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Prospectus Hit List for May 10
Hit List for May 9
Hit List for May 11
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.
| Rk | Tm | W | L | W1 | W2 | W3 | HLF | AHLF | Win Div% | Win WC% | Playoff% | 1-Day | 7-Day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 20 | 10 | 21.4 | 22.1 | 21.7 | .710 | .726 | 79.3% | 17.1% | 96.4% | -0.2% | 4.7% |
| Negotiating with Josh Hamilton after a four-homer game might not be the strongest strategy for the Rangers. At least wait until after a two-homer game. | |||||||||||||
| 2 |  | 20 | 11 | 23.0 | 23.7 | 22.8 | .722 | .705 | 70.2% | 20.6% | 90.8% | 0.8% | 6.6% |
| The Cardinals have scored exactly twice the runs that the Pirates have. | |||||||||||||
| 3 |  | 20 | 11 | 16.9 | 17.1 | 17.1 | .573 | .593 | 17.6% | 30.5% | 48.1% | 0.7% | -2.4% |
| Used to be beating the Yankees in the ninth was impossible owing to Mariano Rivera. Now that it's super easy to do so, the Rays should get no credit whatsoever for scoring four and coming from behind Wednesday. | |||||||||||||
| 4 |  | 20 | 11 | 18.2 | 18.2 | 18.7 | .605 | .586 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 27.5% | 1.9% | 14.1% |
| You get the feeling that if the Dodgers opened an inning with a runner at third, Don Mattingly would bunt him back to second. | |||||||||||||
| 5 |  | 18 | 12 | 16.5 | 18.3 | 18.2 | .592 | .572 | 4.4% | 7.6% | 12.0% | -0.9% | 4.6% |
| When the Nationals and PIrates get together, you'll have to set your barn on fire yourself. | |||||||||||||
| 6 |  | 19 | 11 | 16.7 | 15.5 | 14.2 | .546 | .565 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | -0.3% | 0.4% |
| Radar revealed the Baltimore area to be completely clear, except for one patch of steady rain over Camden Yards. After getting beat by a combined score of 24-6 the past two games, one wonders if the Orioles were in any way responsible... nah. | |||||||||||||
| 7 |  | 17 | 14 | 17.5 | 16.4 | 16.0 | .539 | .559 | 1.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | -0.2% | 2.1% |
| Brandon Morrow's strikeout totals over the past seven games: 3, 4, 2, 3, 9, 8, 10. Detect a pattern? | |||||||||||||
| 8 |  | 16 | 14 | 16.1 | 16.2 | 15.5 | .531 | .551 | 56.7% | 24.4% | 81.2% | 0.8% | -7.7% |
| Lost in the hullabaloo over David Robertson's blown save is that Mariano Rivera blew saves occasionally too. [checks record book] Oh, no wait. He didn't. Never mind. | |||||||||||||
| 9 |  | 15 | 17 | 16.8 | 17.7 | 17.9 | .527 | .547 | 9.3% | 7.7% | 17.0% | -0.1% | -9.3% |
| Jake Peavy (1.89 ERA, 2.16 FIP) is so good the White Sox might think about moving him to the bullpen. | |||||||||||||
| 10 |  | 19 | 13 | 18.4 | 17.5 | 16.4 | .557 | .537 | 34.8% | 22.9% | 57.7% | 0.2% | 4.0% |
| In seven innings Tim Hudson struck out one batter. That batter? Cubs pitcher Paul Maholm. | |||||||||||||
| 11 |  | 17 | 13 | 14.5 | 15.6 | 14.3 | .511 | .531 | 30.8% | 14.9% | 45.7% | -1.3% | 6.4% |
| Goodness gracious, Asdrubal Cabrera: .337/.420/.531. | |||||||||||||
| 12 |  | 14 | 17 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 16.9 | .510 | .490 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| The Astros have given Jed Lowrie a chance at shortstop. He's hitting .301/.387/.473, and is fourth in baseball in OPS by shortstops. Check back later to see if his strong defensive metrics hold up. | |||||||||||||
| 13 |  | 15 | 18 | 16.0 | 15.6 | 15.2 | .468 | .488 | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| I forgot to mention before the season that Jason Vargas (2.79 ERA, 0.97 WHIP) is a great sleeper candidate. I was thinking it. I just forgot to tell you. Swear! | |||||||||||||
| 14 |  | 16 | 15 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 15.8 | .508 | .488 | 20.9% | 20.6% | 41.6% | 0.2% | -9.4% |
| The Marlins just played nine games in a row on the road. They won eight of them. | |||||||||||||
