Welcome to Baseball Prospectus! Click Here to Subscribe Today! Already a member? Login | Forgot Password
Prospectus Hit List for May 14
Hit List for May 11
Hit List for May 15
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.
| Rk | Tm | W | L | W1 | W2 | W3 | HLF | AHLF | Win Div% | Win WC% | Playoff% | 1-Day | 7-Day |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 23 | 12 | 25.1 | 25.6 | 25.4 | .708 | .724 | 82.0% | 14.4% | 96.5% | -0.4% | 2.6% |
| What is more surprising, that Josh Hamilton is slugging .866 or that he has only 13 walks? Aren't we reaching the point where pitchers should walk Hamilton twice in each at-bat just in case? | |||||||||||||
| 2 |  | 20 | 14 | 23.5 | 24.6 | 23.8 | .676 | .658 | 69.9% | 20.4% | 90.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lance Lynn lost! Lance Lynn lost! The spell is broken! The curse of Joel Pineiro is no more! | |||||||||||||
| 3 |  | 23 | 11 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 21.0 | .630 | .612 | 23.3% | 6.8% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 14.9% |
| Some teams can complain about having lots of important players on the disabled list but only the Dodgers can say they lost just one guy and also their entire offense. | |||||||||||||
| 4 |  | 21 | 13 | 18.9 | 21.7 | 21.5 | .611 | .592 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | -0.5% | 0.4% |
| Edwin Jackson shouldn't feel too bad. He gave up only two of Joey Votto's three homers. | |||||||||||||
| 5 |  | 19 | 15 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 18.1 | .548 | .568 | 56.9% | 24.5% | 81.4% | -0.4% | 6.1% |
| In his return to the mound, Andy Pettitte had a no-hitter through 3 2/3 innings and a no-winner through 6 1/3. | |||||||||||||
| 6 |  | 22 | 13 | 19.1 | 18.2 | 17.4 | .547 | .567 | 0.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% | -1.2% |
| At least some small portion of the Orioles' success this year is due to the return of Nick Markakis' power stroke. After dropping to .405 last season, Markakis's slugging percentage is up to .455. He has never had an isolated power higher than .200, and sits at .201. | |||||||||||||
| 7 |  | 21 | 14 | 18.5 | 18.3 | 18.1 | .542 | .562 | 17.2% | 29.9% | 47.1% | 1.2% | -13.3% |
| It is not only possible, it is probable that Matt Joyce is the best hitter in the Rays lineup. That may or may not be good news. | |||||||||||||
| 8 |  | 22 | 13 | 20.8 | 19.4 | 18.7 | .578 | .558 | 35.8% | 23.1% | 58.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| The Braves are on pace to score 875 runs, which used to not be all that much but now it is. Ah, how baseball has changed. | |||||||||||||
| 9 |  | 19 | 16 | 19.8 | 18.5 | 17.4 | .534 | .554 | 1.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | -1.1% | -2.2% |
| Ricky Romero walked five Twins hitters. As walking five hitters has never been made into a t-shirt by Joe Maddon ("5 BB = 1 Win"), I'm fairly certain it's a bad idea. | |||||||||||||
| 10 |  | 16 | 19 | 17.4 | 18.8 | 18.5 | .505 | .525 | 10.1% | 8.7% | 18.8% | -0.4% | -2.5% |
| Phil Humber got shelled again. Man, can that guy ever do anything right? | |||||||||||||
| 11 |  | 15 | 19 | 17.2 | 17.6 | 16.7 | .489 | .509 | 23.9% | 30.4% | 54.4% | 0.5% | 8.5% |
| Red Sox starting pitching has allowed a total of six runs in the past three games. Think that might be a reason they've won all three? Nah, it was really that nobody was playing golf or eating chicken. | |||||||||||||
| 12 |  | 18 | 16 | 15.3 | 16.7 | 15.4 | .481 | .501 | 26.4% | 17.4% | 43.8% | -1.2% | 2.4% |
| Johnny Damon and his .159/.196/.227 line have led off in eight of the past nine games yet somehow the Indians have managed to go 4-5. It's almost as if it takes more than one guy to win or lose a... naahhh! | |||||||||||||
| 13 |  | 18 | 16 | 17.0 | 17.1 | 17.2 | .509 | .489 | 20.8% | 20.1% | 40.9% | 1.1% | -4.9% |
| Seven innings of two-run ball lowered Carlos Zambrano's ERA to 1.88, causing the Cubs to ask the eternal question, "How come we can't have nice things?" Naw, just kidding, they're probably still happy to be rid of him. | |||||||||||||
| 14 |  | 17 | 17 | 16.4 | 17.3 | 18.0 | .505 | .485 | 33.6% | 8.5% | 42.1% | -1.2% | -11.0% |
| Hector Sanchez has 61 plate appearances and one walk. He would like to apologize for the blemish on his record. | |||||||||||||
