Quantcast
Welcome to Baseball Prospectus! Click Here to Subscribe Today! Already a member? Login | Forgot Password

Prospectus Hit List for April 7



by Matthew Kory

Hit List for April 4 Hit List for April 8
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

This Hit List leads the league, but is it the wrong kind of league-leading!?

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div%Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

4

3

4.9

5.4

5.2

.628

.647

44.8%

22.8%

67.7%

-4.2%

0.2%

The re-signing of Yunel Escobar was met with anger and scorn by the Rays� gay fan.
2

4

1

3.3

3.5

3.3

.620

.638

59.2%

10.0%

69.2%

-2.3%

10.4%

Rather than sign Stephen Drew, the Tigers are content to play Andrew Romine, a 28-year-old with a .269 career major-league slugging percentage. Wins? Who needs those? A draft pick though, those are forever!
3

4

2

4.6

4.3

4.2

.606

.625

21.2%

16.7%

37.9%

-2.9%

7.6%

Justin Smoak is hitting and they�re baseballs!
4

4

2

4.1

4.6

4.7

.613

.594

23.0%

20.5%

43.5%

0.1%

6.9%

B.J. Upton has 11 strikeouts and four total bases in 25 plate appearances. I get why he�s playing, but does he really have to bat second?
5

3

3

3.4

4.1

4.2

.568

.588

26.6%

18.2%

44.8%

3.9%

-0.2%

Not sure which has been worse, the sewage/plumbing in O.co coliseum or new closer Jim Johnson. How many pounds of raw sewage is equivalent to a 15.00 ERA?
6

4

2

3.9

3.7

3.8

.597

.578

62.2%

12.6%

74.8%

0.5%

3.5%

Baseball is too easy for Bryce Harper, who seems convinced it will only be challenge enough if he increases the difficulty setting by breaking some part of his body.
7

4

2

4.0

4.2

4.3

.590

.571

19.9%

13.8%

33.7%

2.4%

5.8%

Mark Reynolds made a great diving defensive play and a heads-up baserunning play. These are either signs that things are looking up, or signs of the apocalypse, depending on your point of view.
8

5

3

4.2

4.9

4.6

.588

.568

63.5%

23.9%

87.4%

1.6%

-6.6%

Two homers for Matt Kemp. If he�s hitting like that, PECOTA�s 99 win projection is going to be low.
9

5

2

5.5

5.0

4.9

.578

.558

2.5%

4.0%

6.5%

-0.1%

2.3%

The highest-scoring team in baseball is the Miami Marlins. To quote a great American, early is as early does.
10

5

2

4.5

3.7

3.6

.570

.550

26.7%

35.7%

62.4%

-4.2%

12.9%

No team has homered more than the Giants who are all enjoying the upside of Barry Bonds cooties.
11

3

3

3.3

3.7

3.6

.516

.536

8.3%

6.8%

15.1%

2.4%

-0.5%

The White Sox lead baseball in getting hit by pitches which makes me think word that A.J. Pierzynski signed with Boston hasn�t made its way around the league yet.
12

4

2

3.9

3.5

3.3

.550

.531

14.3%

10.6%

24.9%

2.4%

3.2%

Pedro Alvarez has three hits in 22 at-bats. Two of them are home runs. Yup.
13

3

3

2.8

3.2

3.0

.510

.530

16.4%

19.1%

35.5%

3.0%

2.9%

The Yankees leading hitters are Ichiro and Yangervis Solarte, which is Dutch for sustainable slash line.
14

2

4

2.4

2.7

2.7

.477

.497

25.6%

24.7%

50.2%

-1.0%

-4.0%

In 16 at-bats, A.J. Pierzynski has taken four balls. Total.
15

3

3

3.4

3.5

3.4

.514

.494

8.1%

9.8%

17.8%

-1.9%

-1.0%

Looking at the Phillies stats, I thought I saw a home run in Ben Revere�s line. Revere had homered and nobody had bothered to tell me! I was inconsequential! Utterly irrelevant! Then I looked again and turned out it was just a Jayson Nix caught stealing, so crisis averted!
16

