilling	ARI	85.11	3.02	256.7	2	3	92.78	2.52	239.7	2	6	17	19	10.06	-7.67	0.50	0	-3
Tom Glavine	ATL	54.22	3.78	219.3	17	22	61.89	3.29	205.3	19	29	14	17	10.93	-7.67	0.49	-2	-7
Greg Maddux	ATL	69.33	3.32	233	4	9	75.56	2.84	215.3	8	11	17.7	18	9.15	-6.22	0.48	-4	-2
Freddy Garcia	SEA	71.11	3.32	238.7	3	8	79.11	2.86	226.7	4	13	12	16	12.00	-8.00	0.46	-1	-5
Jeff Suppan	KC	25.56	4.95	218.3	56	69	33.56	4.52	203.3	66	92	15	18	10.80	-8.00	0.43	-10	-23
Joe Mays	MIN	68.78	3.35	233.7	5	10	75.56	2.93	221.3	8	17	12.4	15	10.89	-6.78	0.42	-3	-7
Roger Clemens	NYY	52.89	3.84	220.3	18	24	57.00	3.49	204	24	33	16.3	15	8.28	-4.11	0.35	-6	-9

This table shows the pitchers whose RA were most and least improved, rather than total value. Usually, these will be pitchers with relatively few numbers of innings, or who pitched deep in their worst starts. None of the pitchers on the most-affected list pitched more than 160 innings, while only three on the least-affected list pitched fewer than 200.

Willis Roberts benefits the most, with his RA dropping 1.83 runs from 5.72 to 3.89 when remove three starts. Chuck Finley is the only other pitcher who benefits by more than 1.5 runs. Not surprisingly, all of those most-improved pitchers had poor RA to begin with–only Joe Kennedy started with an RA below 5.00. It's interesting to note that Rob Bell, even with his three worst starts removed, only moves up to replacement level. Roberts and Lance Davis were the biggest beneficiaries in ranking, moving up 44 and 28 spots, respectively.

The pitchers least affected by removing three starts have mostly high innings-pitched totals, such that trimming 15 or so innings doesn't make a huge difference. They also tend to be better, more consistent pitchers. Roger Clemens was the model of consistency, with his RA only falling a third of a run when his worst starts are removed. Curt Schilling, Tom Glavine, Greg Maddux, Freddy Garcia, Joe Mays, and Jeff Suppan (one of these names is not like the others) also saw a drop of half a run or less. Suppan took the biggest hit in ranking, falling 23 spots from #69 to #92.

The message here is that removing an arbitrary number of starts can make a pitcher look better, but you need to give every pitcher the same benefit to see how much it really helps. Particularly flaky pitchers will improve the most; consistent pitchers the least. But after all this, isn't it easier to just look at Support-Neutral stats?

The table below shows all pitchers with 100 or more innings pitched in games started, with their worst three starts removed.