| 15 |  | 16 | 14 | 15.7 | 14.2 | 14.8 | .506 | .486 | 13.0% | 33.6% | 46.6% | 0.0% | 2.5% |
| Aroldis Chapman hit 100.6 mph. against the Brewers, with an 87.2 mph slider. How do you hit that? The Brewers don't know either. | |||||||||||||
| 16 |  | 14 | 18 | 15.9 | 15.6 | 13.6 | .462 | .482 | 20.7% | 52.3% | 72.9% | -1.7% | -0.2% |
| Albert Pujols is thisclose to the Mendoza line. Who would have thought that would be good news? | |||||||||||||
| 17 |  | 15 | 15 | 14.7 | 13.0 | 12.4 | .459 | .479 | 59.1% | 11.4% | 70.5% | 0.4% | 6.9% |
| Is Austin Jackson this good (.319/.391/.513)? Yes! (Maybe!) ((No!)) | |||||||||||||
| 18 |  | 15 | 16 | 14.6 | 15.6 | 16.4 | .496 | .476 | 36.2% | 7.6% | 43.8% | -0.3% | -11.2% |
| Over his past six starts, Tim Lincecum somehow has a 5.46 ERA while somehow not allowing a home run. | |||||||||||||
| 19 |  | 12 | 18 | 14.2 | 14.8 | 13.8 | .456 | .476 | 23.5% | 31.9% | 55.4% | 1.3% | -0.3% |
| Clay Buchholz has allowed 33 earned runs. The Nationals' entire rotation has allowed 47 earned runs. | |||||||||||||
| 20 |  | 18 | 13 | 13.6 | 13.9 | 15.4 | .492 | .472 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.3% | -0.3% | 0.7% |
| Even after beating the Phillies three straight, the Mets' run differential is worse than the Phillies' run differential. The Mets' record, meanwhile, is 18-13. The Phillies are 14-18. | |||||||||||||
| 21 |  | 16 | 15 | 13.8 | 12.8 | 12.7 | .446 | .466 | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Other than one well-timed hit, Brandon Inge shows no signs of not being Brandon Inge | |||||||||||||
| 22 |  | 14 | 18 | 14.8 | 15.6 | 17.5 | .484 | .464 | 23.9% | 7.3% | 31.3% | -0.9% | -2.3% |
| JJ Puts allowed four home runs in 2010, and he allowed four home runs in 2011, and he has allowed four home runs in 2012. | |||||||||||||
| 23 |  | 13 | 18 | 13.2 | 14.9 | 17.1 | .470 | .450 | 0.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | -0.1% | 0.9% |
| The sooner Bryan LaHair goes back to being nobody, the sooner we can all open up our browsers without fear of LaHair-related puns. | |||||||||||||
| 24 |  | 14 | 18 | 15.0 | 14.1 | 15.0 | .453 | .434 | 36.4% | 20.8% | 57.2% | -1.6% | -1.1% |
| When the Phillies score six runs they're supposed to win by five, not lose by four. | |||||||||||||
| 25 |  | 13 | 17 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 12.9 | .437 | .418 | 8.4% | 3.3% | 11.7% | -1.4% | 0.8% |
| Jason Giambi (2 for 2, walk, .412 OBP) is the old market inefficiency. | |||||||||||||
| 26 |  | 11 | 19 | 11.7 | 11.8 | 11.6 | .385 | .404 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | -0.1% | -0.0% |
| While the Red Sox muffed fly balls, handing runs to their opponents, the Royals played solid defense. Odd from the team that employs Yuniesky Betancourt. | |||||||||||||
| 27 |  | 14 | 16 | 12.0 | 11.1 | 12.9 | .417 | .398 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | -0.6% |
| By ERA, the Pirates have the ninth-best pitching staff in baseball this year. It's a shame they're paired with the 412th best offense. | |||||||||||||
| 28 |  | 13 | 18 | 12.4 | 12.2 | 12.7 | .406 | .387 | 16.2% | 36.4% | 52.6% | 1.3% | -1.7% |
| Zack Greinke gave up two hits and struck out 11 over eight innings while walking nobody. If the Brewers remain in last place, will he become available? | |||||||||||||
| 29 |  | 11 | 21 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | .398 | .379 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 14.1% | 0.8% | -7.8% |
| Sure the Padres are in last place now, but would they be much better with Heath Bell (278 blow saves) and Adrian Gonzalez (.279/.341/.393 )? | |||||||||||||
| 30 |  | 8 | 22 | 8.7 | 9.5 | 10.2 | .303 | .320 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | -0.9% |
| When Carl Pavano and his flying mustache of sexiness can't win a game, you know the team is in trouble. | |||||||||||||
Can the Astros break out of 0 percent playoff odds?