3

3

2.7

2.7

2.7

.474

.494

14.8%

9.8%

24.6%

-0.2%

-1.2%

Four good games in a row for Lonnie Chisenhall. Time to sign that six-year extension with three club options!
17

3

4

3.6

4.1

3.9

.503

.483

2.9%

11.4%

14.3%

-2.6%

0.6%

Your leader in hitting is Charlie Blackmon who has a .542 batting average. Follow Blackmon�s quest to hit .500 right here for at least another two days!
18

2

4

2.4

2.3

2.3

.460

.479

33.9%

22.1%

56.0%

-1.7%

-6.5%

The Angels bullpen has a league-leading 7.27 ERA. Wrong kind of league-leading!
19

2

3

2.1

2.1

2.3

.457

.477

13.3%

9.2%

22.5%

-0.9%

-2.3%

James Shields has given up four runs in 13 innings over two starts and the Royals have lost both. See Royals fans? You�ll be just fine after he leaves next season.
20

2

4

2.4

3.7

3.4

.491

.471

15.6%

11.8%

27.4%

2.9%

-5.4%

Billy Hamilton has six strikeouts and no hits in 12 plate appearances. He leads the league in times caught stealing. Wrong kind of league-leading!
21

3

3

3.0

2.4

2.4

.446

.466

4.5%

3.5%

8.0%

2.2%

0.7%

In his first start, Ricky Nolasco gave up five runs in six innings. In his second start he gave up five runs in four innings. He�s not getting enough innings!
22

3

3

2.3

1.9

2.0

.442

.462

17.7%

14.0%

31.7%

3.2%

-0.4%

Yu Darvish is the fastest to 500 strikeouts in major-league history. I was going to turn this into an Astros joke, but turns out he has the most against Anaheim. Whatever, ha ha Astros!
23

3

4

2.5

2.2

2.5

.435

.455

9.3%

13.6%

23.0%

-4.0%

-3.2%

Three homers for Melky Cabrera, who had 10 last year. His slash line is .323/.323/.613 which is a Jeff Francoeur wet dream.
24

3

3

2.3

1.7

1.8

.455

.435

47.3%

13.2%

60.6%

-3.7%

-0.3%

In 23 plate appearances Jhonny Peralta has two walks and two homers, leading to the hilarious slash line, .095/.174/.381. OK, maybe �hilarious� was a bit of an oversell.
25

2

4

2.6

3.0

3.2

.452

.432

2.9%

3.9%

6.7%

1.5%

-1.3%

The Cubs have announced shares in this team comment are for sale. �We feel strongly the comment needs major renovation,� said Cubs President Theo Epstein. �So we�re appealing to Cubs fans to give generously because, clearly, if you�ve been reading Mr. Kory�s work, fixing this is going to be expensive.�
26

3

3

2.2

2.1

2.0

.398

.417

0.6%

1.0%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

The Astros are 3-3 to start the season, so everything from here on in is gravy.
27

2

4

2.0

1.2

1.3

.379

.398

3.8%

8.4%

12.2%

1.9%

-3.7%

I was going to say, sure, Chris Davis has no homers, but last year he didn�t homer until some date, and you�d all feel better, but it turns out Davis homered in his first four games last season. So nevermind.
28

2

4

1.4

1.6

1.8

.395

.376

5.3%

16.0%

21.2%

1.5%

-8.1%

The Padres are 2-0 when Huston Street saves the game and 0-4 when he doesn�t. Tell me closers aren�t valuable!
29

2

7

2.5

2.7

2.8

.378

.360

1.6%

7.7%

9.3%

2.5%

-8.0%

Mark Trumbo has more total bases than any player. He keeps them in a pen behind his house. �I feed �em in the morning before I go to the park,� he says. �One time a fox got in there and he ate a few of �em but, otherwise, no problems.�
30

2

4

2.0

1.4

1.5

.378

.359

4.3%

5.1%

9.5%

-2.8%

-4.6%

In their most recent loss, 2-1 to Cincinnati, the Mets were credited with no errors, which is probably an error.