		Full Season					Worst 3 starts removed					Difference between Full and Worst 3 removed
NAME	TEAM	VALUE	RA	IP	Value Rank	RA Rank	VALUE	RA	IP	Value Rank	RA Rank	IP	R	RA of removed	VALUE	Season RA Change	Value Rank	RA Rank
A.J. Burnett	FLA	33.56	4.26	173.3	42	36	46.67	3.42	163	38	32	10.3	20	17.48	-13.11	0.84	4	4
Adam Eaton	SD	16.78	4.70	116.7	73	56	23.22	3.90	99.3	89	58	17.4	18	9.31	-6.44	0.81	-16	-2
Al Leiter	NYM	43.89	3.89	187.3	28	28	58.67	2.98	175	23	20	12.3	23	16.83	-14.78	0.91	5	8
Allen Levrault	MIL	-5.44	6.47	104.3	114	116	7.22	5.31	93.3	118	115	11	20	16.36	-12.67	1.17	-4	1
Albie Lopez	TB	-3.89	6.28	124.7	109	109	11.56	5.06	110.3	111	106	14.4	25	15.63	-15.44	1.22	-2	3
Andy Pettitte	NYY	30.78	4.62	200.7	45	51	43.89	3.89	187.3	42	57	13.4	22	14.78	-13.11	0.73	3	-6
Aaron Sele	SEA	49.00	3.93	213	22	29	58.78	3.40	203.7	22	31	9.3	16	15.48	-9.78	0.53	0	-2
Bartolo Colon	CLE	42.22	4.29	222.3	30	38	57.00	3.59	213	24	39	9.3	21	20.32	-14.78	0.70	6	-1
Bobby J. Jones	SD	-7.00	6.32	195	117	112	11.67	5.44	187	110	118	8	24	27.00	-18.67	0.88	7	-6
Brad Penny	FLA	44.67	4.04	205	27	32	55.11	3.36	187.7	30	30	17.3	22	11.45	-10.44	0.68	-3	2
Brad Radke	MIN	45.67	4.18	226	25	35	56.22	3.66	216.3	27	43	9.7	17	15.77	-10.56	0.52	-2	-8
Bryan Rekar	TB	-10.22	6.65	140.7	120	120	4.33	5.70	128	120	120	12.7	23	16.30	-14.56	0.96	0	0
Brian Anderson	ARI	-7.56	6.55	123.7	118	118	11.56	5.06	110.3	111	106	13.4	28	18.81	-19.11	1.49	7	12
Ben Sheets	MIL	11.89	5.29	151.3	85	85	27.22	4.23	138.3	75	77	13	24	16.62	-15.33	1.06	10	8
Brian Tollberg	SD	20.22	4.45	117.3	65	45	24.00	3.88	102	84	54	15.3	14	8.24	-3.78	0.57	-19	-9
Barry Zito	OAK	50.89	3.86	214.3	19	26	62.56	3.23	203.3	17	25	11	19	15.55	-11.67	0.63	2	1
Chris Carpenter	TOR	31.78	4.67	215.7	43	54	47.22	3.92	204.3	37	60	11.4	23	18.16	-15.44	0.75	6	-6
Chad Durbin	KC	10.33	5.48	179	91	94	24.22	4.71	168.3	83	100	10.7	21	17.66	-13.89	0.77	8	-6
Chuck Finley	CLE	-2.22	6.17	113.7	107	108	18.11	4.51	109.7	102	91	4	23	51.75	-20.33	1.66	5	17
Chris Holt	DET	-4.33	6.31	127	111	111	8.33	5.35	116	117	117	11	20	16.36	-12.67	0.95	-6	-6
Cory Lidle	OAK	41.33	4.02	188	31	30	55.22	3.20	177.3	29	24	10.7	21	17.66	-13.89	0.82	2	6
Chan Ho Park	LA	62.00	3.62	234	9	18	76.67	2.91	223	7	15	11	22	18.00	-14.67	0.71	2	3
Chris Reitsma	CIN	0.33	5.98	173	103	103	16.44	5.09	162.7	104	109	10.3	23	20.10	-16.11	0.89	-1	-6
