These are purely statistical impressions from the Rule 5 draft, as we sort out who’s where and why. The players’ statistics are translated with an eye towards future performance–not nearly as in-depth as PECOTA, but the system in play generally does well, and will help give us a sense as far as what’s possible for these guys.
Ryan Goleski Born 3/19/82 Age 24 Bats R Throws R Height 6'3" Weight 225 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 2003 Mahoning_Val NYP 251 66 12 1 10 16 61 36 33 1 3 189 .263 .309 .438 .250 30 8 266 56-RF 2 2004 Lake_County_ SAL 527 141 21 3 25 42 89 70 84 3 5 399 .268 .322 .461 .264 72 23 274 117-RF -5 2005 Kinston_____ Car 472 83 15 1 13 28 125 45 50 4 2 396 .176 .223 .294 .187 30 -18 191 110-RF -5 2006 Kinston_____ Car 130 38 5 0 9 19 30 25 36 1 1 97 .292 .379 .538 .305 25 14 304 37-RF 1 2006 Akron_______ Eas 331 92 18 1 18 32 77 47 62 3 2 246 .278 .342 .502 .283 53 23 285 82-LF 2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Minors 602 147 25 2 26 48 134 78 93 4 5 1328 .245 .301 .425 .252 73 20 258 321-RF -6 84-LF 2
I don’t know what happened in 2005, but that was a totally different player from the one who came before, and it really distorts the total line; his EqA without it is .272. It will be interesting to see if the big improvement in plate discipline last year holds up; knowing the A’s are clearly betting yes. All in all, I’d say it’s a good pick.
Joakim Soria Born 5/18/84 Age 22 Bats R Throws R Height 6'2" Weight 170 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2005 MexicoCyDiab Mex 30 5 70.3 65 29 7 30 60 3.71 5 3 0 8.3 0.9 3.8 7.7 3.71 4.28 0 -6 14 2006 Ft_Wayne____ Mid 7 0 10.3 7 5 3 3 6 4.35 1 0 0 6.1 2.6 2.6 5.2 4.35 6.81 -4 1 -9 2006 MexicoCyDiab Mex 39 0 38.7 32 15 3 11 30 3.49 2 2 13 7.4 0.7 2.6 7.0 3.49 3.49 -2 1 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 76 5 119.3 104 49 13 44 96 3.70 8 5 13 7.8 1.0 3.3 7.2 3.70 4.24 -6 -4 10
This pick is one I really like, with all due caveats about translating the Mexican League and Mexico City–as far above Denver as Denver is above Albuquerque–in particular. This is a really exciting translation, which means he can miss by a substantial amount and still be a useful major leaguer.
Josh Hamilton Born 5/21/81 Age 25 Bats L Throws L Height 6'4" Weight 205 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 1999 Princeton___ App 241 75 19 2 11 9 35 34 34 8 2 168 .311 .336 .544 .292 39 19 339 51-CF -3 1999 HudsonValley NYP 72 11 1 0 0 1 11 4 4 0 0 61 .153 .164 .167 .127 2 -3 148 16-CF 5 2000 CharlestonSC SAL 397 114 22 2 18 22 60 59 56 8 4 287 .287 .326 .489 .274 56 26 309 77-CF 1 2001 Orlando_____ Sou 89 16 5 0 0 5 18 5 4 1 0 74 .180 .221 .236 .172 5 -4 185 13-CF 0 2002 Bakersfield_ Cal 216 62 12 1 10 16 38 28 39 7 1 159 .287 .332 .491 .282 33 13 301 2006 HudsonValley NYP 52 9 0 0 0 3 13 3 2 0 0 43 .173 .218 .173 .145 2 -4 141 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Minors 617 167 34 3 23 33 102 78 81 14 4 798 .271 .308 .447 .262 80 29 293 157-CF 3 23-RF -2
That Hamilton always had potential is undisputed, although his translations never worked out to more than “good.” The odd-even “pattern” in his stats suggests a .280 EqA for the coming season, which would have the Reds overjoyed. I’m kidding when I say that; expecting a guy who had a pretty good (but not great) year in the California League five years ago to do anything is like buying a long out-of-the-money option. You’re probably throwing money away, but if the black swan comes and makes it work then you look like a genius…a rich genius.