| 15 |  | 16 | 20 | 17.1 | 16.9 | 16.5 | .462 | .482 | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | -1.0% |
| Kevin Millwood is on his sixth organization in four seasons. After Sunday's performance, Jack Zduriencik owes a Mother's Day card to the Red Sox, Yankees, Rangers, Rockies, and Orioles. | |||||||||||||
| 16 |  | 18 | 17 | 16.2 | 15.1 | 15.1 | .460 | .479 | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| On Sunday, five hitters in the A's lineup exited the day hitting under .200. But, good news, only two of them were hitting under .100 and only one of those was hitting second. | |||||||||||||
| 17 |  | 17 | 17 | 16.3 | 14.8 | 14.0 | .457 | .477 | 62.9% | 10.9% | 73.8% | 1.9% | 10.0% |
| Doug Fister has not wished his mother a happy mother's day. Doug Fister is still angry. Doug Fister's mom didn't give him her maiden name. | |||||||||||||
| 18 |  | 19 | 15 | 15.2 | 15.5 | 17.2 | .492 | .472 | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | -0.8% | 1.2% |
| Reasons for optimism: Nieuwenhuis anagrams to 'nu-uh weinies.' | |||||||||||||
| 19 |  | 15 | 19 | 17.7 | 16.6 | 17.6 | .492 | .472 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Has Carlos Lee been worth his contract? I'm not sure you'd get much argument in favor of that. Has Carlos Lee been worth a roster spot? Now that's worth arguing about. | |||||||||||||
| 20 |  | 17 | 16 | 17.0 | 14.9 | 15.7 | .488 | .469 | 13.3% | 31.5% | 44.8% | -0.5% | 4.3% |
| Things I would have lost all my money betting against: Bronson Arroyo has the best K/BB ratio (6.60) in the National League. | |||||||||||||
| 21 |  | 15 | 20 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 19.3 | .480 | .461 | 24.4% | 6.8% | 31.2% | 0.2% | -0.7% |
| Joe Saunders is a known quantity, like when you leave milk out overnight. After Saunders had a 1.24 ERA after five starts, it's reassuring to know, two starts later, that yes, he's still Joe Saunders. | |||||||||||||
| 22 |  | 15 | 20 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 14.3 | .438 | .458 | 17.9% | 54.2% | 72.1% | -0.4% | -8.4% |
| Since his home run six games ago, Albert Pujols is hitting .192/.222/.192. (Note: not funny unless you are a vindictive Cardinals fan.) | |||||||||||||
| 23 |  | 16 | 19 | 16.9 | 16.4 | 17.5 | .477 | .457 | 36.2% | 22.4% | 58.6% | 0.7% | -7.9% |
| Cole Hamels is so old-school he spent his suspension working as a haberdasher's apprentice. | |||||||||||||
| 24 |  | 14 | 20 | 14.7 | 15.9 | 18.1 | .461 | .441 | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
| The further we get from 2010, the more likely it is that Geovany Soto really is just a .155 hitter. | |||||||||||||
| 25 |  | 13 | 20 | 14.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | .410 | .429 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| Things you don't want to hear as a Royals fan: Is Yuniesky Betancourt really out-hitting Alex Gordon? Yes. Yes he is. | |||||||||||||
| 26 |  | 15 | 19 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 14.5 | .424 | .405 | 16.3% | 36.4% | 52.7% | -1.0% | 4.4% |
| Now that Mat Gamel is on the Disabled List, someone is going to have to step up and not fulfill expectations. | |||||||||||||
| 27 |  | 16 | 18 | 14.1 | 13.1 | 14.3 | .423 | .404 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| The Pirates need three more runs to reach 100 on the season. With 128 games left to go you have to give them at least a 50/50 shot. | |||||||||||||
| 28 |  | 13 | 20 | 14.9 | 12.6 | 13.5 | .410 | .391 | 8.7% | 3.7% | 12.5% | 0.4% | 5.1% |
| Troy Tulowitzki is hitting .258/.321/.395. There must be something toxic in the ink they use to sign big contracts. | |||||||||||||
| 29 |  | 12 | 23 | 13.9 | 13.5 | 15.1 | .389 | .370 | 9.9% | 3.6% | 13.6% | 0.9% | -6.5% |
| The Padres' leading hitter, by OPS, is Mark Kotsay, who I'm pretty sure died several years ago. | |||||||||||||
| 30 |  | 10 | 24 | 10.3 | 11.4 | 11.6 | .318 | .335 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | -0.0% | -0.4% |
| Scott Diamond is interesting for two reasons. 1. He threw seven shutout innings for the second game in a row. 2. Scott Diamond is clearly a porn name. | |||||||||||||
Joey Votto hits only three home runs.