C.C. Sabathia	CLE	27.22	4.64	180.3	49	53	41.22	3.84	171.3	46	51	9	20	20.00	-14.00	0.81	3	2
Curt Schilling	ARI	85.11	3.02	256.7	2	3	92.78	2.52	239.7	2	6	17	19	10.06	-7.67	0.50	0	-3
Dave Burba	CLE	-16.22	7.06	137.7	122	121	2.33	5.84	131	121	121	6.7	23	30.90	-18.56	1.22	1	0
David Cone	BOS	16.44	4.91	135.7	74	66	26.22	4.09	123.3	78	71	12.4	18	13.06	-9.78	0.82	-4	-5
Doug Davis	TEX	21.00	4.98	186	64	74	30.56	4.41	173.3	72	88	12.7	18	12.76	-9.56	0.57	-8	-14
Dustin Hermanson	STL	22.22	4.96	192.3	60	71	38.00	4.13	183	54	75	9.3	22	21.29	-15.78	0.83	6	-4
Darryl Kile	STL	68.56	3.29	227.3	6	7	76.78	2.70	209.7	6	10	17.6	20	10.23	-8.22	0.58	0	-3
Denny Neagle	COL	6.78	5.64	170.7	98	98	23.22	4.66	156.3	89	97	14.4	26	16.25	-16.44	0.98	9	1
Darren Oliver	TEX	-6.33	6.37	154	115	114	10.33	5.32	137	113	116	17	28	14.82	-16.67	1.05	2	-2
Dan Reichert	KC	-1.89	6.15	109.7	106	107	13.67	4.77	100	108	101	9.7	22	20.41	-15.56	1.38	-2	6
David Wells	CHW	12.11	4.92	100.7	84	68	18.56	4.00	83.3	101	66	17.4	18	9.31	-6.44	0.92	-17	2
Dave Williams	PIT	19.33	4.33	104	67	39	23.78	3.61	89.7	86	41	14.3	14	8.81	-4.44	0.71	-19	-2
Elmer Dessens	CIN	33.67	4.52	205	39	48	44.56	3.84	185.3	40	52	19.7	24	10.96	-10.89	0.68	-1	-4
Eric Gagne	LA	6.56	5.57	137.3	99	96	20.44	4.55	126.7	96	93	10.6	21	17.83	-13.89	1.03	3	3
Esteban Loaiza	TOR	12.44	5.38	180.7	83	89	25.78	4.64	170.7	80	95	10	20	18.00	-13.33	0.74	3	-6
Eric Milton	MIN	39.33	4.38	218	34	41	50.78	3.79	206.7	31	49	11.3	19	15.13	-11.44	0.59	3	-8
Frank Castillo	BOS	19.11	4.74	136.7	69	59	31.67	3.76	127	69	48	9.7	19	17.63	-12.56	0.98	0	11
Freddy Garcia	SEA	71.11	3.32	238.7	3	8	79.11	2.86	226.7	4	13	12	16	12.00	-8.00	0.46	-1	-5
Greg Maddux	ATL	69.33	3.32	233	4	9	75.56	2.84	215.3	8	11	17.7	18	9.15	-6.22	0.48	-4	-2
Glendon Rusch	NYM	18.33	5.08	179	71	77	30.78	4.38	170.7	71	85	8.3	18	19.52	-12.44	0.70	0	-8
Hideo Nomo	BOS	27.00	4.77	198	51	60	39.56	4.11	188.3	53	73	9.7	19	17.63	-12.56	0.66	-2	-13
Ismael Valdes	ANA	27.11	4.51	163.7	50	47	40.56	3.60	152.3	51	40	11.4	21	16.58	-13.44	0.90	-1	7
Jason Johnson	BAL	21.67	5.01	196	63	76	32.33	4.40	182	68	87	14	20	12.86	-10.67	0.60	-5	-11
Jamey Wright	MIL	14.78	5.32	194.7	79	86	33.56	4.32	179.3	66	83	15.4	29	16.95	-18.78	1.00	13	3
Jimmy Anderson	PIT	14.56	5.37	206.3	81	88	36.11	4.35	196.7	61	84	9.6	28	26.25	-21.56	1.02	20	4