Sean White Born 4/25/81 Age 25 Bats R Throws R Height 6'4" Weight 215 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2003 Danville____ App 14 10 49.0 55 36 4 25 14 6.61 2 3 1 10.1 0.7 4.6 2.6 6.24 5.67 0 -5 -22 2004 Rome________ SAL 13 1 35.7 43 37 8 15 10 9.34 1 3 0 10.9 2.0 3.8 2.5 9.59 6.76 0 6 -36 2004 Myrtle_Beach Car 18 10 68.0 63 47 4 30 25 6.22 3 5 0 8.3 0.5 4.0 3.3 6.09 4.64 -6 8 -15 2005 Myrtle_Beach Car 18 18 95.3 116 62 9 35 36 5.85 4 7 0 11.0 0.8 3.3 3.4 5.76 4.95 9 -9 -11 2005 Mississippi_ Sou 8 8 49.3 45 32 4 19 21 5.84 2 3 0 8.2 0.7 3.5 3.8 5.66 4.99 -6 5 -4 2006 GCL_Braves__ GCL 3 0 6.7 4 1 0 1 3 1.35 1 0 0 5.4 0.0 1.4 4.1 1.35 2.95 -2 -1 4 2006 Mississippi_ Sou 21 16 101.7 127 74 6 47 46 6.55 4 7 0 11.2 0.5 4.2 4.1 6.90 4.51 17 -2 -9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 95 63 405.7 453 289 35 172 155 6.41 17 28 1 10.1 0.8 3.8 3.4 6.41 5.01 12 2 -13
He looks to have been extremely hit-unlucky (+17 delta-hit) this past year, but even so I can’t muster up any excitement for a guy whose peak K rate is 4.1 on a scale where 6.0 is major league average, and that’s before mentioning his having more walks than Ks. Those numbers make it hard to believe he could even switch to relief and be useful.
Alfredo Simon Born 5/8/81 Age 25 Bats R Throws R Height 6'4" Weight 230 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2003 Lakewood____ SAL 14 7 66.3 70 45 11 32 35 6.11 2 5 1 9.5 1.5 4.3 4.7 6.24 6.05 -2 4 -4 2004 Clearwater__ Fla 22 21 128.0 137 74 29 46 65 5.20 6 8 0 9.6 2.0 3.2 4.6 5.20 6.53 -9 -1 -4 2004 San_Jose____ Cal 6 6 29.3 48 29 14 16 12 8.90 1 2 0 14.7 4.3 4.9 3.7 8.90 10.04 4 -5 -29 2005 Norwich_____ Eas 43 9 90.3 106 66 9 29 37 6.58 3 7 13 10.6 0.9 2.9 3.7 6.68 4.78 6 5 -20 2006 San_Jose____ Cal 18 7 34.0 49 34 14 17 20 9.00 1 3 0 13.0 3.7 4.5 5.3 8.74 8.80 3 1 -36 2006 Fresno______ PCL 10 10 53.7 75 40 10 19 27 6.71 2 4 0 12.6 1.7 3.2 4.5 7.38 5.83 10 -4 -11 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 113 60 401.7 485 288 87 159 196 6.45 15 29 14 10.9 1.9 3.6 4.4 6.57 6.41 12 0 -13
Whatever this guy throws, opponents hit it. Hard. And often. There is nothing here to make me believe he can be a useful major leaguer.
Jesus Flores Born 10/26/84 Age 22 Bats R Throws R Height 6'1" Weight 180 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 2005 Hagerstown__ SAL 322 62 10 0 8 11 80 27 34 1 1 264 .193 .220 .298 .183 19 -12 201 70-C -9 2006 St_Lucie____ Fla 440 116 24 1 28 27 106 67 73 1 0 328 .264 .317 .514 .277 66 36 295 102-C 13 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Minors 619 145 27 1 30 31 151 77 89 2 1 596 .234 .278 .426 .244 70 28 261 173-C 3
What he did in Florida last year strongly suggests he’ll be a quality major league hitter. While the lines above have six years of growth built into them, even without them he still projects to hit well enough to be a decent backup catcher. The Nats expect nothing in 2007 and are looking more at 2009-10,
which means they really should hang on to this guy.
