Advance Scouting Report
Filed by: Nick J. Faleris
Player Name: Brandon Phillips |
Context: 12 Games; 9/9/13 to 9/22/13 |
|
1st P |
K |
Hard |
AVE |
||||||||
TOTALS |
55 |
49 |
11 |
15 |
9 |
4 |
12 |
11 |
.224 |
.278 |
.245 |
.523 |
Sample vs. Season: |
Average/on-base/slugging down from season lines; slumping, will give away at-bats; brutal stretch of at-bats. |
SCOUTING BREAKDOWN
Physical/Health: |
Quadriceps injured at beginning of month, lingering effects likely; slow out of box and ball not jumping off bat when squared, compared to past viewings; listed 6’0”, 200 pounds; well put together; good athleticism and strength; tender lower half limiting power at plate and mobility on bases. |
Hit Tool |
|
Aggressive hitter susceptible to expansion of zone below the knees; strong bat-to-ball ability; can vacillate between slashing line-drive approach and torque-driven swing geared to pull side; currently struggling heavily when behind in count; tendency to go out of zone and roll over soft stuff; quad injury may be lingering, as swing lacks lower-half explosion and squared balls are not carrying in the outfield; with step lost out of the box and limited power, overall hit tool is a grade below previous viewings. — Grade: 4 |
|
vs. LHP |
vs. RHP |
Aggressive early in count against LHP, with first-pitch swings in nearly half of at-bats; just one hit in 12 plate appearances against opposite-side pitching; has struggled to get barrel through on inner half, rolling over soft stuff down; just one hard struck ball vs. LHP (flyout); historically not a bad oppo-side hitter – current splits likely result of overall struggles, rather than issues unique to LHP. |
Even with struggles, shows ability to produce hard contact up the middle vs. same-side pitching, with focus on middle-out location; best early in count, with eight of 10 “hard contact” outcomes vs. RHP occurring in first two pitches of applicable at-bats; will chase soft stuff down and out of zone late in count, with likelihood of bad swings increased as at-bats extend. |
Notable At-bats |
||
Date |
Description |
|
9/14/13 |
Third at-bat vs. Hellweg (RHP): down 1-2 in count, hanging curve squared but ball did not carry – ended up hard-struck ball to moderate depth CF; pitch typically driven by hitter, lacked explosion in lower half; first observation quad injury may still be limiting lower-half strength. |
|
9/14/13 |
First at-bat vs. Figaro (RHP): chopper up the middle, hitter was slow out of the box and clocked 4.6 to first base – well below-average and atypical of hitter; continued evidence quad injury (or effects thereof) may be lingering. |
|
9/17/13 |
Second at-bat vs. Lyles (RHP): first pitch, FB (92) middle-up for swinging strike; second pitch, FB (93) down-out, hitter let travel and squared up for line drive single to RF; brief at-bat but demonstrative of hitter’s bat-to-ball ability and feel for barrel; lots of bad at-bats during this spread of games, this at-bat was hitter in his element. |
|
9/17/13 |
First at-bat vs. Humber (RHP): first pitch FB (91) down-out, fouled away; second pitch, FB (91) middle-in, turned on for double to left field; still able to clear inner half against average FB velo, even with lessened explosiveness in lower half. |
|
Power |
||
Power is not currently manifesting; hitter is able to barrel the ball, but struck balls lack explosion observed in past viewings; current game more tailored to gap-to-gap slashing; proposed explanation for lack of current pop is lingering tenderness in lower half from early-month quad injury; not currently a threat to hit for power, but still capable of turning on average velocity and taking the ball up the middle and oppo. – Grade: Low 4 |
||
vs. LHP |
vs. RHP |
|
Non-existent power against LHP during observed period; one “hard contact” outcome even with multiple squared offerings. |
Power not currently manifesting; hitter demonstrating ability to square pitches, but saddled with “wet newspaper” production; not a power threat. |
|
Notable At-bats |
|
Date |
Description |
9/14/13 |
Third at-bat vs. Hellweg (RHP): first pitch, FB (93) up-in for ball; second pitch, FB (93) down-out for strike looking; third pitch, CB (81) down-out for swinging strike, hitter expanding; fourth pitch, CB (82) middle-out, hung, squared for F8; hitter produced hard contact but ball lacked any carry once struck; in past, would have been ball hitter drives for extra bases. |
Speed/ Baserunning |
Clocked one slightly below-average time to first and one well below-average time; generally tick above-average runner; observed speed down, but reads and jumps seem intact; still threat to steal off strength of reads, jumps; likely not risk to bunt for hit. |
Conclusions and Means of Attack |
Hitter is struggling greatly to find success at the plate; ability to find the ball with barrel still present, but production limited to line-drive approach with little threat of power; plate coverage light on inner half and hitter can be enticed to chase down when behind in count; hitter is aggressive and can get impatient as at-bats extend; soft stuff down and away and hard stuff in as put-away pitches; go after hard and don’t give away bases – biggest threat is as baserunner forcing fastballs to Votto and Bruce. Late-inning matchups, don’t let hitter dictate bullpen usage; plan for Choo/Votto/Bruce and have confidence arm can attack hitter; still dangerous line-drive bat that will spray gap to gap, no reason to give away pitches in fat of the plate; premium velocity in and quality secondaries away should be roadmap.
|
Matchup Stats at a Glance |
|
First Pitch Swing |
15/55; 27.2 percent |
Bunt Threat (Sac, Push, Drag) |
Will show sacrifice with a runner on first and/or second base; down trend in speed out of the box makes bunt for hit less likely. |
Defensive Positioning |
Straight up. |
Outfield |
Straight up. |
Splits |
|
vs. LHP |
.100/.250/.100 |
vs. RHP |
.256/.279/.282 |
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I am not qualified to express an opinion on dangers of further injury, particularly when I do not have knowledge of specifics regarding any particular current ailment. I think the Reds are looking to win a World Series and will continue to try and run out the best players they can to achieve that -- can't fault them at all if they did in fact decide to allow Phillips to play at less than 100% (I mean, who is really at 100% by the end of the season anyway, right?).