Jason Bere	CHC	26.33	4.74	188	54	58	42.44	3.88	180.7	45	55	7.3	21	25.89	-16.11	0.85	9	3
John Burkett	ATL	63.22	3.41	219.3	8	11	71.44	2.86	204.7	11	12	14.6	18	11.10	-8.22	0.55	-3	-1
Joey Hamilton	TOR	-6.44	6.48	122.3	116	117	6.56	5.47	110.3	119	119	12	21	15.75	-13.00	1.01	-3	-2
Jimmy Haynes	MIL	21.89	4.84	169.3	61	62	36.22	3.95	159.3	60	64	10	21	18.90	-14.33	0.88	1	-2
Joe Kennedy	TB	15.44	4.82	117.7	76	61	26.33	3.72	104	77	46	13.7	20	13.14	-10.89	1.10	-1	15
Jon Lieber	CHC	50.89	4.03	232.3	19	31	60.00	3.50	216	21	34	16.3	20	11.04	-9.11	0.53	-2	-3
Jose Lima	DET	9.11	5.27	112.7	94	84	21.67	4.11	103	91	72	9.7	19	17.63	-12.56	1.16	3	12
Joe Mays	MIN	68.78	3.35	233.7	5	10	75.56	2.93	221.3	8	17	12.4	15	10.89	-6.78	0.42	-3	-7
Jose Mercedes	BAL	-0.44	6.02	182.3	105	105	14.11	5.26	172.7	107	114	9.6	21	19.69	-14.56	0.76	-2	-9
Jamie Moyer	SEA	55.78	3.61	209.7	15	15	66.78	2.91	194.7	15	16	15	21	12.60	-11.00	0.69	0	-1
Jeff Suppan	KC	25.56	4.95	218.3	56	69	33.56	4.52	203.3	66	92	15	18	10.80	-8.00	0.43	-10	-23
Julian Tavarez	CHC	12.67	5.26	154	82	83	29.22	4.22	147.3	73	76	6.7	21	28.21	-16.56	1.04	9	7
Josh Towers	BAL	18.78	4.72	131.7	70	57	26.22	3.94	114.3	78	61	17.4	19	9.83	-7.44	0.78	-8	-4
Javier Vazquez	MON	57.11	3.70	223.7	13	20	70.67	2.94	208	12	18	15.7	24	13.76	-13.56	0.76	1	2
Jarrod Washburn	ANA	39.89	4.14	193.3	33	34	49.11	3.57	181.7	34	36	11.6	17	13.19	-9.22	0.58	-1	-2
Jeff Weaver	DET	36.89	4.55	229.3	35	49	48.56	3.94	212.3	35	63	17	23	12.18	-11.67	0.61	0	-14
Kevin Appier	NYM	48.78	3.88	206.7	23	27	60.44	3.26	198.7	20	28	8	17	19.13	-11.67	0.61	3	-1
Kevin Brown	LA	35.22	3.23	114.3	38	6	41.22	2.27	99.3	46	4	15	16	9.60	-6.00	0.96	-8	2
Kevin Jarvis	SD	21.89	4.98	193.3	61	73	35.56	4.25	182.3	63	78	11	21	17.18	-13.67	0.74	-2	-5
Kevin Millwood	ATL	14.67	4.91	121	80	67	23.78	4.07	110.7	86	70	10.3	16	13.98	-9.11	0.84	-6	-3
Kenny Rogers	TEX	-7.56	6.56	120.7	118	119	10.00	5.19	111	114	112	9.7	24	22.27	-17.56	1.37	4	7
Kirk Rueter	SF	25.22	4.84	195.3	57	63	40.56	4.03	185.3	51	69	10	22	19.80	-15.33	0.81	6	-6
Kevin Tapani	CHC	19.22	4.97	168.3	68	72	36.78	3.91	158.7	57	59	9.6	24	22.50	-17.56	1.06	11	13
Kip Wells	CHW	-0.22	6.02	104.7	104	104	13.00	4.78	96	109	102	8.7	19	19.66	-13.22	1.24	-5	2
Kerry Wood	CHC	46.22	3.61	174.3	24	17	55.56	2.90	161.3	28	14	13	18	12.46	-9.33	0.71	-4	3