Edward Campusano Born 7/14/82 Age 24 Bats L Throws L Height 6'4" Weight 175 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2004 Boise_______ Nwn 14 5 31.3 42 35 11 20 12 10.05 1 2 0 12.1 3.2 5.7 3.4 9.48 9.25 0 5 -29 2004 Lansing_____ Mid 9 1 15.7 22 11 6 9 9 6.32 1 1 0 12.6 3.4 5.2 5.2 6.32 8.92 1 -3 -15 2005 Peoria______ Mid 19 0 26.7 26 14 1 17 14 4.72 1 2 0 8.8 0.3 5.7 4.7 4.72 4.84 0 -2 -6 2006 Peoria______ Mid 26 0 26.7 22 8 1 12 24 2.70 2 1 12 7.4 0.3 4.1 8.1 2.70 3.55 0 -1 14 2006 W_Tennessee_ Sou 18 0 24.7 25 8 4 8 23 2.92 2 1 2 9.1 1.5 2.9 8.4 2.92 4.08 2 -4 13 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 86 6 125.0 137 76 23 66 82 5.47 7 7 14 9.9 1.7 4.8 5.9 5.33 6.03 3 -5 -5
Campusano busted out nicely this year, with a huge jump in Ks and greatly reduced walks. I normally hate to bet on someone sustaining a breakout, unless the scouts can give me a good, specific explanation for why the breakout happened. I don’t know if they have something on him or not.
Jared Burton Born 6/2/81 Age 25 Bats R Throws R Height 6'5" Weight 224 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2002 Vancouver___ Nwn 13 5 36.0 37 32 1 18 18 8.00 1 3 1 9.2 0.2 4.5 4.5 8.00 4.39 1 7 -9 2003 Kane_County_ Mid 15 2 29.0 25 14 6 9 19 4.34 2 1 0 7.8 1.9 2.8 5.9 4.03 6.15 -5 1 -4 2004 Modesto_____ Cal 10 3 29.3 37 22 12 26 14 6.75 1 2 0 11.4 3.7 8.0 4.3 6.44 10.57 -2 -6 -19 2005 Stockton____ Cal 52 0 54.7 44 24 3 25 39 3.95 3 3 15 7.2 0.5 4.1 6.4 4.12 4.21 -5 1 -2 2006 Midland_____ Tex 53 0 73.7 73 42 10 30 43 5.13 3 5 0 8.9 1.2 3.7 5.3 5.13 5.26 -3 0 -15 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 143 10 222.7 216 134 32 108 133 5.42 10 14 16 8.7 1.3 4.4 5.4 5.38 5.68 -14 3 -10
I can’t say I’m impressed. These numbers look like a pretty generic minor league
reliever, with a strong, consistent delta-hit being the only thing really in
his favor.
Lincoln Holdzkom Born 3/23/82 Age 24 Bats R Throws R Height 6'4" Weight 240 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2002 Kane_County_ Mid 30 0 29.7 25 15 1 35 25 4.55 1 2 8 7.6 0.3 10.6 7.6 4.55 5.87 -1 -3 19 2003 Greensboro__ SAL 43 0 53.0 47 32 2 32 41 5.43 2 4 2 8.0 0.3 5.4 7.0 5.43 4.59 -1 6 6 2003 Jupiter_____ Fla 13 0 14.0 11 8 0 8 13 5.14 1 1 1 7.1 0.0 5.1 8.4 5.14 3.66 0 2 14 2005 Jupiter_____ Fla 9 0 9.0 7 8 0 7 5 8.00 0 1 0 7.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 8.00 4.75 -1 3 0 2006 AZL_Cubs____ AZL 5 1 8.0 11 5 0 4 4 5.62 0 1 0 12.4 0.0 4.5 4.5 5.62 3.96 3 -2 -17 2006 Daytona_____ Fla 2 0 5.3 3 0 0 3 3 0.00 1 0 0 5.1 0.0 5.1 5.1 0.00 3.62 -1 -1 5 2006 W_Tennessee_ Sou 18 0 31.3 27 10 1 11 17 2.87 2 1 0 7.8 0.3 3.2 4.9 2.87 3.61 -2 -2 -1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 120 1 150.3 131 78 4 100 108 4.67 7 10 11 7.8 0.2 6.0 6.5 4.67 4.49 -3 3 6
Intriguing. Holdzkom has a good profile across the board, with the glaring
exception of a) walks and b) nearly two full seasons gone missing. There’s
certainly enough there to warrant a flyer.
Adam Donachie Born 3/3/84 Age 22 Bats R Throws R Height 6'1" Weight 215 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 2004 BurlingtonIA Mid 235 39 3 0 1 17 36 13 17 3 1 203 .166 .224 .191 .165 11 -8 171 64-C 3 2005 High_Desert_ Cal 356 84 14 1 12 36 70 49 37 1 0 274 .236 .308 .382 .241 39 14 254 92-C 12 2006 High_Desert_ Cal 218 48 7 0 7 26 41 26 17 0 1 177 .220 .301 .349 .230 22 6 237 61-C 5 2006 Wichita_____ Tex 97 16 3 0 2 17 19 18 9 0 1 83 .165 .287 .258 .204 8 -1 208 29-C 0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Minors 588 122 18 1 14 62 108 69 52 3 2 736 .208 .283 .312 .219 52 20 227 245-C 20
A very good defensive catcher who can’t hit. The lines are quite comparable to
Brad Ausmus over the same time period:
Majors 586 140 19 1 6 64 72 55 59 5 4 966 .239 .318 .306 .229 56 25 228 359-C 17
Nick Debarr Born 8/24/83 Age 23 Bats R Throws R Height 6'4" Weight 225 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2002 Princeton___ App 11 6 49.3 61 35 11 15 14 6.39 2 3 0 11.1 2.0 2.7 2.6 6.93 7.02 -1 -3 -10 2002 HudsonValley NYP 4 3 16.3 21 10 6 3 8 5.51 1 1 0 11.6 3.3 1.7 4.4 6.06 8.73 -1 -2 6 2003 CharlestonSC SAL 27 20 135.3 161 105 21 47 60 6.98 4 11 0 10.7 1.4 3.1 4.0 7.12 5.59 6 2 -1 2004 Bakersfield_ Cal 26 10 63.3 58 44 11 67 28 6.25 2 5 0 8.2 1.6 9.5 4.0 6.39 8.72 -11 -4 -7 2006 Visalia_____ Cal 40 0 69.3 63 30 5 19 38 3.89 5 3 6 8.2 0.6 2.5 4.9 3.76 4.08 -4 -1 -3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 108 39 333.7 364 224 54 151 148 6.04 14 23 6 9.8 1.5 4.1 4.0 6.20 6.24 -11 -8 -3
Debarr missed all of 2005, came back in 2006 as a reliever and did well. That fits a Chris Britton profile, although the sub-par K rate would scare me away.
Jason Smith Born 7/24/77 Age 29 Bats L Throws R Height 6'3" Weight 200 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 2003 Durham______ Int 514 137 18 11 17 17 118 76 69 11 7 393 .267 .292 .444 .249 61 15 250 87-SS -4 27-2B -3 2004 Toledo______ Int 122 32 7 2 3 6 24 17 13 4 1 93 .262 .292 .426 .249 14 3 248 32-3B -1 2004 Detroit_____ AL 155 38 7 4 6 9 33 22 21 1 2 124 .245 .291 .458 .249 19 4 249 28-2B 0 2005 Toledo______ Int 190 41 10 1 5 11 49 22 23 6 3 159 .216 .255 .358 .219 18 0 217 16-1B -1 11-3B 1 2005 Detroit_____ AL 57 10 1 2 0 1 14 4 2 2 1 52 .175 .203 .263 .179 4 -3 179 2006 ColoSprings PCL 144 37 8 4 4 13 39 23 21 2 1 111 .257 .314 .451 .261 19 6 258 27-3B 3 2006 Colorado____ NL 99 25 1 0 5 7 25 9 13 3 0 74 .253 .315 .414 .256 12 4 256 13-2B 2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Majors 315 74 9 6 11 17 72 35 36 6 3 253 .235 .283 .406 .242 35 12 242 47-2B 1 17-SS 2 Minors 620 158 27 12 19 30 147 88 81 15 8 755 .256 .289 .427 .248 72 22 247 97-SS -7 79-3B 4 Total 619 155 25 12 19 31 146 83 78 14 7 1008 .251 .287 .422 .246 71 20 246 114-SS -5 88-3B 5
Smith’s a well-traveled minor league veteran who can play every position and hit like a utility infielder. There are no surprises here; WYSIWYG.