Lance Davis	CIN	10.89	5.08	106.3	87	78	24.00	3.82	99	84	50	7.3	18	22.19	-13.11	1.26	3	28
Livan Hernandez	SF	8.11	5.68	226.7	96	99	21.44	5.10	213.7	92	110	13	22	15.23	-13.33	0.58	4	-11
Luke Prokopec	LA	15.11	4.96	130.7	77	70	25.78	4.01	116.7	80	67	14	20	12.86	-10.67	0.95	-3	3
Mark Buehrle	CHW	58.56	3.62	221.3	11	19	68.33	3.01	206	14	21	15.3	20	11.76	-9.78	0.60	-3	-2
Matt Clement	FLA	10.89	5.42	169.3	87	92	21.00	4.79	156	95	103	13.3	19	12.86	-10.11	0.63	-8	-11
Mike Hampton	COL	-2.67	6.12	203	108	106	16.44	5.23	192.7	104	113	10.3	26	22.72	-19.11	0.89	4	-7
Matt Morris	STL	58.22	3.58	216.3	12	14	77.56	2.62	206.3	5	7	10	26	23.40	-19.33	0.96	7	7
Mark Mulder	OAK	60.89	3.61	229.3	10	16	73.22	2.95	216.3	10	19	13	21	14.54	-12.33	0.66	0	-3
Mike Mussina	NYY	65.44	3.42	228.7	7	12	80.78	2.67	218.7	3	8	10	22	19.80	-15.33	0.75	4	4
Mike Thurman	MON	7.11	5.56	145.7	97	95	19.78	4.68	134.7	99	98	11	20	16.36	-12.67	0.88	-2	-3
Omar Daal	PHI	23.78	4.85	185.7	59	64	35.89	4.13	172.3	62	74	13.4	21	14.10	-12.11	0.72	-3	-10
Paul Abbott	SEA	28.33	4.42	161	47	43	37.22	3.73	147.3	55	47	13.7	18	11.82	-8.89	0.69	-8	-4
Pedro Astacio	COL	3.00	5.81	141	101	101	19.44	4.65	129.7	100	96	11.3	24	19.12	-16.44	1.16	1	5
Paul Wilson	TB	1.78	5.88	131.7	102	102	17.78	4.69	122.7	103	99	9	22	22.00	-16.00	1.18	-1	3
Pedro Martinez	BOS	44.78	2.54	116.7	26	1	47.33	1.65	98	36	1	18.7	15	7.22	-2.56	0.89	-10	0
Pat Rapp	ANA	16.00	5.13	165	75	81	26.78	4.42	152.7	76	90	12.3	19	13.90	-10.78	0.71	-1	-9
Randy Johnson	ARI	87.78	2.74	242.7	1	2	95.56	2.17	224.3	1	3	18.4	20	9.78	-7.78	0.58	0	-1
Ramon Ortiz	ANA	26.11	4.87	208.7	55	65	36.67	4.32	196	58	81	12.7	19	13.46	-10.56	0.56	-3	-16
Rob Bell	TEX	-16.78	7.44	105.3	123	123	-0.44	6.05	89.3	122	122	16	27	15.19	-16.33	1.39	1	1
Rocky Biddle	CHW	-4.22	6.33	113.7	110	113	9.89	5.14	103.3	115	111	10.4	21	18.17	-14.11	1.19	-5	2
Roger Clemens	NYY	52.89	3.84	220.3	18	24	57.00	3.49	204	24	33	16.3	15	8.28	-4.11	0.35	-6	-9
Ryan Dempster	FLA	17.89	5.24	211.3	72	82	35.44	4.42	201.7	64	89	9.6	24	22.50	-17.56	0.82	8	-7
Roy Halladay	TOR	33.67	3.06	103	39	4	35.33	2.30	86	65	5	17	13	6.88	-1.67	0.76	-26	-1
Rick Helling	TEX	9.78	5.59	215.7	92	97	24.67	4.92	205	82	104	10.7	22	18.50	-14.89	0.67	10	-7
Roy Oswalt	HOU	41.11	3.10	127.7	32	5	49.67	2.11	115	33	2	12.7	17	12.05	-8.56	0.99	-1	3