Kevin Cameron Born 12/15/79 Age 26 Bats R Throws R Height 6'1" Weight 192 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2003 Quad_Cities_ Mid 39 0 57.7 61 40 6 45 32 6.24 2 4 1 9.5 0.9 7.0 5.0 6.40 6.11 1 -1 -9 2004 Ft_Myers____ Fla 22 0 30.7 23 17 2 16 13 4.99 1 2 0 6.8 0.6 4.7 3.8 5.28 5.09 -6 3 -18 2004 New_Britain_ Eas 26 0 46.0 49 24 1 24 31 4.70 2 3 2 9.6 0.2 4.7 6.1 4.70 3.96 5 -3 0 2005 New_Britain_ Eas 43 0 76.3 80 47 13 34 36 5.54 3 5 4 9.4 1.5 4.0 4.2 5.54 5.85 -3 0 -23 2006 Rochester___ Int 40 0 65.0 57 30 3 28 49 4.15 4 3 6 7.9 0.4 3.9 6.8 4.02 3.77 -1 2 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 170 0 275.7 270 158 25 147 161 5.16 12 17 13 8.8 0.8 4.8 5.3 5.19 5.01 -4 1 -9
A career minor league reliever, for good reason as far as one can see.
Jay Marshall Born 2/25/83 Age 23 Bats L Throws L Height 6'5" Weight 185 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2003 Bristol_____ App 10 10 37.7 46 22 11 19 18 5.26 2 2 0 11.0 2.6 4.5 4.3 5.26 8.11 -1 -6 -10 2004 Bristol_____ App 11 11 53.7 76 42 20 12 21 7.04 2 4 0 12.7 3.4 2.0 3.5 7.21 8.17 2 -3 -11 2004 Great_Falls_ Pio 4 2 14.7 21 11 5 7 7 6.75 1 1 0 12.9 3.1 4.3 4.3 6.14 7.60 2 -2 -16 2005 Great_Falls_ Pio 29 0 42.0 39 24 7 10 19 5.14 2 3 7 8.4 1.5 2.1 4.1 5.57 5.48 -6 5 -17 2006 WinstonSalem Car 58 0 61.0 50 15 4 9 28 2.21 6 1 2 7.4 0.6 1.3 4.1 2.36 3.69 -9 -4 -5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 112 23 209.0 232 114 47 57 93 4.91 13 11 9 10.0 2.0 2.5 4.0 5.04 6.27 -12 -10 -11
The low K rate still scares me, but this guy’s other stats are truly
eye-popping. He has outstanding control, and this year he looks to have been nearly unhittable. He’s only a year above rookie ball, another thing that scares me. A look beyond these numbers says he is absolute death to left-handers, and
that makes this a pretty reasonable gamble.
Alejandro Machado Born 4/26/82 Age 24 Bats B Throws R Height 6' Weight 185 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 2003 Huntsville__ Sou 161 34 4 1 0 13 22 13 12 7 1 131 .211 .274 .248 .202 12 -2 206 38-2B 0 2003 Wichita_____ Tex 296 83 16 4 2 31 42 56 31 13 6 224 .280 .350 .382 .261 39 17 271 75-2B 8 2004 Brevard_Cnty Fla 193 66 11 2 1 18 25 32 18 8 4 137 .342 .399 .435 .290 31 14 298 38-SS -6 2004 Harrisburg__ Eas 357 93 5 3 4 36 35 49 24 14 8 281 .261 .332 .325 .239 39 10 243 74-2B 4 12-SS 1 2005 Pawtucket___ Int 387 109 16 2 3 32 43 58 42 18 4 288 .282 .339 .357 .254 47 15 257 63-2B -3 39-SS 3 2006 Pawtucket___ Int 378 95 12 4 5 50 45 49 34 17 5 293 .251 .343 .344 .251 46 12 253 58-SS -2 44-2B -4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Majors 5 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 4 .200 .333 .400 .257 1 0 259 Minors 590 160 21 5 5 60 71 86 54 26 9 1354 .271 .341 .350 .254 71 30 258 298-2B 6 148-SS -4 Total* 590 160 22 5 5 60 71 86 53 26 9 1358 .271 .341 .351 .254 71 30 258 299-2B 5 148-SS -4
A speedy albeit powerless middle infielder. He shouldn’t be the worst second
baseman in the majors, and he shouldn’t be any worse than the Puntos, Castros,
Abernathys, and Rivases that have littered recent Twin infields.
Levale Speigner Born 9/24/80 Age 26 Bats R Throws R Height 5'11" Weight 170 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2003 Elizabethton App 22 0 28.0 37 21 4 6 15 6.75 1 2 3 11.9 1.3 1.9 4.8 6.43 4.53 5 0 -15 2004 Quad_Cities_ Mid 22 0 29.7 30 18 2 20 15 5.46 1 2 5 9.1 0.6 6.1 4.6 5.46 5.67 -1 0 -13 2004 Ft_Myers____ Fla 22 1 44.7 51 20 7 17 30 4.03 3 2 1 10.3 1.4 3.4 6.0 4.23 5.15 3 -7 -5 2005 New_Britain_ Eas 23 23 140.7 158 92 21 34 58 5.89 6 10 0 10.1 1.3 2.2 3.7 5.82 5.43 -1 4 -6 2005 Rochester___ Int 2 1 7.7 14 7 0 1 4 8.22 0 1 0 16.4 0.0 1.2 4.7 8.22 2.94 5 0 -4 2006 New_Britain_ Eas 40 0 57.3 63 32 9 17 23 5.02 3 3 10 9.9 1.4 2.7 3.6 5.49 5.49 -1 -2 -23 2006 Rochester___ Int 9 0 12.0 16 8 1 5 6 6.00 0 1 0 12.0 0.8 3.8 4.5 6.00 4.96 3 -1 -20 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 140 25 320.0 369 198 44 100 151 5.57 14 21 19 10.4 1.2 2.8 4.2 5.62 5.27 13 -6 -11
While there’s nothing much to see here, if he can really manage a 5.50 ERA in
the majors, he could be the Nationals‘ chief set-up man by June.
Jim Ed Warden Born 5/7/79 Age 27 Bats R Throws R Height 6'7" Weight 195 Year Team Lge G GS IP H ER HR BB K DERA W L SV H/9 HR/9 BB/9 K/9 NERA PERA DELH DELR STUF 2002 Kinston_____ Car 7 7 29.3 41 34 7 39 18 10.43 0 3 0 12.6 2.1 12.0 5.5 10.43 9.39 5 -1 1 2003 Lake_County_ SAL 14 13 61.3 62 43 14 57 31 6.31 2 5 0 9.1 2.1 8.4 4.5 6.16 8.65 -8 -1 -5 2003 Kinston_____ Car 7 7 23.0 37 28 10 31 13 10.96 0 3 0 14.5 3.9 12.1 5.1 10.96 12.77 3 -3 -21 2003 Akron_______ Eas 1 1 4.0 6 4 0 6 1 9.00 0 0 0 13.5 0.0 13.5 2.2 11.25 7.65 1 0 -14 2004 Lake_County_ SAL 41 1 50.0 50 27 11 34 33 4.86 3 3 8 9.0 2.0 6.1 5.9 4.86 7.27 -4 -4 -13 2004 Akron_______ Eas 4 0 5.3 7 7 1 8 3 11.81 0 1 0 11.8 1.7 13.5 5.1 11.81 9.99 1 1 -13 2005 Kinston_____ Car 46 0 62.7 80 47 14 38 40 6.75 2 5 2 11.5 2.0 5.5 5.7 6.61 7.55 5 -5 -20 2006 Akron_______ Eas 55 0 56.3 41 32 5 35 29 5.11 3 3 6 6.6 0.8 5.6 4.6 4.95 6.43 -14 5 -13 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- minors 175 29 292.0 324 222 62 248 168 6.84 10 23 16 10.0 1.9 7.6 5.2 6.78 8.16 -11 -8 -12
Already 27, sidearm conversion has at least gotten his translated walks below six. Woo-hoo.