Robert Person	PHI	35.89	4.45	208.3	37	46	50.00	3.69	195	32	45	13.3	23	15.56	-14.11	0.76	5	1
Rick Reed	NYM	36.78	3.54	134.7	36	13	45.22	2.70	123.3	39	9	11.4	16	12.63	-8.44	0.84	-3	4
Ryan Rupe	TB	-4.56	6.29	141.7	112	110	14.33	4.99	128	106	105	13.7	28	18.39	-18.89	1.30	6	5
Russ Ortiz	SF	55.78	3.70	218.7	15	21	66.44	3.08	204.7	16	22	14	20	12.86	-10.67	0.63	-1	-1
Randy Wolf	PHI	33.67	4.07	157	39	33	43.78	3.26	143.7	43	27	13.3	19	12.86	-10.11	0.81	-4	6
Shawn Chacon	COL	10.67	5.40	160	89	90	28.11	4.30	148.7	74	80	11.3	25	19.91	-17.44	1.10	15	10
Scott Elarton	HOU	-14.89	7.22	109.7	121	122	-3.89	6.36	97.7	123	123	12	19	14.25	-11.00	0.86	-2	-1
Shawn Estes	SF	28.00	4.42	159	48	42	40.89	3.57	151.3	49	37	7.7	18	21.04	-12.89	0.85	-1	5
Steve Parris	TOR	10.44	5.11	105.7	90	79	21.44	3.94	93.7	92	62	12	19	14.25	-11.00	1.17	-2	17
Sidney Ponson	BAL	9.22	5.40	138.3	93	91	20.22	4.56	126.3	98	94	12	19	14.25	-11.00	0.84	-5	-3
Shane Reynolds	HOU	26.78	4.68	182.7	52	55	40.78	3.85	170.7	50	53	12	22	16.50	-14.00	0.83	2	2
Scott Schoeneweis	ANA	14.89	5.35	205.3	78	87	36.67	4.32	196	58	81	9.3	28	27.10	-21.78	1.03	20	6
Steve Sparks	DET	43.78	4.29	230.7	29	37	56.33	3.64	215	26	42	15.7	23	13.18	-12.56	0.65	3	-5
Steve Trachsel	NYM	26.78	4.61	173.7	52	50	44.11	3.57	163.7	41	38	10	24	21.60	-17.33	1.04	11	12
Terry Adams	LA	24.89	4.36	136.3	58	40	31.00	3.68	120	70	44	16.3	17	9.39	-6.11	0.68	-12	-4
Tony Armas Jr.	MON	30.11	4.62	196.7	46	52	41.00	4.02	186	48	68	10.7	18	15.14	-10.89	0.61	-2	-16
Tom Glavine	ATL	54.22	3.78	219.3	17	22	61.89	3.29	205.3	19	29	14	17	10.93	-7.67	0.49	-2	-7
Tim Hudson	OAK	56.67	3.83	235	14	23	68.56	3.25	224.3	13	26	10.7	19	15.98	-11.89	0.58	1	-3
Ted Lilly	NYY	-4.67	6.40	104	113	115	9.89	5.09	97.3	115	108	6.7	19	25.52	-14.56	1.32	-2	7
Todd Ritchie	PIT	20.22	5.12	207.3	65	80	37.00	4.29	195	56	79	12.3	25	18.29	-16.78	0.83	9	1
Tanyon Sturtze	TB	31.00	4.42	177	44	44	43.78	3.56	161.7	43	35	15.3	23	13.53	-12.78	0.86	1	9
Tim Wakefield	BOS	11.78	4.99	104.7	86	75	20.44	3.97	90.7	96	65	14	18	11.57	-8.67	1.02	-10	10
Wade Miller	HOU	50.33	3.86	212	21	25	62.22	3.13	195.3	18	23	16.7	23	12.40	-11.89	0.73	3	2
Willis Roberts	BAL	3.22	5.72	102.3	100	100	21.22	3.89	90.3	94	56	12	26	19.50	-18.00	1.83	6	44
Woody Williams	SD	8.67	5.46	145	95	93	23.33	4.40	131	88	86	14	24	15.43	-14.67	1.07	7	7