Josh Phelps Born 5/12/78 Age 28 Bats R Throws R Height 6'3" Weight 225 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 2003 Toronto_____ AL 395 105 16 1 21 43 106 59 68 1 2 293 .266 .358 .471 .282 62 24 283 2004 Cleveland___ AL 76 23 5 0 6 5 18 14 11 0 0 53 .303 .346 .605 .307 14 7 307 2004 Toronto_____ AL 294 69 12 2 13 20 66 39 53 0 0 226 .235 .296 .422 .245 34 5 245 11-1B -1 2005 Durham______ Int 225 54 12 2 12 14 50 31 29 0 1 173 .240 .292 .471 .254 28 6 252 19-1B -1 2005 Tampa_Bay___ AL 156 43 7 0 6 15 43 22 28 0 0 116 .276 .345 .436 .271 22 7 271 2006 Toledo______ Int 471 147 24 3 26 35 115 66 96 5 1 333 .312 .365 .541 .303 84 44 299 87-1B 2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Majors 596 155 26 2 30 54 151 87 104 1 1 688 .261 .335 .460 .271 85 28 272 22-1B -3 Minors 607 177 31 4 34 43 144 85 111 4 2 512 .291 .344 .526 .292 100 45 288 106-1B 1 Total 601 165 28 3 32 49 148 86 107 2 1 1200 .274 .339 .489 .280 91 35 279 128-1B -2
Now this is a pick I like. While everything in the Rule 5 is a gamble of one
kind or another, there’s generally a far better chance of a used-to-be coming
back than there is of a never-was breaking through…so much so that I’d
rate him the Most Likely to Succeed of this class. That said, he’s been
disappointing before, and he still has the plate discipline of Tommy Lasorda
in an authentic trattoria.
Ryan Budde Born 8/15/79 Age 27 Bats R Throws R Height 5'11" Weight 205 Year Team Lge AB H DB TP HR BB SO R RBI SB CS Out BA OBA SA EQA EQR Val Pk Defense 2002 R_Cucamonga_ Cal 315 69 14 1 5 21 52 34 33 1 1 250 .219 .268 .317 .209 25 1 213 74-C 8 2003 R_Cucamonga_ Cal 51 10 2 1 1 2 10 5 4 0 0 42 .196 .222 .333 .201 4 -1 203 12-C 0 2003 Arkansas____ Tex 346 67 7 1 11 33 72 43 38 1 1 283 .194 .264 .315 .207 28 -1 209 73-C 3 2004 R_Cucamonga_ Cal 372 73 8 0 8 20 77 36 33 2 2 306 .196 .241 .282 .189 24 -13 189 64-C -11 12-1B -1 2005 Salt_Lake___ PCL 199 38 7 2 5 7 38 21 20 2 1 163 .191 .222 .322 .191 13 -5 192 42-C 0 2006 Salt_Lake___ PCL 220 43 10 0 8 19 51 28 29 1 1 178 .195 .275 .350 .218 20 -1 218 37-C -2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Minors 609 122 19 2 16 41 123 67 63 3 2 1244 .199 .254 .314 .203 46 -1 204 308-C -2 29-1B -2
Like Adam Donachie, except for the part about being good defensively. For
those who refer to the last man taken in a draft as Mr. Irrelevant, I couldn’t
agree more.
Thank you for reading
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